TD INGRID: Discussions & Images - Last Advisory

[bvigal]

OK, while I was doing that last post and noting the Special TDS on 90L, I see the new 12z model data was released. a. they still say moving WNW b. speed has increased
I think Leewards need to watch this carefully. Yes, if it intensifies soon, it could go fish.

[windstorm99]

08L.NONAME just appeared on NRL....But not sure if this 91L.

[punkyg]

They have noname on the Navy/NRL site

[Ed Mahmoud]

You should see where the Euro has this in 10 days.


Of course, even if I weren't a complete amateur, far to early to speculate on a 69th anniversary repeat of the 1938 Long Island Cat 3 Hurricane.

[punkyg]

Of course it is 91L you should know that already. its better organized, then 90L

[Chris_in_Tampa]

91L becomes TD8

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 007.invest

Sustained Winds: 30 knots
Position: 13.1N 44.2W
Pressure: 1007mb

[WmE]

Well, it certainly looks like a TD.

[Evil Jeremy]

NONAME!!!!!!!!!!!

[hurricanetrack]

A horse with no name?



Looks good this morning.

[destruction92]

You should see where the Euro has this in 10 days.


Of course, even if I weren't a complete amateur, far to early to speculate on a 69th anniversary repeat of the 1938 Long Island Cat 3 Hurricane.

IMO, South Carolina to the Keys looks safer than before (even the Euro is hinting at a weakening ridge)

The mid-Atlantic may not be so lucky though.

[hurricanetrack]

It will be interesting to see how much of that GFS forecast 200mb screaming wind shear comes to fruition. If it is as bad as the GFS shows, then this thing will be cut to bits. Then, if it survives that supposed shear, conditions get better. But where will it be at that time?

[Derek Ortt]

I have an AMS meting at 10:30, so I will have to issue both forecasts prior to the meeting

I will put up the links though (I am not sure I will even now be able to make the meeting since we have TWO TDs)

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT WED 12 SEPTEMBER 2007
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 13/1100Z TO 14/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2007
TCPOD NUMBER.....07-111

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (NEAR GALVESTON)
FLIGHT ONE
A. 13/0600Z
B. AFXXX 02HHA CYCLONE
C. 13/0430Z
D. 29.0N 95.0W
E. 13/0530Z TO 13/0900Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT TWO
A. 13/1800Z
B. AFXXX 03HHA CYCLONE
C. 13/1630Z
D. 29.4N 94.9
E. 13/1730Z TO 13/2100Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08
FLIGHT ONE
A. 14/0000Z
B. NOAA3 0108A CYCLONE
C. 13/2000Z
D. 14.0N 48.0W
E. 13/2300Z TO 14/0230Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT TWO
A. 14/1200Z
B. NOAA2 0208A CYCLONE
C. 14/0800Z
D. 14.5N 49.5W
E. 14/1130Z TO 14/1400Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

[bvigal]

Holy crap, they did them both - 8 & 9! Busy morning!

[hurricanetrack]

Are there two TDs now? It seems obvious, but is it almost official?

We are really cranking out the named storms. A little short on the hurricane side of things, which seems odd, but the named storms by the end of the day could be up to nine!

[windstorm99]

Are there two TDs now? It seems obvious, but is it almost official?

We are really cranking out the named storms. A little short on the hurricane side of things, which seems odd, but the named storms by the end of the day could be up to nine!

Yes mark...TD8-TD9 born this morning and advisorys should begin at 11am for both.

[Derek Ortt]

theya re both TDs per the official file and the recon report (well, TD 8 is listen in ther econ report, but TD 9 is in the official file)

[windstorm99]

On its way to become a TS for sure if this keeps up.

[gatorcane]

theya re both TDs per the official file and the recon report (well, TD 8 is listen in ther econ report, but TD 9 is in the official file)

so we should see the official NHC cone at 11:30AM.

We are all curious....

[DESTRUCTION5]

theya re both TDs per the official file and the recon report (well, TD 8 is listen in ther econ report, but TD 9 is in the official file)

so we should see the official NHC cone at 11:30AM.

We are all curious....

Yes..I think the Gulf should get humberto and Atl get I storm per I stoms have all been monsters..