Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Sabanic
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 683
Age: 66
Joined: Wed Aug 01, 2007 7:01 am
Location: Mobile, AL
Contact:
Contact Sabanic

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2661 Postby Sabanic » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:15 am

Ivanhater wrote:
Wx_Warrior wrote:'Hater...GFS has her headed your way!


Im still in the "Ill believe it when I see it" mode..lol


That would not be good at all.
0 likes   
Top
Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#2662 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:17 am

Looks like a front is approaching from the west, however notice its North to South alignment which normally means a slow mover if it ever makes it to the SE. So I could see Fay getting pushed back west by the ridge coming down and into the Gulf then turning NW landfalling somewhere between Miss thru the Panhandle as she gets caught up in the flow out ahead of that front.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#2663 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:17 am

GFS also has this on the coast for nearly 24 more hours!!! I am not so sure that will be the case...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
carolina_73
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 148
Joined: Wed Jul 23, 2008 1:30 am

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2664 Postby carolina_73 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:20 am

I am not buying this solution yet as well. If it were to pan out Florida becomes Atlantis.
0 likes   
Top
JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:
Contact JonathanBelles

#2665 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:22 am

lol....the local met just showed the spaghetti models and called it a bad hair day.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11166
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2666 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:23 am

Ummm.no!

Image
0 likes   
Top
Wx_Warrior
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2718
Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2006 3:58 pm
Location: Beaumont, TX

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2667 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:23 am

IMHO...Whack....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Sabanic
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 683
Age: 66
Joined: Wed Aug 01, 2007 7:01 am
Location: Mobile, AL
Contact:
Contact Sabanic

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2668 Postby Sabanic » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:25 am

Wx_Warrior wrote:IMHO...Whack....


Reasoning?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11166
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2669 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:27 am

Trough picks her up, hits NW Florida..we'll see

Image
0 likes   
Top
Wx_Warrior
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2718
Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2006 3:58 pm
Location: Beaumont, TX

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2670 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:28 am

I just don't see her creeping so slow...I do buy the trough picking her up.
0 likes   
Top
tallywx
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 798
Joined: Thu Jul 03, 2003 10:19 am
Location: Raleigh/Durham, NC

#2671 Postby tallywx » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:29 am

I'm assuming the trough picking her up will take her through the interior Southeast as subsequent time points roll in here. Amazing to think that one storm could singlehandedly end the drought for the ENTIRE southeast from FL on up.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ColdFusion
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 444
Joined: Wed Feb 13, 2008 3:46 pm
Location: Addison, TX

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2672 Postby ColdFusion » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:30 am

Confidence may be low in that track, but the trend of the models is the interesting part. What run is next, I need more!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ixolib
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2741
Age: 68
Joined: Sun Aug 08, 2004 8:55 pm
Location: Biloxi, MS

Re:

#2673 Postby Ixolib » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:31 am

fact789 wrote:lol....the local met just showed the spaghetti models and called it a bad hair day.


Heard that too!! ABC Action News??!! :lol:
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38267
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2674 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:32 am

Wx_Warrior wrote:IMHO...Whack....


I don't buy the extremely slow motion over FL either. At 60 hours it's where it's at now. :double:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
CalmBeforeStorm
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 600
Age: 72
Joined: Tue Aug 10, 2004 7:55 pm
Location: Stuart, Florida

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2675 Postby CalmBeforeStorm » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:33 am

Brent wrote:
Wx_Warrior wrote:IMHO...Whack....


I don't buy the extremely slow motion over FL either. At 72 hours it's where it's at now. :double:


Wrong. The 12z GFS shows Fay off the central florida coast well before then.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
carolina_73
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 148
Joined: Wed Jul 23, 2008 1:30 am

Re:

#2676 Postby carolina_73 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:34 am

tallywx wrote:I'm assuming the trough picking her up will take her through the interior Southeast as subsequent time points roll in here. Amazing to think that one storm could singlehandedly end the drought for the ENTIRE southeast from FL on up.


It would be great news for Georgia and N.C. I live north of Charlotte. We need rain BAD up here.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Noles2006
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 424
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:57 am
Location: Tallahassee, Florida
Contact:
Contact Noles2006

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2677 Postby Noles2006 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:36 am

Ivanhater wrote:Trough picks her up, hits NW Florida..we'll see

Image



LOL, this is one stubborn woman!
0 likes   
Top
attallaman

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2678 Postby attallaman » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:43 am

I just thought I'd check in, is this system going to possibly threaten the MS Gulf Coast at some point or will it end along the FL panhandle or further to the east? Feedback appreciated.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11166
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2679 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:46 am

Oh here is overnights UKMET..Mobile Alabama

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Sabanic
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 683
Age: 66
Joined: Wed Aug 01, 2007 7:01 am
Location: Mobile, AL
Contact:
Contact Sabanic

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2680 Postby Sabanic » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:50 am

Ivanhater wrote:Oh here is overnights UKMET..Mobile Alabama

Image


That one sucks too !!!
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2008”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 44 guests