ATL HANNA: Extratropical - Discussion

[hial2]

Well I have wwl4 on lessoning to them and reading and looking about Nanna.

I have freinds in La so I am concern for them and the farm.

Storm,you need to relax my friend...you sound (understandably) really stressed..

[storms in NC]

714
URNT12 KNHC 311624 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 31/15:44:50Z
B. 23 deg 42 min N
070 deg 45 min W
C. 850 mb 1420 m
D. 34 kt
E. 320 deg 62 nm
F. 058 deg 043 kt
G. 320 deg 063 nm
H. 998 mb
I. 18 C/ 1524 m
J. 20 C/ 1526 m
K. 17 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF302 0108A HANNA OB 06 CCA
MAX FL WIND 48 KT SE QUAD 15:59:10 Z

Wow a lot better than I thought. Cause she looks so bad.

[Bane]

definitely surprised they found the pressure under 1000 mb.

[storms in NC]

Well I have wwl4 on lessoning to them and reading and looking about Nanna.

I have freinds in La so I am concern for them and the farm.

Storm,you need to relax my friend...you sound (understandably) really stressed..

Naw not at all But thank you for your concern.I am alone most of the time. So I come on here to keep busy

deb

[cpdaman]

looking like a very vigorous LLC only thing is i can't tell where this ULL is, did it weaken or something, it's still over hanna right ( i mean the NHC 11 am disco said that) but tuff to see


cimss 200mb relative vorticity (upper level) trends show ULL vorticity stretching out well south of hanna (into central caribean) , telling me ULL is getting streched and shunted south? perhaps she will be good to go soon?

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8vor1.html

[cpdaman]

definitely surprised they found the pressure under 1000 mb.

why the bouy i have linked on every page, has been low all along (Under 29.60 since 6 am)

also looks like she is ready to take that WSW turn

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-vis.html

[terrapintransit]

Pressure drop to 998...

[greels]

I have been reading these posts about recon and what you are seeing.

Layman that I am, I don't have a "clue" what you are saying....

Bottom line....what does that say for us here in the Turks & Caicos????

We are under IS warning but radio not issuing reports.

I would deeply appreciate an answer from someone.

Thanks

[cpdaman]

I have been reading these posts about recon and what you are seeing.

Layman that I am, I don't have a "clue" what you are saying....

Bottom line....what does that say for us here in the Turks & Caicos????I wouldy deeply appreciate an answer from someone.

Thanks.

bump for pro met

[jlauderdal]

I have been reading these posts about recon and what you are seeing.

Layman that I am, I don't have a "clue" what you are saying....

Bottom line....what does that say for us here in the Turks & Caicos????I wouldy deeply appreciate an answer from someone.

Thanks.

listen to your local authorities, its that simple

[storms in NC]

I have been reading these posts about recon and what you are seeing.

Layman that I am, I don't have a "clue" what you are saying....

Bottom line....what does that say for us here in the Turks & Caicos????

We are under IS warning but radio not issuing reports.

I would deeply appreciate an answer from someone.

Thanks

From recon B. 23 deg 42 min N
070 deg 45 min W
that would but it passed you to the north aready should be to the NW of you now. If I am reading it right

[CourierPR]

Earlier, the models seemed to be overestimating the ridge strength. Now I wonder if they may be underestimating its future strength.

[vacanechaser]

I have been reading these posts about recon and what you are seeing.

Layman that I am, I don't have a "clue" what you are saying....

Bottom line....what does that say for us here in the Turks & Caicos????

We are under IS warning but radio not issuing reports.

I would deeply appreciate an answer from someone.

Thanks

it means that the system is a little stronger, in terms of pressure, than the nhc thought... just by looking at the sat images, it would appear that the system is much weaker than that... now, hanna is still on track of the forecast as of now.. if you are in the cone, pay attention to your local statements... it really means nothing new for you at this time.... it is just a bit stronger, pressure wise, than we thought.. hope that helps better


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[greels]

Thank you for your explanation.

Plain and simple....there are NO reports from our radio stations....I was just curious about whether or not it was strengthening.

[KWT]

Well the models did show strengthening around this time despite the marginal conditions and that seems to be coming true.

Hanna is certainly tricky little system to try and forecast...
I suspect eventually the conditions will improve for it its just how long does that take?

[JonathanBelles]

Crist is holding a press conference for Hanna and Gustav. Hanna may cause evacuations on the upper east coast in the coming days.

[Blown Away]

I don't know if there is a connection, but I noticed most of Gus's models last night showed a NE turn after landfall and when they did Hanna's models made that big right jump. Today all of Gus's models make a left turn after landfall and so far the GFS for Hanna has shifted back W. Just an observation.

[KWT]

Quite possibly Blown away if Gud got out of the way then it would open a weakness for Hanna to go into but if it doesn't go east then that weakness won't be nearly as strong.

I personally think Hanna may really have a hard time holding itself together for the next 2-3 days but after that it does seem conditions improve, if it can survive this hellish beating then this needs big time watching for the east coast in general.

[captain east]

So what you guys are saying is that if Gus moves more towards West, Hanna could potentially have a more favorable environment and a bigger chance of striking SF???

[tpr1967]

If hanna hits sfl it will not be because gus goes further west. It will be because the mid-upper
level cutoff low in west atlantic does not move as far south and west.
That feature is supposed to create a weakness in the ridge north of hanna.