CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[canetracker]

Landfall Cameron LA

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_228l.gif

Thanks but no thanks.... I'll be in Lake Charles next Friday night. Going to the casino for the weekend. Dean has to go elsewhere... I got a birthday to celebrate!

The GFS is on something, I'm just not sure what drug it is. : )

[PTPatrick]

This does look slower to me for some reason...in any case...I Leave Tuesday for Gulfport for 3 days to see the fam and then Leave for Tampa on Friday the 24th. Beginning to wonder if Dean doesnt want my travels to go well. No hurricanes in Denver at least...heck not even much heat right now...its like 65 degrees here

[BUD]

And Florida very well should be, since a deeper storm will trend right. Florida is right of this now consistent model track.

Yep, check this out

http://www.boatus.com/HURRICANES/hurric ... ghetti.asp

[crazycajuncane]

Landfall Cameron LA

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_228l.gif

Thanks but no thanks.... I'll be in Lake Charles next Friday night. Going to the casino for the weekend. Dean has to go elsewhere... I got a birthday to celebrate!

The GFS is on something, I'm just not sure what drug it is. : )

I hope so. At the moment that run doesn't do anything for Rita victims. After two years many are still just getting back on their feet. Just visited my uncle who has finished with his new 18 feet off the ground trailer in Delcambre! It's too out to be worried out, but enough to keep a close eye on.

[jhamps10]

This does look slower to me for some reason...in any case...I Leave Tuesday for Gulfport for 3 days to see the fam and then Leave for Tampa on Friday the 24th. Beginning to wonder if Dean doesnt want my travels to go well. No hurricanes in Denver at least...heck not even much heat right now...its like 65 degrees here :)

you lucky dog, I'd be glad to see 65..... FOR THE LOW!!!!

anyway, your right it looks slower to me too.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Ok so do we have an eastward trend from here on out? Went from Brownsville to Galveston to Sabine Pass and now Cameron LA. Can't wait to see EURO.

[Aric Dunn]

only images still coming can be found here .

looks like another burst wraping around

much more in the way of banding with the deep convection

http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/lis ... 0#controls

[weatherguru18]

I believe we can expect an intermediate advisory at 2am EST...

It will be interesting to see if the center has relocated under the convection. If so, the cone of destruction may need to be shifted right a bit. I'm calling Matagorda Bay as the landfall point.

[RL3AO]

I believe we can expect an intermediate advisory at 2am EST...

It will be interesting to see if the center has relocated under the convection. If so, the cone of destruction may need to be shifted right a bit. I'm calling Matagorda Bay as the landfall point.

I don't think we will get an intermediate advisory.

[tropicsPR]

I live in Caguas, Puerto Rico. All our radio stations and tv news programs are watching very closely the future track of Dean. Our main concern are the huge and extreme river floods that are caused by tropical cyclones when they hit the island or pass very close to our coasts. There exists as many as 50 rivers most of which flow down from the northern mountain sides to the sea. Most of these rivers are located very close to densely populated areas that have suffered extreme damages in past hurricanes and tropical storms.

[weatherguru18]

I believe we can expect an intermediate advisory at 2am EST...

It will be interesting to see if the center has relocated under the convection. If so, the cone of destruction may need to be shifted right a bit. I'm calling Matagorda Bay as the landfall point.

I don't think we will get an intermediate advisory.

Why? Watches are hoisted and the system is within 36 hrs of landfall. I'm not sure what the criteria is, but I believe this meets it.

[Scorpion]

I would be getting preparations ready as this looks like it will be quite intense

[RL3AO]

I believe we can expect an intermediate advisory at 2am EST...

It will be interesting to see if the center has relocated under the convection. If so, the cone of destruction may need to be shifted right a bit. I'm calling Matagorda Bay as the landfall point.

I don't think we will get an intermediate advisory.

Why? Watches are hoisted and the system is within 36 hrs of landfall. I'm not sure what the criteria is, but I believe this meets it.

Your in the wrong thread...this is for Dean. TD5 will have an intermediate advisory.

[weatherguru18]

Crap...sorry...it's late.

[Aric Dunn]

[Scorpion]

Anyone know when the new models come out?

[knotimpaired]

Thank you for all of your responses.

Yes, we do have challenges that the US do not have and I am worried that our interests, basically our lives do not get set aside. We have families, friends, our lives are in the islands.

I just want to say that all of the Dean threads seem to be pushing the cart before the horse.

Cannot we all gather together here in the basin, ask for expert advice without the armchair mets to know exactly what is going on and where?

Vieques, Salinas, San Juan, Ponce, Isabella, all of Puerto Rico. But let us not forget

Culebra
Us Virgin Islands
British Virgin Islands
St Croix to the south
Angilla
Saba
St Kitts
Nevis
Antigua
Montserrat
Guadeloupe
Dominica
Martinique
St. Lucia
St. Vincent
Off to east Barbados
Grenada
Trinidad and Tobago

I could probably name every cay on each island and I am sure I missed a few. My father was a Geography Professer at one of the major US universities. I knew every inch of the caribbean since I was a child.

I grew to love them before I came to live here but I know for a fact, this is my home and only home matters.

So please let us get back to basics and worry about the horse for now. 8 days out we can worry about the cart.

Please, that is all I ask.

I do not know if you realize when you live on a island a a hurricane strikes, you cannot run away.

It must be nice to have I-95 running in both directions getting you out..

On my island we do not have a traffic light.

How do you think we feel when we depend on a ferry that probably not run for days? That is our food?

Oops forgot, you always have Publix. Sorry.

[Toadstool]

only images still coming can be found here .

looks like another burst wraping around

much more in the way of banding with the deep convection

http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/lis ... 0#controls

It's amazing to see such a small storm (in respect to the entire planet) which will soon be affecting so many lives.

[MWatkins]

UKMET is off to a bad start...initializing Dean half of a degree too far south...Dooh!

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/tro ... wtnt80.txt

At least it doesn't drop it and send it into south america this time...

MW

[Cyclenall]

I would not be surprised to see an eyewall form tomorrow afternoon if this trend continues. Heck, maybe late morning.