ATL Tropical Depression GUSTAV - Model Runs

[Stormcenter]

I guess we can expect a hook NE thanks to the trough coming in from west. I look for further shifts to east in the coming days. It's all about timing.

[Stormcenter]

ooZ GFDL Shifts East and wipes out NO

I've been calling for a NOLA hit, I'm afraid I may be correct.

5 days out....it won't happen. .

[Wx_Warrior]

5 days isn't 7....countdown is on i'm afraid and things wont change much inside 5-4-3...each run now is getting critical...no one is out of the proverbial woods....Isn't GFDL supposed to be the "golden" model of NHC?

[TSmith274]

Someone please post the animation. I lost my links

[PTrackerLA]

GFDL . This back and forth is only keeping the current NHC track relatively steady, although we're still 5 days out from landfall and Gustav still needs to break free of Haiti.

[alicia83]

ooZ GFDL Shifts East and wipes out NO

Either that's yesterday's run or else my gfdl program hasn't updated.

[Stormcenter]

5 days isn't 7....countdown is on i'm afraid and things wont change much inside 5-4-3...each run now is getting critical...no one is out of the proverbial woods....Isn't GFDL supposed to be the "golden" model of NHC?

Yes yet they went against it 11Pm last night. I have hard time buying into any track when
a storm is this far out. JMHO

[PTrackerLA]

Someone please post the animation. I lost my links

Not posted yet but you can find it here http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

[TSmith274]

Thanks PTracker.

HWRF is horrific

[Stormcenter]

Thanks PTracker.

HWRF is horrific

I'm not sure what you mean...for who or what?

[TSmith274]

Looks to me that it takes a monster hurricane just to the west of N.O.

[Brent]

Thanks PTracker.

HWRF is horrific

I'm not sure what you mean...for who or what?

Pretty self-explanatory...

[PTrackerLA]

Holy ****, and that's the second night in a row I have to say that at this time. Time for bed .

[shah8]

Let me spell it out for you.

The HWRF is saying that NO will be seeing a hurricane with nearly 200mph winds.

The GDFL is just as evil. It destroys La Habana with cat 5 winds.

I'm about set to freak out. Peeps better pray that Haiti, no matter how many people Gustav might have killed, did a good job of disrupting the circulation.

[Duddy]

Holy ****, and that's the second night in a row I have to say that at this time. Time for bed .

I feel ya man, these models are making sure I have a nightmare every night this week.

[Wx_Warrior]

Prayers with everyone bro....IMHO don't think it's going to be that big of a monster but nasty enough.

[Innotech]

I do have to admit its a bit worrying that models are hanging onto a storm of this intensity for two days now. Not the same model either. They might be seeing something, but arent conditions in the gulf supposed to be sheared a bit??

[ROCK]

Let me spell it out for you.

The HWRF is saying that NO will be seeing a hurricane with nearly 200mph winds.

The GDFL is just as evil. It destroys La Habana with cat 5 winds.

I'm about set to freak out. Peeps better pray that Haiti, no matter how many people Gustav might have killed, did a good job of disrupting the circulation.

I am sure Haitian people appreciate your post.......people think some before you post something like this, please...

[ROCK]

[quote="Wx_Warrior"]Prayers with everyone bro....IMHO don't think it's going to be that big of a monster but nasty enough.


Coop, your landfall prediction move up the coast some now? better call that source of yours...

[RL3AO]

HWRF: http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/hwrftc2.cgi?time=2008082700-gustav07l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

892 mb south of Louisiana.

GFDL: http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2008082700-gustav07l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

904 mb and destroyed the Cayman Islands.