TD INGRID: Discussions & Images - Last Advisory

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HURAKAN
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#2161 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 14, 2007 2:45 pm

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Convection making a comeback.
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Frank2
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Re: Tropical Storm INGRID: Discussions & Images-11 AM page 105

#2162 Postby Frank2 » Fri Sep 14, 2007 2:50 pm

yeah everyone's moved to the EURO showing a nola hurricane next week.


Not true, not true!

That model shows a system 8-10 days from now, and, that system's track will likely change completely (or disappear) in the next day or two - talk about rumour control...
Last edited by Frank2 on Fri Sep 14, 2007 2:52 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#2163 Postby bwhorton2007 » Fri Sep 14, 2007 2:50 pm

NOLA Storm :Well i for one will worry about that if and when it developes. :D
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#2164 Postby bwhorton2007 » Fri Sep 14, 2007 2:52 pm

Until (IF)she dies Ingrid is still the main player and a fighting player at that.
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#2165 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Sep 14, 2007 2:53 pm

Not dead by any means. Probably still 40-45 kt.
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#2166 Postby bwhorton2007 » Fri Sep 14, 2007 2:55 pm

looks very healthy for a sheared storm.
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#2167 Postby jhamps10 » Fri Sep 14, 2007 2:55 pm

indeed Ingrid is a hard fighter that's for sure.
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Re: Tropical Storm INGRID: Discussions & Images-11 AM page 105

#2168 Postby artist » Fri Sep 14, 2007 2:57 pm

what I think is interesting is that as soon as her top is blown off she just revs back up again to push into the upper levels again. That is just my impression of what I see it doing. Not scientific at all.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurr.html
animate at 20 loops and click on Ingrid.
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#2169 Postby skysummit » Fri Sep 14, 2007 2:57 pm

jhamps10 wrote:indeed Ingrid is a hard fighter that's for sure.


It shows what she can do given good conditions....maybe down the road.
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#2170 Postby canegrl04 » Fri Sep 14, 2007 2:58 pm

bwhorton2007 wrote:NOLA Storm :Well i for one will worry about that if and when it developes. :D


I'd rather focus on a TS in the present than worry about something that isn't even a TC yet.IF Ingrid survives,the naysayers will come sheepishly back :cheesy:
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#2171 Postby bwhorton2007 » Fri Sep 14, 2007 2:59 pm

One thing else i've seen or heard in theory that in rare cases,TUTTs have helped fuel storms?
I say again this is rare but has it ever happened?
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#2172 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 14, 2007 3:02 pm

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Re: Tropical Storm INGRID: Discussions & Images-11 AM page 105

#2173 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Sep 14, 2007 3:02 pm

So much for the naked swirl by this afternoon, heck this system has been exposed to shear for most of its life. Its used to it. I expect the tutt should increase the shear even more, and even expect to see the LLC as exposed as it was a few days ago over the next few days. But then as the ridge reforms over it, watch it.
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Re: Tropical Storm INGRID: Discussions & Images-11 AM page 105

#2174 Postby dtrain44 » Fri Sep 14, 2007 3:04 pm

I am VERY STRONGLY against predicting landfall for nonexistent cyclones that aren't even invests, particularly when the situation is as emotionally charged as that in Louisiana. This is particularly inappropriate on an Ingrid thread......
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#2175 Postby NateFLA » Fri Sep 14, 2007 3:04 pm

Guys, this is a storm... this trend of anthropomorphizing storms is getting old. They are storms, not people, they don't have emotions, they aren't "fighters" etc. Either conditions line up and are ultimately favorable enough to sustain genesis of tropical systems, or they are not. It appears conditions are setting up in an unfavorable pattern such that it will kill off the convection. There may be latent attributes of current synoptics that haven't been realized which allow Ingrid to persist.

Sorry but the one liners on "she's fighting hard!" etc are just making this thread long and difficult to read. If you have insightful contributions (ex: SSTs below Ingrid appear to be sustaining enough energy for convection, see map) then by all means post them. Can we please cut down on the clutter though?
Last edited by NateFLA on Fri Sep 14, 2007 3:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2176 Postby bwhorton2007 » Fri Sep 14, 2007 3:04 pm

On a tutt fueling a storm i can't point to any one example like i say its just something i read on another weather forum.
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Re: Tropical Storm INGRID: Discussions & Images-11 AM page 105

#2177 Postby Sanibel » Fri Sep 14, 2007 3:06 pm

It is possible Ingrid could weaken the ULL.
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Re: Tropical Storm INGRID: Discussions & Images-11 AM page 105

#2178 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 14, 2007 3:08 pm

Sanibel wrote:It is possible Ingrid could weaken the ULL.


No. According to what I know tropical cyclones don't have an effect on ULL or areas of high pressures, it's the other way around.

More over, Ingrid is too weak to have an effect on anything!!!
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Re: Tropical Storm INGRID: Discussions & Images-11 AM page 105

#2179 Postby Sanibel » Fri Sep 14, 2007 3:11 pm

Well a Low is still a Low in the tropics when it emerges from the shear zone. I still say out to sea at this track.
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#2180 Postby bwhorton2007 » Fri Sep 14, 2007 3:11 pm

dtrain44 I second you as i am from louisiana and don't want that at all.In fact i live in northern louisiana. :x
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