CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads
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Re: HURRICANE DEAN -Threat Area -Yucatan Peninsula
Luis,
Hola! Nos hemos estado preparando en Cozumel desde el dia jueves por la tarde. Despues de tres dias continuos de "Wilma" la gente que tiene poco tiempo de vivir en la Isla tiene algo de temor; sin embargo, desde "Gilberto" aperndimos muy bien y tenemos una amplia cultura "huracanica" en el Estado de Quintana Roo y muy responsable. Las autoridades han estado realizando una labor excelente, e incluso la Agencia de Proteccion Civil han enviado avisos a través de los telefonos celulares a la mayor cantidad de gente posible. Cuando nos hemos visto afectados por huracanes la poblacion en general (aproximadamente72 mil) colaboramos lo mas posible con el gobierno. Aca en Cozumel, a pesar de que desde el jueves por la tarde la gente lleno las tres estaciones de gasolina que tenemos en la Isla, se nos informo que hay suficiente combustible e inclusive ayer se nos aviso que hay suficiente abasto en superemercados para 10 dias. Los barcos ("ferrys") que nos enlazan con el continente comenzaran a salir a partir de mañana (los de carga) y los de pasajeros probablemente continuen dando viajes hasta la noche del domingo o madrugada del lunes.
Hi! Here in Cozumel we have been preparing ourselves since Thursday afternoon. After three straight days of "Wilma" those who haven't lived in the Island for long are a bit afraid; however, since "Gilbert" we learned pretty well and in the Stat of Quintana Roo our "hurricane" awareness is quite broad and very responsible. Authorities have carried out a great job; the Civil Protection Agency has been even sending warnings through mobile phones to as many people as possible. When we have seen ourselves affected by hurricanes, we all (give or take 72 thousand) try to assist the government as much as possible. Here in Cozumel, even though since Thursday afternoon the three gas stations in the Island were full, we have been advised there is more than enough fuel and yesterday the authorities even mentioned that there are enough supplies in the Island for 10 days. The Ferry boats that link us to the mainland will leave tomorrow (the ones with the cargo) and passenger ferries will probably keep working until Sunday or early Monday morning.
Hola! Nos hemos estado preparando en Cozumel desde el dia jueves por la tarde. Despues de tres dias continuos de "Wilma" la gente que tiene poco tiempo de vivir en la Isla tiene algo de temor; sin embargo, desde "Gilberto" aperndimos muy bien y tenemos una amplia cultura "huracanica" en el Estado de Quintana Roo y muy responsable. Las autoridades han estado realizando una labor excelente, e incluso la Agencia de Proteccion Civil han enviado avisos a través de los telefonos celulares a la mayor cantidad de gente posible. Cuando nos hemos visto afectados por huracanes la poblacion en general (aproximadamente72 mil) colaboramos lo mas posible con el gobierno. Aca en Cozumel, a pesar de que desde el jueves por la tarde la gente lleno las tres estaciones de gasolina que tenemos en la Isla, se nos informo que hay suficiente combustible e inclusive ayer se nos aviso que hay suficiente abasto en superemercados para 10 dias. Los barcos ("ferrys") que nos enlazan con el continente comenzaran a salir a partir de mañana (los de carga) y los de pasajeros probablemente continuen dando viajes hasta la noche del domingo o madrugada del lunes.
Hi! Here in Cozumel we have been preparing ourselves since Thursday afternoon. After three straight days of "Wilma" those who haven't lived in the Island for long are a bit afraid; however, since "Gilbert" we learned pretty well and in the Stat of Quintana Roo our "hurricane" awareness is quite broad and very responsible. Authorities have carried out a great job; the Civil Protection Agency has been even sending warnings through mobile phones to as many people as possible. When we have seen ourselves affected by hurricanes, we all (give or take 72 thousand) try to assist the government as much as possible. Here in Cozumel, even though since Thursday afternoon the three gas stations in the Island were full, we have been advised there is more than enough fuel and yesterday the authorities even mentioned that there are enough supplies in the Island for 10 days. The Ferry boats that link us to the mainland will leave tomorrow (the ones with the cargo) and passenger ferries will probably keep working until Sunday or early Monday morning.
