ATL: IKE Discussion

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TreasureIslandFLGal
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Re:

#2461 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:22 pm

KWT wrote:Well the convection in Ike's eyewalls is bursting and is now covering the eye to some degree, sort of like a slightly better organised Gustav...

Oh yeah and here is what the HPC thinks will happen, this is not something Ivanhater will take pleasure seeing:

http://img390.imageshack.us/my.php?imag ... ntsvw2.jpg

Its amazing to think we may have another major hurricane threatening land so soon after Gustav.


Ivanhater is not the only one who won't take pleasure in that view! I hate when these things get too close for comfort! :grr:
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Re:

#2462 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:23 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Image


it looks like a wispy dessert you could eat, lol
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Re:

#2463 Postby N2Storms » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:23 pm

[quote="KWT"]Well the convection in Ike's eyewalls is bursting and is now covering the eye to some degree, sort of like a slightly better organised Gustav...

Oh yeah and here is what the HPC thinks will happen, this is not something Ivanhater will take pleasure seeing:

http://img390.imageshack.us/my.php?imag ... ntsvw2.jpg

Its amazing to think we may have another major hurricane threatening land so soon after Gustav.[/quote]


I'm not real crazy about that image either but I realize that is a forecast that is 6 days out...chances are slim of that verifying IMO
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Re:

#2464 Postby THead » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:24 pm

KWT wrote:Well the convection in Ike's eyewalls is bursting and is now covering the eye to some degree, sort of like a slightly better organised Gustav...

Oh yeah and here is what the HPC thinks will happen, this is not something Ivanhater will take pleasure seeing:

http://img390.imageshack.us/my.php?imag ... ntsvw2.jpg

Its amazing to think we may have another major hurricane threatening land so soon after Gustav.


The big question is, how did it get there? Thru or around?
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2465 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:24 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:From Broward EOC -

Mayor - We have the weekend to prepare, so please use it. Be prepared for the first 72 hours. This includes food, water, medications, etc. Have an evacuation plan if you live in an evacuation zone. Now is the time to assess your home. Go outside. Check your roof, landscaping, pool area, windows, garage. Assess your personal important documents. Take pictures of what is of value both inside and outside your home. If you're fortunate enough to have a video camera, use it. If you have patio furniture, or other unsecured items outside, now is the time to bring them inside. Now is the time to be a good neighbor and make sure you don't have something that will become flying objects. We encourage you to have flashlights, batteries, and ice on hand. Fill up your gas tanks. Be sure you have cash on hand. If the storm continues to move on the course it's moving, Monday is the day we'd begin to see a "little bit" of wind activity. Be sure to have your cell phones charged. Make plans for your pets. They will have a pet friendly shelter at Milennium school in Tamarac (pre-reg. required). 311 hotline open Sunday morning and will have staff there 24/7 to answer questions.

This is not the time to panic. This is the time to prepare. This is not an exercise. This storm could have catastrophic impact on this area. This is a storm that is providing a huge potential impact. Do not follow that line as it can change every 6 hours.

Take this storm seriously. Use common sense. Stay tuned to local media for latest info. We are here and monitoring this storm.

http://www.broward.org has a lot of good hurricane info.


the fact that i started my generator this morning and picked up another 100 foot contractor grade extension cord for 50 bucks at home depot assures us that we will have minimal effects in broward county with generators not needed
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2466 Postby Lifesgud2 » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:27 pm

the fact that i started my generator this morning and picked up another 100 foot contractor grade extension cord for 50 bucks at home depot assures us that we will have minimal effects in broward county with generators not needed[/quote]

Are you for real?
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2467 Postby Canelaw99 » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:27 pm

:roflmao: jlaud - isn't that the truth...Murphy's Law lol
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#2468 Postby KWT » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:29 pm

thats what I'm not sure as someone else put that up on the model thread and I thought maybe a good idea to put it in this thread as well.

Anyway looks to me Ike is pretty much right on track to hit its next forecast point. The NHC agree with pretty much all the models upto 48hrs with the WSW (which pretty much is to be expected) but after that some of the models continue to dive Ike WSW or carry Ike westward into Cuba whilst other lift Ike up towards south Florida and the keys.

Far too early to know whats going to happen!
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2469 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:29 pm

SapphireSea wrote:
tolakram wrote:Latest Visible: what kind of color enhancement is this and what does it show us?

Image



That would be a rainbow/white spectrum IR shot. I believe he is trying to expand circulation Northward but shear is doing an excellent job of limiting organization. Looks to be moving about West (270) right now as well.


Nope, it's not the rainbow, or at least not the standard rainbow, the scale is different. The rainbow shot at the same time looks completely different. Same colors, just at different temps.
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Re: Re:

#2470 Postby gomwatch » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:31 pm

THead wrote:
KWT wrote:Well the convection in Ike's eyewalls is bursting and is now covering the eye to some degree, sort of like a slightly better organised Gustav...

Oh yeah and here is what the HPC thinks will happen, this is not something Ivanhater will take pleasure seeing:

http://img390.imageshack.us/my.php?imag ... ntsvw2.jpg

Its amazing to think we may have another major hurricane threatening land so soon after Gustav.


The big question is, how did it get there? Thru or around?


According to the HPC 7 Day Forecast, thru SE/FL to WF/FL and makes a second FL landfall in the panhandle around PC. Not good!

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/day7nav_pre.html
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2471 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:32 pm

From second VDM of this mission:

L. Eye Character: Open in the northwest
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 15 nautical miles (17 statute miles)
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2472 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:33 pm

Lifesgud2 wrote:the fact that i started my generator this morning and picked up another 100 foot contractor grade extension cord for 50 bucks at home depot assures us that we will have minimal effects in broward county with generators not needed


Are you for real?[/quote]
yep, 2336 posts to prove it
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2473 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:34 pm

cycloneye wrote:From second VDM of this mission:

L. Eye Character: Open in the northwest
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 15 nautical miles (17 statute miles)


He is way over due for a EWRC..Whe n he does he should double that..
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2474 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:34 pm

Canelaw99 wrote::roflmao: jlaud - isn't that the truth...Murphy's Law lol


i figured i could do my part to help ward off ike and scare the neighbors for the 10 minutes i had the unit running, 5550 watts of power makes alot of noise
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2475 Postby Agua » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:35 pm

jlauderdal wrote:the fact that i started my generator this morning and picked up another 100 foot contractor grade extension cord for 50 bucks at home depot assures us that we will have minimal effects in broward county with generators not needed

:lol: Good going. That's how it usually works.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2476 Postby Just Joshing You » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:35 pm

cycloneye wrote:From second VDM of this mission:

L. Eye Character: Open in the northwest
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 15 nautical miles (17 statute miles)


That's a small eye, aye?
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Re: Re:

#2477 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:39 pm

According to the HPC 7 Day Forecast, thru SE/FL to WF/FL and makes a second FL landfall in the panhandle around PC. Not good!

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/day7nav_pre.html


That type of track would be typical/traditional, then these huge dives SW into Cuba then sharp NNW turns.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2478 Postby Bocadude85 » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:39 pm

Emergency mangment scrolling info about Ike across the bottom of my tv now
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2479 Postby haml8 » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:40 pm

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/day0-7loop.html

Uh, not particularily great news... but this far out maybe it is??
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2480 Postby Flakeys » Fri Sep 05, 2008 2:44 pm

Keys starting evacs for tourists Sat morning and residents Sunday morning.

http://fla-keys.com/news/news.cfm?sid=7204

Stan in Tavernier
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