Tropical Depression TEN: Model Runs

caneman · #541 Postby **caneman** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 8:03 am

And looks to take it inland East of LA.

#542 Postby **Stormcenter** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 8:04 am

skysummit wrote:Boy those new models keep it weaker than before!

Greats news and I'm not surprised.

#543 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 8:09 am

Stormcenter wrote:
skysummit wrote:Boy those new models keep it weaker than before!

Greats news and I'm not surprised.

They start it moving northwest immediately and that's why it stays weak. Do you think it'll begin moving northwest immediately and base your thoughts on models that are not real good at mid latitudes? What ya think?

vaffie · #544 Postby **vaffie** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 8:49 am

It looks like the 12Z BAM models have finally been initialized on the new low, and are showing it moving due west at three knots. something to keep in mind. Old low is ancient history.

#545 Postby **Ivanhater** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 9:05 am

Again...North Central Gulfcoast is the main target...models have been in good agreement

#546 Postby **Ivanhater** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 9:12 am

12Z NAM 30 HR

#547 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 9:15 am

Check out the 200mb Level

Stratosphere747 · #548 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 9:22 am

Since we are giving quite a bit of faith to the EURO models, does the initialization really make much of a difference from the 0z run? With this latest run it has 93l heading toward W La-Tex/La border, with the low beginning on the EC of Florida. Granted the 24hr placement would be in the general area of location this afternoon.

Also, is it trying to show the ULL dropping to the SW causing a more WNW/NW heading?

#549 Postby **Ivanhater** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 9:22 am

36 HR NAM...

#550 Postby **Ivanhater** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 9:27 am

42 HR NAM

#551 Postby **Ivanhater** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 9:29 am

Gotta go to class..someone else can finish posting

#552 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 9:37 am

12z NAM @ 60 Hours....somewhere around St. Bernard Parish, close to NOLA.

#553 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 10:36 am

The 12z GFS has begun if anyone wanted to post it....

12 Hours

DESTRUCTION5 · #554 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 10:38 am

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_018s.gif

18 Hrs

DESTRUCTION5 · #555 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 10:42 am

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_024s.gif

24hr..Sorry luis i don't know how to post the other way..

DESTRUCTION5 · #556 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 10:43 am

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_036s.gif

36hr..Same as 18z..LA looks like our spot..

DESTRUCTION5 · #557 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 10:47 am

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_048s.gif

48 hrs..Looks at the baby below 93L

jhamps10 · #558 Postby **jhamps10** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 10:50 am

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_ten_048s.gif

48 hrs..Looks at the baby below 93L

yeah that is the system that concerns me. espically since that has a LARGE blow up of convection this morning,

killah · #559 Postby **killah** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 10:52 am

Interesting to see so much activity on the down side of the statistical peak of the season. Looks like we will have to keep our eyes out for some time in the future.

DESTRUCTION5 · #560 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Thu Sep 20, 2007 10:55 am

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_060s.gif

60 hrs..There is our new one!

Tropical Depression TEN: Model Runs

Re: INVEST 93L : Model Runs

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Re: INVEST 93L : Model Runs

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