ATL: Tropical Depression Edouard

[HurricaneHunter914]

I don't think there will be many wobbles south anytime soon. For the past several hours, Edouard's been moving WNW/NW. I've already given up on this system bringing anything to my area.. I hope you guys north of Houston enjoy the rain.

[Scorpion]

I think it looks terrible and is going to hit near Sabine Pass. Houston won't feel a thing at this rate.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I'm beginning to wonder of the LLC has become decoupled from the mid and upper levels of the storm due to the shear from the ULL over the Yucatan.

Umm...kinda old news. Like ever-since-this-storm-formed old news.

Yes it is the way of this storm. It appears this will be one of the "weak" storms of this season, but of course this could change in a second, so we must keep watching. In Yes I'm thinking.

[Stormcenter]

I don't know if a Texas landfall is a sure thing anymore.



http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... x&loop=yes

[HouTXmetro]

Latest wobble is WSW or there is an appearance of an WSW wobble due to convection building in around the LLC.

[physicx07]

I feel that after the last part of the last recon (they should be up in the air again right now), the system has stacked. The center fix aloft was only 6SM from the LLC they found and there was a nice calm spot at the center, indicating to me that the circulation is better formed than convection would make it seem. I doubt another shift will happen if that's the case.

I think we'll know what's going on very soon with the recon. I think the system is better organized than it looks and wouldn't be surprised to see further strengthening since the last visit, and maybe an unscheduled update from NHC.

I must have missed where this suddenly became a Louisiana storm.

The NHC mentions the possiblilty if he makes another northward shift.

[fasterdisaster]

This has got to be the most underwhelming storm in years. I honestly thought this had a chance at Category 2, and don't try telling me it was unrealistic. Also note I said 'underwhelming' not 'disappointing' so no I don't want everyone to die.

[Stormcenter]

Latest wobble is WSW or there is an appearance of an WSW wobble due to convection building in around the LLC.

Don't see it.

[HURAKAN]

This thread is very busy as you already know, therefore, if you're going to post anything, please, use your time to post useful information. Happy faces, one-lines, one-words, two letters, and more will be erased without asking. Thanks.

[fasterdisaster]

Latest wobble is WSW or there is an appearance of an WSW wobble due to convection building in around the LLC.

Can't say I know what you're seeing

[Galvestongirl]

so, is it safe to say that this is not going into galveston bay?

[ROCK]

Ivan II comes to mind with this track. The northern eye wall was so close to the coast that it pulled the LLC up into it and made landfall after many models showed a Galveston hit......errily similar....

[fasterdisaster]

I think the system is better organized than it looks and wouldn't be surprised to see further strengthening since the last visit, and maybe an unscheduled update from NHC.

I would

[Red_Fish]

Steering currents ... can someone comment on them? Lots of speculation on jogs left or right but is there a fundamental change in the currents in that past 4-6 hours?

[Extremeweatherguy]

so, is it safe to say that this is not going into galveston bay?

The NHC still thinks it is...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... e#contents

However, Galveston island itself may be spared a direct hit.

[njweather]

so, is it safe to say that this is not going into galveston bay?

Sure it is...

[HURAKAN]

[fasterdisaster]

I don't see why looking at steering currents would help when we're this close to landfall and even if steering currents say this storm SHOULD be doing a southward loop-de-loop into South Freakin America the fact is this storm is heading straight for Cameron if not east of there.

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

so, is it safe to say that this is not going into galveston bay?

Never say never in the GOM. The NHC has a line directly through Houston and isn't Galveston right outside Houston? I'd prepare for a CAT1 hurricane (using the prepare for a category above whats predicted method of Hurricane Survival).

[ROCK]

Steering currents ... can someone comment on them? Lots of speculation on jogs left or right but is there a fundamental change in the currents in that past 4-6 hours?

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm2.html