ATL JOSEPHINE: Remnants - Discussion

[Chacor]

VISIBLE IMAGERY REVEALS AN INCREASE IN THE CYCLONE'S
ORGANIZATION...WITH VERY WELL-DEFINED CONVECTIVE BANDS AND EVEN A
DECEPTIVE CENTRAL FEATURE DISGUISED AS AN EYE.

That answers things...

[Buck]

Not an eye... but it still looks better than 35knots.

[RL3AO]

WIND SHEAR IS ESSENTIALLY NON-EXISTENT OVER THE CYCLONE...SO STEADY STRENGTHENING SEEMS LIKELY IN THE SHORT TERM...AND COULD BE RAPID GIVEN THE INCREASED ORGANIZATION AND THAT THE SHIPS-BASED RI INDEX GIVES A 50% CHANCE OF AN INTENSITY INCREASE OF 30 KT OR MORE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.


http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/tropical/atlantic/discussions/WTNT45_2008090214.disc

[HURAKAN]

I hope Josephine is our first true fish!

[Fego]

There you have it.. looked like an eye!

000
WTNT45 KNHC 021450
TCDAT5
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102008
1100 AM EDT TUE SEP 02 2008

VISIBLE IMAGERY REVEALS AN INCREASE IN THE CYCLONE'S
ORGANIZATION...WITH VERY WELL-DEFINED CONVECTIVE BANDS AND EVEN A
DECEPTIVE CENTRAL FEATURE DISGUISED AS AN EYE.

[Enzo Aquarius]

1100 AM EDT TUE SEP 02 2008

...TENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS IN THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC...

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 25.3 WEST OR ABOUT 125
MILES...205 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.

JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A
GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT ABOUT THE SAME FORWARD SPEED
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS
TRACK...JOSEPHINE WILL CONTINUE TO PASS JUST SOUTH OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE
EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND JOSEPHINE COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH ON WEDNESDAY
OR THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...13.2 N...25.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

[RL3AO]

There you have it.. looked like an eye!

000
WTNT45 KNHC 021450
TCDAT5
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102008
1100 AM EDT TUE SEP 02 2008

VISIBLE IMAGERY REVEALS AN INCREASE IN THE CYCLONE'S
ORGANIZATION...WITH VERY WELL-DEFINED CONVECTIVE BANDS AND EVEN A
DECEPTIVE CENTRAL FEATURE DISGUISED AS AN EYE.

Did you read the word before "as an eye"?

[TampaFl]

[littlevince]

(12Z)

[Enzo Aquarius]

Welcome the September 2008 Parade of Storms.

[HURAKAN]

There is a saying "believe nothing of what you hear, and only half of what you see."

Loop: http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/lis ... 5#controls

Press 12 in the animation frames, play, and faster.

Does it looks like an eye now?

In case you didn't see it.

[Weatherfreak000]

Josephine looks to me like the potential East Coast threat....not Ike....i'd check a sharp eye on this storm. Hopefully it doesn't follow in Hanna's footsteps..


(Three straight landfalling hurricanes......geez...this season is ridiculous)

[cycloneye]

From todays plan of the day:

POSSIBLY START 12-HRLY FIXES ON
TROPICAL STORM IKE AT 05/1800Z NEAR 21.5N 69.0W.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD.shtml?

[RL3AO]

From todays plan of the day:

POSSIBLY START 12-HRLY FIXES ON
TROPICAL STORM IKE AT 05/1800Z NEAR 21.5N 69.0W.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD.shtml?

Wrong thread.

[Ivanhater]

Im sorry thats an eye..and with wording like RI is likely soon, the NHC thinks so as well regardless of the wording in the discussion...

[cycloneye]

Yep,I just posted it there.

[HURAKAN]

Im sorry thats an eye..and with wording like RI is likely soon, the NHC thinks so as well regardless of the wording in the discussion...

Did you see the loop that I posted? Is not an eye.

[meteorologyman]

Is it just me or are these models making Josephine less of of a fish

[CrazyC83]

That looks like an eye to me...

As for the Recon thread, sending it out here is impossible, unfortunately. I think it is a lot more than 35 kt.

[DESTRUCTION5]

That looks like an eye to me...

As for the Recon thread, sending it out here is impossible, unfortunately. I think it is a lot more than 35 kt.

LOL..if that not an eye...Its the greatest fake eye in hurricane history..