CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[cycloneye]

Now I am starting to wonder if the 00z GFS run will be out at all.

[Downdraft]

IS anyone on this forum buying the recurve? Or are mnay people thinking the latest runs may have innacurate data or flaws? Thanks.

One thing the models don't have at this point is dropsonde/radiosonde data to chew on from the ridging or overall synoptics ahead of the storm. They won't start getting that data till we start flying into it and around it. Till then I'll just wait and see.

[DESTRUCTION5]

I know bed time is coming soon for sure..

[x-y-no]

Now I am starting to wonder if the 00z GFS run will be out at all.

Yeah ... I've been checking every few minutes and it still hasn't started ...

Wonder what the heck is going on

[canetracker]

Now I am starting to wonder if the 00z GFS run will be out at all.

Me too, someone fell asleep at the wheel I guess.

[brunota2003]

Now I am starting to wonder if the 00z GFS run will be out at all.

GFS must be screaming "SEASON CANCEL!" and refusing the data altogether O.o It has a mind of its own..."You are now entering, The Twilight Zone."

[DESTRUCTION5]

I think we can all conclude a WNW motion will start in a few days the question is will ridge build back in..with TD4 underneath still..

[KFDM Meteorologist]

[KFDM Meteorologist]

There used to be a place you could go to read messages on if there was a problem or not with the run.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

It's starting!!! Post away folks!

[StormWarning1]

0Z GFS Data Analysis started 40 minutes late. 12 hour GFS due out in 10 minutes

[x-y-no]

initialization is out at last

[AJC3]

Has this been posted yet? ....

NOUS42 KWNO 140355
ADMNFD

SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS CAMP SPRINGS MD
1154 PM EDT MON AUG 13 2007


00Z GFS STARTED ON TIME BUT PROBLEMS WITH THE ANALYSIS WERE
DISCOVERED...SUPPORT IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING...FORECAST
HAS NOT STARTED THEREFORE DELAYS COULD BE ONE HOUR PLUS...

GOES-E WILL BE IN RSO UNTIL 14/0626Z.

GOES-W WILL BE IN RSO FROM ABOUT 2033Z UNTIL
14/1803Z DUE TO CWD CONCERNS..HRCN FLOSSIE.

A CWD WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 14/12Z TIL 16/00Z.

$$

SHRUELL/SDM/NCO/NCEP

[brunota2003]

"Bloody MODELS!" About time...looking forward to seeing it. Oh brother...someone put the wrong names on the paper apparently.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Lovely!

[Sanibel]

Wednesday night it should start calculating the High expected to move off north Florida. Up to then it is just general guidance for me. It is obvious that when the ridge was strong GFS straight-tracked Dean through the Caribbean. Now that it has changed GFS has changed. It will change again I'm sure.

[cycloneye]

Has this been posted yet? ....

NOUS42 KWNO 140355
ADMNFD

SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS CAMP SPRINGS MD
1154 PM EDT MON AUG 13 2007


00Z GFS STARTED ON TIME BUT PROBLEMS WITH THE ANALYSIS WERE
DISCOVERED...SUPPORT IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING...FORECAST
HAS NOT STARTED THEREFORE DELAYS COULD BE ONE HOUR PLUS...

GOES-E WILL BE IN RSO UNTIL 14/0626Z.

GOES-W WILL BE IN RSO FROM ABOUT 2033Z UNTIL
14/1803Z DUE TO CWD CONCERNS..HRCN FLOSSIE.

A CWD WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 14/12Z TIL 16/00Z.

$$

SHRUELL/SDM/NCO/NCEP

AJC3,what does RSO mean?

[canetracker]

12 hours

[canetracker]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/images/gfs_500_012l.gif
500 mb

[Sanibel]

Our local weatherman showed a High building up over north Florida and out into the Atlantic for Saturday bringing an easterly flow across Florida at the surface level.