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- Portastorm
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (11 PM page 245) Discussions, Analysis
Stratosphere747 wrote:The Texas benchmarks have been set since yesterday. N of Jamaica and then thru the Yucatan Channel. Neither of which look to happen.
Hey, no argument from me on this Strat ... all I was suggesting was that IF the storm continued on its current track, it appeared it would go over the island of Jamaica and not south of it.
I am not a "PIMBY" ...

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Re: Dean forecasts (Post personal forecasts here)
Sorry, I generally do 72-hour forecasts since errors tend to be very large at 4 and 5 days out.
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199
URNT15 KNHC 190328
AF302 0704A DEAN HDOB 37 20070819
031830 1610N 07147W 6973 02504 9296 +158 +137 251059 074 070 002 00
031900 1609N 07145W 6969 02571 9350 +154 +128 238077 078 073 002 00
031930 1607N 07144W 6967 02626 9423 +132 +132 230082 082 072 002 00
032000 1606N 07143W 6964 02671 9482 +120 +120 228089 095 082 007 00
032030 1605N 07141W 6968 02703 9530 +107 +107 227095 098 096 034 00
032100 1604N 07140W 6973 02738 9584 +092 +092 229105 110 096 036 01
032130 1603N 07139W 6965 02795 9668 +083 +083 229105 107 086 021 03
032200 1601N 07138W 6968 02826 9678 +097 +097 228101 104 086 008 00
032230 1600N 07137W 6960 02864 9727 +085 +085 227094 097 085 010 00
032300 1559N 07135W 6968 02880 9734 +100 +100 224092 094 084 008 00
032330 1558N 07134W 6965 02907 9753 +104 +104 223092 092 083 008 00
032400 1557N 07133W 6968 02915 9772 +104 +104 224087 090 082 018 00
032430 1556N 07132W 6971 02929 9789 +105 +105 224083 084 083 011 00
032500 1555N 07131W 6963 02954 9824 +090 +090 221078 081 082 011 03
032530 1554N 07129W 6970 02958 9828 +095 +095 223075 076 999 999 03
032600 1552N 07128W 6966 02978 9866 +084 +084 230074 078 084 031 03
032630 1551N 07127W 6970 02984 9885 +073 +073 232082 086 081 044 03
032700 1550N 07126W 6984 02980 9898 +070 +070 228086 088 080 020 01
032730 1549N 07125W 6959 03017 9901 +078 +078 218071 076 076 024 03
032800 1547N 07124W 6967 03019 9891 +098 +098 216070 070 077 009 00
$$
URNT15 KNHC 190328
AF302 0704A DEAN HDOB 37 20070819
031830 1610N 07147W 6973 02504 9296 +158 +137 251059 074 070 002 00
031900 1609N 07145W 6969 02571 9350 +154 +128 238077 078 073 002 00
031930 1607N 07144W 6967 02626 9423 +132 +132 230082 082 072 002 00
032000 1606N 07143W 6964 02671 9482 +120 +120 228089 095 082 007 00
032030 1605N 07141W 6968 02703 9530 +107 +107 227095 098 096 034 00
032100 1604N 07140W 6973 02738 9584 +092 +092 229105 110 096 036 01
032130 1603N 07139W 6965 02795 9668 +083 +083 229105 107 086 021 03
032200 1601N 07138W 6968 02826 9678 +097 +097 228101 104 086 008 00
032230 1600N 07137W 6960 02864 9727 +085 +085 227094 097 085 010 00
032300 1559N 07135W 6968 02880 9734 +100 +100 224092 094 084 008 00
032330 1558N 07134W 6965 02907 9753 +104 +104 223092 092 083 008 00
032400 1557N 07133W 6968 02915 9772 +104 +104 224087 090 082 018 00
032430 1556N 07132W 6971 02929 9789 +105 +105 224083 084 083 011 00
032500 1555N 07131W 6963 02954 9824 +090 +090 221078 081 082 011 03
032530 1554N 07129W 6970 02958 9828 +095 +095 223075 076 999 999 03
032600 1552N 07128W 6966 02978 9866 +084 +084 230074 078 084 031 03
032630 1551N 07127W 6970 02984 9885 +073 +073 232082 086 081 044 03
032700 1550N 07126W 6984 02980 9898 +070 +070 228086 088 080 020 01
032730 1549N 07125W 6959 03017 9901 +078 +078 218071 076 076 024 03
032800 1547N 07124W 6967 03019 9891 +098 +098 216070 070 077 009 00
$$
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- HeatherAKC
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (11 PM page 245) Discussions, Analysis
Stratosphere747 wrote:The Texas benchmarks have been set since yesterday. N of Jamaica and then thru the Yucatan Channel. Neither of which look to happen.
