TD INGRID: Discussions & Images - Last Advisory

[gatorcane]

Steve Weagle local met in West Palm said 91L will most likely be a fish on its currect track. It will be interesting to see the synoptic set up next week for the CONUS.

Are you kidding me? How can he say this? If anything it has a good chance of going through the Hebert box which increases the chance of a South Florida hit!!!

[canegrl04]

Wow! This thing looks mucho improved since late yesterday. Hello Humberto later today

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Clicking on Nrl to see if Humberto comes.

[HURAKAN]

LATEST:

[LeeJet]

Looks like a primative Andrew with that Buzz-saw style.

[Vortex]

latest visible is due west with a hint of a wsw motion...GFDL hinted at this in the short-term in the 6z run...Thoughts???

[bvigal]

Getting really tired of waiting for model updates on this. No 6z at all, except GFDL track, and now they've released 12z on 90L!

[Gustywind]

westerly movement more pronounced...

Looks like an eye will be forming real soon too...

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/atir.html

Gusty - Did I say something wrong?

NO absolutely no, it's a mistake of my part, ive made an error onthe button lool nothing...agree with the west mouvement very prononced

[x-y-no]

Well, good morning ...

This sure is looking impressive. Don't know if we get an upgrade to TS right away at 11, but it sure looks like one on satellite.

[HURAKAN]

[SWFLA_CANE]

Does anyone know what the T-Numbers are for this?

[windstorm99]

[chris_fit]

Holey Moley what a difference a day makes. To us amateurs this looks great! Easily a TD. Any pro-mets opinions on this this morning?

[Ivanhater]

Doesnt look like a fish to me!

[gatorcane]

should be a TD by 11AMEST and if not by 5PM EST today.

I'm curious what the cone looks like. I'm thinking the NHC will point it at or near the NE Leeward islands......

This is a classic Sept. Cape Verde system unfolding folks.

[Gustywind]

Right now the islands look like they are in for a hit. At what intensity I don't know - but wait, in weak synoptics these things pull up quickly in front of the islands sometimes. Unless some of the previous ridge tendency is still entrenched.

Hummm.....difficult to say sanibel....but i don't like it in fact... the last GFDL...and by extrapolation of this latest run of the gfdl.... seems that a huge ridge putting the system on my island: 16N °60,1W( horrible if it happens)....very suspicious...something to monitor carefully for sure as this thing getting better organized hour after hours!!

[Fego]

Does anyone know what the T-Numbers are for this?

12/0600 UTC 13.2N 43.1W T1.5/1.5 91L

almost a TD

[brunota2003]

Does anyone know what the T-Numbers are for this?

12/0600 UTC 13.2N 43.1W T1.5/1.5 91L

[Gustywind]

latest visible is due west with a hint of a wsw motion...GFDL hinted at this in the short-term in the 6z run...Thoughts???

Yeah man absolutely i 've noticed that i don't see any wnw mouvement west or a hint of wsw as yoou mentionned it..... keep watching that for the islands.....

[punkyg]

Is there any signs the models are shifting south?

Oh i might get it right with 91L, might form at 5pm. i hope it forms at 11am
or 5pm