Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

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Sabanic
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2661 Postby Sabanic » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:15 am

Ivanhater wrote:
Wx_Warrior wrote:'Hater...GFS has her headed your way!


Im still in the "Ill believe it when I see it" mode..lol


That would not be good at all.
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Dean4Storms
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#2662 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:17 am

Looks like a front is approaching from the west, however notice its North to South alignment which normally means a slow mover if it ever makes it to the SE. So I could see Fay getting pushed back west by the ridge coming down and into the Gulf then turning NW landfalling somewhere between Miss thru the Panhandle as she gets caught up in the flow out ahead of that front.
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#2663 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:17 am

GFS also has this on the coast for nearly 24 more hours!!! I am not so sure that will be the case...
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2664 Postby carolina_73 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:20 am

I am not buying this solution yet as well. If it were to pan out Florida becomes Atlantis.
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#2665 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:22 am

lol....the local met just showed the spaghetti models and called it a bad hair day.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2666 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:23 am

Ummm.no!

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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2667 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:23 am

IMHO...Whack....
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2668 Postby Sabanic » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:25 am

Wx_Warrior wrote:IMHO...Whack....


Reasoning?
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2669 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:27 am

Trough picks her up, hits NW Florida..we'll see

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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2670 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:28 am

I just don't see her creeping so slow...I do buy the trough picking her up.
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#2671 Postby tallywx » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:29 am

I'm assuming the trough picking her up will take her through the interior Southeast as subsequent time points roll in here. Amazing to think that one storm could singlehandedly end the drought for the ENTIRE southeast from FL on up.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2672 Postby ColdFusion » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:30 am

Confidence may be low in that track, but the trend of the models is the interesting part. What run is next, I need more!
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Re:

#2673 Postby Ixolib » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:31 am

fact789 wrote:lol....the local met just showed the spaghetti models and called it a bad hair day.


Heard that too!! ABC Action News??!! :lol:
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2674 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:32 am

Wx_Warrior wrote:IMHO...Whack....


I don't buy the extremely slow motion over FL either. At 60 hours it's where it's at now. :double:
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2675 Postby CalmBeforeStorm » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:33 am

Brent wrote:
Wx_Warrior wrote:IMHO...Whack....


I don't buy the extremely slow motion over FL either. At 72 hours it's where it's at now. :double:


Wrong. The 12z GFS shows Fay off the central florida coast well before then.
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Re:

#2676 Postby carolina_73 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:34 am

tallywx wrote:I'm assuming the trough picking her up will take her through the interior Southeast as subsequent time points roll in here. Amazing to think that one storm could singlehandedly end the drought for the ENTIRE southeast from FL on up.


It would be great news for Georgia and N.C. I live north of Charlotte. We need rain BAD up here.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2677 Postby Noles2006 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:36 am

Ivanhater wrote:Trough picks her up, hits NW Florida..we'll see

Image



LOL, this is one stubborn woman!
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2678 Postby attallaman » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:43 am

I just thought I'd check in, is this system going to possibly threaten the MS Gulf Coast at some point or will it end along the FL panhandle or further to the east? Feedback appreciated.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2679 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:46 am

Oh here is overnights UKMET..Mobile Alabama

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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs

#2680 Postby Sabanic » Tue Aug 19, 2008 11:50 am

Ivanhater wrote:Oh here is overnights UKMET..Mobile Alabama

Image


That one sucks too !!!
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