Well its a tiny bit early to say he won't go north of Jamaica since he hasn't past the island yet. Will be interesting to see what the morning brings.
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- Janie2006
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Re:
Aquawind wrote:That's awesome! This country and at least in Florida things are getting tough economicaly..and yet Americans keep giving.Who knows a Jamaica news or talk show station link (radio)
read this thread..

It feels good to give back. After Katrina, offers of help poured in from all over the world, it seems.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (11 PM page 245) Discussions, Analysis
Portastorm wrote:Stratosphere747 wrote:The Texas benchmarks have been set since yesterday. N of Jamaica and then thru the Yucatan Channel. Neither of which look to happen.
Hey, no argument from me on this Strat ... all I was suggesting was that IF the storm continued on its current track, it appeared it would go over the island of Jamaica and not south of it.
I am not a "PIMBY" ...
LOL...
I was a bit worried yesterday, but things seem to be falling in place. Hopefully Dean does the Jamaica two-step and passes far enough south to limit his effects.
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- Extremeweatherguy
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00z GFS coming in...
18 hrs.. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_018l.gif
500mb.. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_018l.gif
On the very southern edge of Jamaica.
18 hrs.. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_018l.gif
500mb.. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_018l.gif
On the very southern edge of Jamaica.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (11 PM page 245) Discussions, Analysis
teal61 wrote:Stratosphere747 wrote:The Texas benchmarks have been set since yesterday. N of Jamaica and then thru the Yucatan Channel. Neither of which look to happen.
Well its a tiny bit early to say he won't go north of Jamaica since he hasn't past the island yet. Will be interesting to see what the morning brings.
It's needs to start gaining some lat in hurry before I see that possibility. Will be fun to watch, especially for those that remember Ivan.
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Re: HURRICANE DEAN -Threat Area -Yucatan Peninsula

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- cycloneye
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Re: HURRICANE DEAN -Threat Area -Yucatan Peninsula
Cozumel wrote:Luis,
Hola! Nos hemos estado preparando en Cozumel desde el dia jueves por la tarde. Despues de tres dias continuos de "Wilma" la gente que tiene poco tiempo de vivir en la Isla tiene algo de temor; sin embargo, desde "Gilberto" aperndimos muy bien y tenemos una amplia cultura "huracanica" en el Estado de Quintana Roo y muy responsable. Las autoridades han estado realizando una labor excelente, e incluso la Agencia de Proteccion Civil han enviado avisos a través de los telefonos celulares a la mayor cantidad de gente posible. Cuando nos hemos visto afectados por huracanes la poblacion en general (aproximadamente72 mil) colaboramos lo mas posible con el gobierno. Aca en Cozumel, a pesar de que desde el jueves por la tarde la gente lleno las tres estaciones de gasolina que tenemos en la Isla, se nos informo que hay suficiente combustible e inclusive ayer se nos aviso que hay suficiente abasto en superemercados para 10 dias. Los barcos ("ferrys") que nos enlazan con el continente comenzaran a salir a partir de mañana (los de carga) y los de pasajeros probablemente continuen dando viajes hasta la noche del domingo o madrugada del lunes.
