INVEST 97L: Near Puerto Rico :Discussions & Images

[canegrl04]

This is what happens when there are too many potentials swirling out there at once

[punkyg]

It will come back there just having trouble with the site.

also this should be TD and not the one in the gulf.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

96l is the td.

97l is still an invest.

[Coredesat]

But 97L had a tropical formation alert issued just a short while back ...

So did the other invests. For all intents and purposes, TCFAs in the Atlantic are meaningless as they get issued without regard to the official criteria if there is a U.S. or Department of Defense interest in its vicinity.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Ughh. Invest Confusion.
Lovely isn't it.
Can't blame NRL Dudes though.
Those Dudes are still my homies fo shizzle.
Holla at ma dawgs at the NRL.


Anyway some models take this south of florida
others East. So that means no threat to florida or
is there a threat? Sorry if annoying...that's too bad.

[fci]

I think we are all moving too fast for the NRL to keep up as the data keeps changing.

So lets see; 94L disappeared and returned today
96L- went to T numbers of 2.0 and now 2.5 and to 12L No Name
97L- disappeared (as of now)

"Movin too fast for the kid"

[WindRunner]

Invest 97L has not been deactivated per ATCF . . . so the NRL site has accidently dropped it.

No other ATCF commands have been given (as of yet) for 97L . . . so, per the NHC, it is still an invest.

[Blown Away]

97L has lost most of it's deep convection this evening and is running into some strong shear.

[WindRunner]

Actually, it's doing pretty good in the convection department.



IR loop shows that the convection over the center is colder than it has been the past several hours. Gives a nice, consolidating appearance to our system.

[Blown Away]

Actually, it's doing pretty good in the convection department.



IR loop shows that the convection over the center is colder than it has been the past several hours. Gives a nice, consolidating appearance to our system.

This is for 96L

[bvigal]

97L has lost most of it's deep convection this evening and is running into some strong shear.

From the formation alert: SOUTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE REGION, ENHANCING THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION.
Not just the alert, but the danger area map http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/danger_atl_latestBW.gif
And the 8pm discussion. "THERE ARE THREE AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE IN ATLANTIC BASIN THAT
COULD BECOME TROPICAL DEPRESSIONS AT ANY TIME OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR SO. "
Too much evidence to believe this has been dropped as an invest.

[WindRunner]

Sorry, I got the threads backwards. Yeah, you're right. Of course, firing up again overnight is hardly out of the question, but at the moment it does look pretty sad.

Regardless, this hasn't been dropped as an invest, bvigal. The NRL site just screwed up somehow and dropped the listing.

[cycloneye]

The 00:00 UTC run of the BAMS has not been released for 97L.

[bvigal]

I did think it was interesting the 18z GFDL dissipated this, and 2 hrs later, a formation alert and the 8pm discussion. There must be some interesting dialog going on at NHC tonight!

[cycloneye]

Anyone knows if the NRL site is runned by human hands or is all by computer?

[bvigal]

Luis, the ATCF portion is automated.

[Gustywind]

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... Tagant.jpg
9pm sat pic Meteo France

[Sanibel]

Looks like Ingrid 2 for now. No idea if it will reconvect.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Looks like Ingrid 2 for now. No idea if it will reconvect.

Upper Level anticyclone moving in tandem with it. I see reconvection
very soon IMO.

[WindRunner]

Unfortunately, that upper anticyclone is also allowing for an area of high shear just to its west (~100mi) which may prevent any outflow from the SW through N quads of the storm . . . not exactly what we want when the convection is as inconsistent as it is already.