ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[Steve]

QPF Maps most apropos:

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml

[Ivanhater]

QPF Maps most apropos:

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml

Oh crap

[Steve]

FWIW, looks like 14" days 1-3 and another 8+/- on days 4-5. So you'll get about 22" over the next few days. Better ice up more than just a few cold ones over there on the panhandle.

Steve

[tolakram]

I think we can call Fay nearly stationary now ...



precip totals rising fast.

[Sabanic]

QPF Maps most apropos:

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml

Oh crap

Now that would make for a very nasty situation for everyone along the NGC

[Steve]

>>Now that would make for a very nasty situation for everyone along the NGC

LOL. Can't help busting out laughing seeing "21" inches for the western and central panhandle (you don't see that kind of a prediction every day). Luckily the majority of the soils there are super well drained and very sandy but it doesn't mean that places won't flood (lots of streams and rivers in there). Word is much of Arabi/Chalmette is sees streets filling up with rainstorms. Hopefully they won't have to deal with any extensive flooding further down the road.

Steve

[baygirl_1]

Steve, thanks for posting the QPF map link... I think! Yikes! Think it's time to send the DH out to Home Depot for the Evan Almighty Ark Kit.

[Agua]

LOL... This is beyond ridiculous. Sorry FL folks.

[Sabanic]

>>Now that would make for a very nasty situation for everyone along the NGC

LOL. Can't help busting out laughing seeing "21" inches for the western and central panhandle (you don't see that kind of a prediction every day). Luckily the majority of the soils there are super well drained and very sandy but it doesn't mean that places won't flood (lots of streams and rivers in there). Word is much of Arabi/Chalmette is sees streets filling up with rainstorms. Hopefully they won't have to deal with any extensive flooding further down the road.

Steve

It would not be good for Southern Mobile County for sure.

[mutley]

Precipitation has fallen off quite a bit in Fay. Is she finally succumbing to land interaction and lack of fuel source?

[Steve]

>>It would not be good for Southern Mobile County for sure.

I lived down that way (Dauphin Island) for 2 months after Katrina. Soils are pretty well drained there too, but you also have all those watersheds from the Mobile, Dog, etc. rivers that run through there. Could be some soggy days, but that's always the threat with depressions and tropical storms. Seems like every few years there's that one that comes along before the peak of the season when the steering currents flux - examples being Allison, Frances 98, Fay, etc.

Steve

[Stangfriik]

I think we can call Fay nearly stationary now ...



precip totals rising fast.

Wow I didn't realize we have received that much rain

[Sabanic]

>>It would not be good for Southern Mobile County for sure.

I lived down that way (Dauphin Island) for 2 months after Katrina. Soils are pretty well drained there too, but you also have all those watersheds from the Mobile, Dog, etc. rivers that run through there. Could be some soggy days, but that's always the threat with depressions and tropical storms. Seems like every few years there's that one that comes along before the peak of the season when the steering currents flux - examples being Allison, Frances 98, Fay, etc.

Steve

Exactly Steve

[carversteve]

>>Now that would make for a very nasty situation for everyone along the NGC

LOL. Can't help busting out laughing seeing "21" inches for the western and central panhandle (you don't see that kind of a prediction every day). Luckily the majority of the soils there are super well drained and very sandy but it doesn't mean that places won't flood (lots of streams and rivers in there). Word is much of Arabi/Chalmette is sees streets filling up with rainstorms. Hopefully they won't have to deal with any extensive flooding further down the road.

Steve

It would not be good for Southern Mobile County for sure.

I just hope that it doesn't make hurricane status and decide to head towards long beach mississippi!!!! I went down there for a week with my church to help with clean up after katrina..All i can say is they really can't handle another one so soon!! Just total devastation.

[Stormcenter]

This is really becoming ridiculous. I have my doubts she even see the GOM again.

[Steve]

>>I just hope that it doesn't make hurricane status and decide to head towards long beach mississippi!!!! I went down there for a week with my church to help with clean up after katrina..All i can say is they really can't handle another one so soon!! Just total devastation.

Thing with Long Beach is there isn't a whole lot down there yet - was there a couple of months back myself. Most of the US 90 properties were wiped off the map there and Pass Christian. The Mayor just held a big gala thing last Sunday, and the city is buying up a lot of the corners @ intersections for right-of-ways and improvements. They'll get it back together again, but short of building a 3 Gorges style monumental engineering structure (semi-circle?) or piling up miles of rock jetties (very shallow near shore there), I don't know how they don't prevent future surges such as the ones seen in Camille and Katrina. It's too bad, because even though the beaches aren't that great in Coastal Mississippi (say compared to Baldwin County on east), it's a good and easy lifestyle.

Steve

[Dean4Storms]

West at 2mph, I could outwalk here across the state, maybe beat her crawling!

[Sabanic]

This is really becoming ridiculous. I have my doubts she even see the GOM again.

SHE is ridiculous for sure, but any concern by anyone at this time is while hopefully only going to be from what will be heavy rains you can never be 100% sure. Fay is another storm that has proven that.

[amanda]

ok, i will be the first the admit that i am an EXTREME amateur when it comes to understanding tropical storms. but i was looking at the weather underground site spaghetti models and i couldn't help but wonder, what happens if fay follows a path similar to the current NGFDL model? it has her moving west and then south. first of all, being out in the gulf for a period of time like that doesn't seem like good news (although we may have established that fay is a water phobe, so who knows) but where would she be likely to go after that? does anybody think she may eventually do another boomerang and re-cross the florida peninsula from west to east??

[caneman]

Doesn't the rainfall amouint now beat out Allison? I believe 30" for Melbourne. Also, it seems there was a system recently that maintained its structure all the up Oklahoma. Anyone remember what system that was? I'm guessing Fay is going to be a retired name.