ATL: Tropical Depression Edouard

[Aric Dunn]

Arik do you see a signifigant shft right in track?

I still see pretty much straight west.. no significant shift yet..

what everyone is likely seeing is a illusion from the radar looking so high up

also vis sat loops show a slight slow down but that is likely do to the convection blowing up and causing the center to wobble and shift around more but a west track is still what i have been plotting for a while now

[Bailey1777]

Me too just making sure I'm seeing right.

['CaneFreak]

Wow....this thing is NOT moving west northwest....its moving west....its an ILLUSION....look at the LA coast relative to the storm. Its not getting any closer to LA right now....look at the radar that RL3AO posted a minute ago...not moving west northwest...moving west...at about 7 or 8 mph...

[hriverajr]

Nah seems to be moving pretty much due west. Outflow may be improving a little bit to the north giving the illusion of a NW movement.

[vbhoutex]

Eyewall cells now developing....

I was noticing that too. With the pressure apparently beginning to fall again and the now imo obvious organization starting to take place I will not be at all surprised if Edouard is very near or just over Hurricane strength at landfall. Definitely looks like a wind wet day for the upper Texas coast and Houston metro area tomorrow.

['CaneFreak]

Nah seems to be moving pretty much due west. Outflow may be improving a little bit to the north giving the illusion of a NW movement.

Thanks for the clarification.

[Normandy]

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... uration=12

I think the problem people are having is that they aren't tracking the low center, but tracking the cloud motions of the convection. Remember that earlier Ed was not a symmetrical storm, but now he is much closer to being symmetrical. I look at that loop and notice two things.......1) Westward movement and 2) very slow movement of the center due to convective bursts causing wobbles.

[Bailey1777]

Thank you it does make a difference to those of us who live here.

[KWT]

Yep I think Aric is right there is the illusion of the center being further north on radar but the actual center is that little nook right on the southern side where the cells are popping up around it, i'm seeing roughly 275 as i said before. Dry air still looks like its working its way into the core mind you as well.

[HURAKAN]

Ed looks to be improving.

[tolakram]

I keep hoping it will start to lose some convection again but so far it keeps looking better and better.

[KWT]

The other thing that looks interesting is it does appear at least on Vis imagery to have slowed just a touch though recon will confirm or deny that over the next few hours.

New convection in the SW qaudrant should grow over the top of the LLC soon.

[Tireman4]

Nah seems to be moving pretty much due west. Outflow may be improving a little bit to the north giving the illusion of a NW movement.

Yep as the NHC said it would.

[Steve]

Took a walk down to the Mississippi River via Canal Street and got a couple of photos. The first is looking back north toward Harrah's Casino which shows some palms blowing. Second is looking down Canal Street also showing the palms blowing. It was gusting to the low 20's up there, but there were no signs of rain in the sky - just that tropical look of different types of clouds streaming in mostly from the southeast.

Photos:





Sorry the quality sucks, but my camera phone isn't the greatest. Hope you enjoy the live shots anyway.

Steve

[Aric Dunn]

oil rig right near the coast sustained tropical storm force which is a big difference from earlier when it was convection less..

[carversteve]

Ed looks to be improving.

He seems to be be wrapping up into a nice little storm..outflow looks good!!

[KWT]

Yep it doesn't look bad but we need to see it hold this presentation and get some more convection before it really strengthen any, recon has found a slightly lower pressure bt winds are no higher then before...yet...

[kurtpage]

Yep it doesn't look bad but we need to see it hold this presentation and get some more convection before it really strengthen any, recon has found a slightly lower pressure bt winds are no higher then before...yet...

just found 56 KNOT winds....

[drezee]

Yep it doesn't look bad but we need to see it hold this presentation and get some more convection before it really strengthen any, recon has found a slightly lower pressure bt winds are no higher then before...yet...

just found 56 KNOT winds....

That data is suspect...

171130 2801N 09106W 8456 01511 0077 +142 +142 315026 030 056 022 00


flight winds were 26 kts...

[kurtpage]

Yep it doesn't look bad but we need to see it hold this presentation and get some more convection before it really strengthen any, recon has found a slightly lower pressure bt winds are no higher then before...yet...

just found 56 KNOT winds....

That data is suspect...

171130 2801N 09106W 8456 01511 0077 +142 +142 315026 030 056 022 00


flight winds were 26 kts...

it was not marked 03 as suspect....