ATL: Invest 97L in Central Atlantic

[Honeyko]

Assuming the low, already at 14N barely off Africa, stays closed with a few CBs firing in spurts every so often....I say, with 99% confidence, it'll go fishing.

(This is one reason I rarely if ever get excited about anything emerging off Africa unless it's really, really low.)

[HURAKAN]

AL, 97, 2008072300, , BEST, 0, 158N, 240W, 20, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2008072306, , BEST, 0, 157N, 260W, 20, 1009

120 nm in 6 hours = 20 nm (knots) per hour. That's fast.

[HURAKAN]

From the prince to the pauper.

[KWT]

This is going to have a very hard time keeping going, it probably will not do anything if ever till 40W.

Hurakan, yep really getting send quickly to the west now, slightly tothe south of west.

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...A
COUPLE HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...AND IS MOVING
WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA

________

Sounds correct.

[HouTXmetro]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...A
COUPLE HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...AND IS MOVING
WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA

________

Sounds correct.

The lack of development now could make it CONUS player later.

[stormchazer]

Frankly this could be bad news. If it can maintain some structure, it may develop closer to the the islands and the CONUS. It would be better if it developed now as it would almost certainly recurve.

Of course it may never develop and this all may be a mute point.

[canegrl04]

The next Africa wave looks like it'll be a major player in the coming days.Especially since it is a low lat system.Models project it to enter the Carribean

[HURAKAN]

It has to move out of here because the environment is just trying to kill it. I think that nothing will happen until it passes 40W. At the moment is moving at about 20 knots per hour or 1 degree west every three hours. 40 - 26 = 14 * 3 = 42 hours!

[Sjones]

Wonder what JB's take is on this

[bob rulz]

If it became weak enough to be removed from the NRL site and then later restrengthened when it got further west and was re-declared an INVEST, would it get a new designation or would it be 97L again?

[HURAKAN]

It's there:



You may need to hit the "refresh" bottom.

[jhamps10]

I'm a bit nurveous watching this. with it moving so fast, with it weak it would help it to unfourntally possibly become a problem for the Islands and eventually possibly the conus way down the road.

[cycloneye]

A little more convection than yesterday.It still has a well defined low pressure.

[Sanibel]

94L didn't convect until it reached the west Atlantic.

[HURAKAN]

I know that after 94L/Dolly, not a lot of people will lose faith in this one very quickly, but we have to remember that in this area Bertha struggled for days and she already had an organized circulation. It's the usual game of wait and see.

[Gustywind]

Any models on that jhamps10???

[Blown Away]

A little more convection than yesterday.It still has a well defined low pressure.

Where do you see a defined low (Lat/long)?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-vis.html

[cycloneye]

This was the ATCF best track early this morning.

AL, 97, 2008072306, , BEST, 0, 157N, 260W, 20, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,

[tailgater]

If this investment stays small and doesn't intensify too much, this system could in fact move SW for a little bit, and then head W. If this happens this could follow the path of 94L/TS Dolly/Hurricane Dolly.

This wave is huge and wil not develop quickly probably @55 W. IMHO