Hi! Here in Cozumel we have been preparing ourselves since Thursday afternoon. After three straight days of "Wilma" those who haven't lived in the Island for long are a bit afraid; however, since "Gilbert" we learned pretty well and in the Stat of Quintana Roo our "hurricane" awareness is quite broad and very responsible. Authorities have carried out a great job; the Civil Protection Agency has been even sending warnings through mobile phones to as many people as possible. When we have seen ourselves affected by hurricanes, we all (give or take 72 thousand) try to assist the government as much as possible. Here in Cozumel, even though since Thursday afternoon the three gas stations in the Island were full, we have been advised there is more than enough fuel and yesterday the authorities even mentioned that there are enough supplies in the Island for 10 days. The Ferry boats that link us to the mainland will leave tomorrow (the ones with the cargo) and passenger ferries will probably keep working until Sunday or early Monday morning.
Hola!.Me alegro mucho que todos los preparativos para la llegada del Huracan Dean estan adelantados.Eso esta muy bien que la poblacion colabore con el gobierno para factlitar que todo salga bien.Te deseo que todo te salga bien y no haya problemas.
Hello! I am happy to see that all the preparations for the arrival of Hurricane Dean are ahead of time.It is good to see that the population helps the authorities in many things in this type of event.I say to you,good luck and be safe.
Gracias por postear el link de la estacion de radio.
Thanks for posting the link to the radio station.
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- Extremeweatherguy
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Re:
Aquawind wrote:That's awesome! This country and at least in Florida things are getting tough economicaly..and yet Americans keep giving.Who knows a Jamaica news or talk show station link (radio)
read this thread..
and good luck getting in... I lost my connection and it took me 30 minutes to get back in.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (11 PM page 245) Discussions, Analysis
NHC forecast points just went slightly south of Jamaica on NHC Satellite loops.
First time I've seen a forecast point predict a category 5 off yucatan.
First time I've seen a forecast point predict a category 5 off yucatan.
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Re: HURRICANE DEAN -Threat Area -Yucatan Peninsula
cycloneye wrote:Cozumel wrote:Luis,
Hola! Nos hemos estado preparando en Cozumel desde el dia jueves por la tarde. Despues de tres dias continuos de "Wilma" la gente que tiene poco tiempo de vivir en la Isla tiene algo de temor; sin embargo, desde "Gilberto" aperndimos muy bien y tenemos una amplia cultura "huracanica" en el Estado de Quintana Roo y muy responsable. Las autoridades han estado realizando una labor excelente, e incluso la Agencia de Proteccion Civil han enviado avisos a través de los telefonos celulares a la mayor cantidad de gente posible. Cuando nos hemos visto afectados por huracanes la poblacion en general (aproximadamente72 mil) colaboramos lo mas posible con el gobierno. Aca en Cozumel, a pesar de que desde el jueves por la tarde la gente lleno las tres estaciones de gasolina que tenemos en la Isla, se nos informo que hay suficiente combustible e inclusive ayer se nos aviso que hay suficiente abasto en superemercados para 10 dias. Los barcos ("ferrys") que nos enlazan con el continente comenzaran a salir a partir de mañana (los de carga) y los de pasajeros probablemente continuen dando viajes hasta la noche del domingo o madrugada del lunes.
Hi! Here in Cozumel we have been preparing ourselves since Thursday afternoon. After three straight days of "Wilma" those who haven't lived in the Island for long are a bit afraid; however, since "Gilbert" we learned pretty well and in the Stat of Quintana Roo our "hurricane" awareness is quite broad and very responsible. Authorities have carried out a great job; the Civil Protection Agency has been even sending warnings through mobile phones to as many people as possible. When we have seen ourselves affected by hurricanes, we all (give or take 72 thousand) try to assist the government as much as possible. Here in Cozumel, even though since Thursday afternoon the three gas stations in the Island were full, we have been advised there is more than enough fuel and yesterday the authorities even mentioned that there are enough supplies in the Island for 10 days. The Ferry boats that link us to the mainland will leave tomorrow (the ones with the cargo) and passenger ferries will probably keep working until Sunday or early Monday morning.
Hola!.Me alegro mucho que todos los preparativos para la llegada del Huracan Dean estan adelantados.Eso esta muy bien que la poblacion colabore con el gobierno para factlitar que todo salga bien.Te deseo que todo te salga bien y no haya problemas.
Hello! I am happy to see that all the preparations for the arrival of Hurricane Dean are ahead of time.It is good to see that the population helps the authorities in many things in this type of event.I say to you,good luck and be safe.
