INVEST 91L -Discussions,Analysis and Imagery

[Javlin]

What about the new convection coming off the peninsula? Is that indicative of being close to a LLC, like the blob to the North?

That was S of the YUC Pen earlier just some xtra moisture and energy for the system I think it was your typical daytime TStorms?might be wrong on that?

[KFDM Meteorologist]

This system will develop, just a matter of time.

[srainhoutx]

Been a slow developer from the beginning.

[HouTXmetro]

It has to move almost due west in order to strike Mexico.

[rainman31]

It has to move almost due west in order to strike Mexico.

It looks like it's heading towards houston.

[Stratosphere747]

Does appear that center is now trying to reform under the latest blow up of convection. I don't buy the NAM's intensity forecast, but their track may just play out.

[HouTXmetro]

It has to move almost due west in order to strike Mexico.

It looks like it's heading towards houston.

I wouldn't say that, but if the center continues to consolidate further North we may get some heavy squalls.

[lrak]

It has to move almost due west in order to strike Mexico.

It looks like it's heading towards houston.

I wouldn't say that, but if the center continues to consolidate further North we may get some heavy squalls.

I see it consolidating South, I need new glasses

[MGC]

This has mid to upper Texas gulf coast written all over it. I just hope it don't undergo rapid intensification as it approaches the coast. Perhaps a strong TS or possibly a weak Cat-1 cane.....MGC

[jasons2k]

IMO this system is about to "gel". You can see the banding of the low level cumulus clouds on the visibles swirling towards the LLC near 23N 90W. The old LLC from earlier today is gone, and the new one looks like it has good inflow. There is a burst of convection very near the LLC expanding over time, and this is the diurnal minimum. The cirrus shield is becoming more circular and symmetrical; an indication that shear is relaxing and outflow is becoming established. It looks to me like this system is starting to stack vertically. In summary, I think it's finally show time for 9IL and I expect an upgrade at any time with continued intensification until landfall somewhere on the TX coast on Thursday.

[weatherrabbit_tx]

This has mid to upper Texas gulf coast written all over it. I just hope it don't undergo rapid intensification as it approaches the coast. Perhaps a strong TS or possibly a weak Cat-1 cane.....MGC

alot of rain coming thats for sure!

[ncupsscweather]

I believe it will make landfall somewhere between Corpus Christi, Tx to Galveston, Tx.

[rainman31]

Bring on the rain, it was 102 degree's today in houston, and a heat index of 115 in galveston.

[RL3AO]

Dean didn't do the best against diurnal minimum...lets see how 91l does.

[weatherrabbit_tx]

something has to give, can't stay hot forever! cloud cover and rain will be welcomed not anything more!

[vaffie]

Take a good look guys--this is how it looks at the diurnal minimum--just wait 12 hours and then see how it looks...
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html
This is a potentially VERY dangerous storm for some people on the Texas coast.
The center is reforming at 24.7N. That is very bad news for Houston-Galveston/Port O'Connor.

[Brent]

Dean didn't do the best against diurnal minimum...lets see how 91l does.

The thing is... right now IS the diurnal minimum. It looks the best it has ever looked.

[HurricaneRobert]

Yeah, there are better ways to get rain than a bombed out hurricane.

[whereverwx]

This is a wonderfully contrasted image from GOES Project Science.

[JtSmarts]

It's looking real healthy right now, some deep reds in that ball of convection.