ATL JOSEPHINE: Remnants - Discussion

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capepoint
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#241 Postby capepoint » Tue Sep 02, 2008 8:35 pm

You would think that at some point upwelling from all of these storms will start to be a factor, would it not?
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Gustywind
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#242 Postby Gustywind » Tue Sep 02, 2008 8:57 pm

02/2345 UTC 13.6N 26.3W T2.0/3.0 JOSEPHINE -- Atlantic Ocean
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#243 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Sep 02, 2008 9:00 pm

Clearly weakening this evening. It appears to have run into about 15-20 kt of mid-level shear not related to the outflow.
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#244 Postby Chacor » Tue Sep 02, 2008 9:39 pm

viewtopic.php?f=25&t=102975

Have a guess as to Josephine's final stats if you haven't already.
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Re: ATL Tropical Storm JOSEPHINE - Discussion

#245 Postby tolakram » Tue Sep 02, 2008 10:05 pm

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fasterdisaster
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#246 Postby fasterdisaster » Tue Sep 02, 2008 10:13 pm

capepoint wrote:You would think that at some point upwelling from all of these storms will start to be a factor, would it not?


Maybe where Ike is but it's rare for waves to cause that.
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Re: ATL Tropical Storm JOSEPHINE - Discussion

#247 Postby masaji79 » Wed Sep 03, 2008 12:29 am

Why doesn't the NHC have a floater up over Josephine? Is she too far east?
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Re: ATL Tropical Storm JOSEPHINE - Discussion

#248 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Sep 03, 2008 1:16 am

masaji79 wrote:Why doesn't the NHC have a floater up over Josephine? Is she too far east?

Yep. Not in GOES territory yet.
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#249 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 03, 2008 5:25 am

Image

Good morning Josephine!
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#250 Postby KWT » Wed Sep 03, 2008 5:31 am

I think it still looks ok, I'd go as far as to say there may be some slight strengthening occuring right now but its not easy to tell with a system that far east still!
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#251 Postby Gustywind » Wed Sep 03, 2008 7:02 am

03/0545 UTC 13.6N 27.0W T2.5/3.0 JOSEPHINE -- Atlantic Ocean
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Re: ATL Tropical Storm JOSEPHINE - Discussion

#252 Postby Fego » Wed Sep 03, 2008 8:43 am

More to the West, nothing to the north..

03/1130 UTC 13.6N 28.2W T3.0/3.0 JOSEPHINE -- Atlantic Ocean
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Re: ATL Tropical Storm JOSEPHINE - Discussion

#253 Postby Fego » Wed Sep 03, 2008 8:45 am

wxmann_91 wrote:
masaji79 wrote:Why doesn't the NHC have a floater up over Josephine? Is she too far east?

Yep. Not in GOES territory yet.


You got a floater!..

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/vis-l.jpg
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#254 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 03, 2008 9:15 am

Image

Best Track 12z: 55 knots
AL, 10, 2008090312, , BEST, 0, 137N, 282W, 55, 1000, TS,
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Gustywind
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Re: ATL Tropical Storm JOSEPHINE - Discussion

#255 Postby Gustywind » Wed Sep 03, 2008 9:18 am

Fego wrote:More to the West, nothing to the north..

03/1130 UTC 13.6N 28.2W T3.0/3.0 JOSEPHINE -- Atlantic Ocean

Absolutely maybe a wobble hope that, if not...let's not imagine anything :cheesy: :spam:.
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#256 Postby Gustywind » Wed Sep 03, 2008 9:21 am

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
03/1130 UTC 13.6N 28.2W T3.0/3.0 JOSEPHINE
03/0545 UTC 13.6N 27.0W T2.5/3.0 JOSEPHINE
02/2345 UTC 13.6N 26.3W T2.0/3.0 JOSEPHINE
02/1800 UTC 13.4N 25.1W T3.0/3.0 JOSEPHINE
02/1745 UTC 13.4N 25.1W T2.5/2.5 JOSEPHINE
Not much westnorthwest movement as anticipated during the last few 12h :roll:... :?:
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#257 Postby KWT » Wed Sep 03, 2008 9:23 am

Looks like the models have overdone any weakness to the NW, however its still expected to lift out but who knows?

Looks like the NHC are ignoring the Dvorak guidence and I think 55kts is probably a reasonable estiamte based on its current apperence.
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Re:

#258 Postby Gustywind » Wed Sep 03, 2008 9:27 am

KWT wrote:Looks like the models have overdone any weakness to the NW, however its still expected to lift out but who knows?

Looks like the NHC are ignoring the Dvorak guidence and I think 55kts is probably a reasonable estiamte based on its current apperence.

Absolutely my friend KWT, we should continue to monitor miss Josephine Baker :lol: :eek: as usual, tropics are always suspicious at this period, us in the islands must not let our guard down...although the predictions are optimistic ,we're far away from a thread for the moment ( should it verifies days after days). :) :oops:.
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bob rulz
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#259 Postby bob rulz » Wed Sep 03, 2008 10:09 am

This storm may end up dissipating before being of any threat.
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#260 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 03, 2008 10:11 am

Weaker storms tend to move more westward. Bermuda needs to keep an eye on Josephine.

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