MUCHAS GRACIAS!!!!! Tanto a ti como a todos los que estan deseando que todo salga lo mejor posible
THANK YOU VERY MUCH! Both to you as well as to all that have hoping for the best outcome
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- HURAKAN
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957
URNT15 KNHC 190338
AF302 0704A DEAN HDOB 38 20070819
032830 1547N 07124W 6967 03019 9897 +095 +095 217071 073 077 009 00
032900 1545N 07122W 6967 03034 9923 +086 +086 220073 075 073 007 00
032930 1544N 07121W 6962 03052 9937 +084 +084 223072 074 072 007 00
033000 1542N 07120W 6967 03053 9955 +077 +077 227072 074 069 006 00
033030 1541N 07119W 6964 03061 9977 +067 +067 228075 077 064 029 03
033100 1540N 07118W 6970 03065 9996 +058 +058 220078 079 062 018 01
033130 1539N 07117W 6978 03058 0022 +047 +047 210074 075 062 019 00
033200 1538N 07116W 6960 03087 0021 +050 +050 207075 075 060 018 03
033230 1537N 07115W 6965 03085 9997 +072 +072 205074 075 062 041 03
033300 1536N 07113W 6965 03090 0001 +074 +074 203070 071 059 007 00
033330 1535N 07112W 6966 03098 0008 +073 +073 205069 070 058 008 00
033400 1534N 07111W 6969 03095 0020 +069 +069 204068 070 057 014 03
033430 1533N 07110W 6963 03110 0049 +049 +049 201064 064 055 048 03
033500 1532N 07109W 6970 03106 0052 +049 +049 201061 063 056 044 03
033530 1532N 07109W 6970 03106 0041 +064 +064 202059 060 057 044 03
033600 1532N 07109W 6970 03106 0043 +064 +064 203061 062 056 046 03
033630 1529N 07105W 6963 03122 0042 +068 +068 199062 062 056 010 00
033700 1528N 07104W 6967 03121 0047 +067 +067 201063 064 055 017 03
033730 1527N 07102W 6967 03123 0058 +061 +061 201061 061 999 999 03
033800 1527N 07102W 6967 03123 0074 +055 +055 200059 061 999 999 03
$$
URNT15 KNHC 190338
AF302 0704A DEAN HDOB 38 20070819
032830 1547N 07124W 6967 03019 9897 +095 +095 217071 073 077 009 00
032900 1545N 07122W 6967 03034 9923 +086 +086 220073 075 073 007 00
032930 1544N 07121W 6962 03052 9937 +084 +084 223072 074 072 007 00
033000 1542N 07120W 6967 03053 9955 +077 +077 227072 074 069 006 00
033030 1541N 07119W 6964 03061 9977 +067 +067 228075 077 064 029 03
033100 1540N 07118W 6970 03065 9996 +058 +058 220078 079 062 018 01
033130 1539N 07117W 6978 03058 0022 +047 +047 210074 075 062 019 00
033200 1538N 07116W 6960 03087 0021 +050 +050 207075 075 060 018 03
033230 1537N 07115W 6965 03085 9997 +072 +072 205074 075 062 041 03
033300 1536N 07113W 6965 03090 0001 +074 +074 203070 071 059 007 00
033330 1535N 07112W 6966 03098 0008 +073 +073 205069 070 058 008 00
033400 1534N 07111W 6969 03095 0020 +069 +069 204068 070 057 014 03
033430 1533N 07110W 6963 03110 0049 +049 +049 201064 064 055 048 03
033500 1532N 07109W 6970 03106 0052 +049 +049 201061 063 056 044 03
033530 1532N 07109W 6970 03106 0041 +064 +064 202059 060 057 044 03
033600 1532N 07109W 6970 03106 0043 +064 +064 203061 062 056 046 03
033630 1529N 07105W 6963 03122 0042 +068 +068 199062 062 056 010 00
033700 1528N 07104W 6967 03121 0047 +067 +067 201063 064 055 017 03
033730 1527N 07102W 6967 03123 0058 +061 +061 201061 061 999 999 03
033800 1527N 07102W 6967 03123 0074 +055 +055 200059 061 999 999 03
$$
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