TC Bertha

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HURAKAN
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#2981 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Jul 08, 2008 10:56 am

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ACE (104kt²) (Source) — Storm:
1 8.02 Bertha 2 0.37 Arthur
Total: 8.39


Bertha is in her way to pass Boris as the highest scoring ACE cyclone in this month between both basins.
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#2982 Postby Chacor » Tue Jul 08, 2008 10:56 am

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Scorpion

#2983 Postby Scorpion » Tue Jul 08, 2008 11:03 am

It was good while it lasted.. live fast die hard
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#2984 Postby Chacor » Tue Jul 08, 2008 11:03 am

Centre is becoming exposed on IR. If this continues, it's not going to be a hurricane at the next advisory.

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#2985 Postby Chacor » Tue Jul 08, 2008 11:08 am

Raw T-number from CIMSS from 1445 UTC was T2.7.
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Re: Hurricane Bertha in Central Atlantic

#2986 Postby tolakram » Tue Jul 08, 2008 11:12 am

Latest trend is showing a bit better shear environment than earlier.

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Re: Hurricane Bertha in Central Atlantic

#2987 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 08, 2008 11:16 am

Wow,only a few hours passed and everthing changed.Early this morning I saw a healthy system,now is a wimpy one and moving more north than what was forecast yesterday and last night.Its like a boxer that threw a surprise uppercut that leaved the other boxer lost and perplexed.

But commenting on what transpired duruing the very active part of Bertha in the board,I think it was a smooth one with only some minor exceptions but overall all runned fine.Now lets wait for Cristobal.
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#2988 Postby KWT » Tue Jul 08, 2008 11:17 am

Near 30N shear eases off again but given how hard the shear is hitting Bertha there may not be much left of bertha by the time it gets there.
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#2989 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Jul 08, 2008 11:20 am

I hope Cristóbal is another Cape Verde cyclone to clearly represent Christopher Columbus!!!
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#2990 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Jul 08, 2008 11:21 am

HURAKAN wrote:I hope Cristóbal is another Cape Verde cyclone to clearly represent Christopher Columbus!!!



Wouldnt that be neat!
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#2991 Postby Category 5 » Tue Jul 08, 2008 11:49 am

HURAKAN wrote:I hope Cristóbal is another Cape Verde cyclone to clearly represent Christopher Columbus!!!


Hopefully the ship sinks before it discovers America.
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#2992 Postby 93superstorm » Tue Jul 08, 2008 11:57 am

Bertha was define an rare and amazon storm to track for this early and amazon how far east it develope. Could it be a warning of what is to come?!
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#2993 Postby Fego » Tue Jul 08, 2008 12:05 pm

A just saw (again) GLADIATOR with Russell Crowe, and it ocurred to me this: !Bertha!, we the ones who celebrate your birth, say goodbye!
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Re: Hurricane Bertha in Central Atlantic

#2994 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 08, 2008 12:06 pm

This Bertha thread will remain in 5th place on the list of Hurricane threads with the most pages,as the Hurricane France is 4th with 187 pages.The first 3 are Dean,583,Wilma,282 and Noel,196.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Hurricane Bertha in Central Atlantic

#2995 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Tue Jul 08, 2008 12:09 pm

Assuming the GFS 12Z run is correct, we have another week of Bertha wandering around the open Atlantic.


It isn't as healthy as it was earlier, but it may not die anytime soon.
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#2996 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Jul 08, 2008 12:15 pm

93superstorm wrote:Bertha was define an rare and amazon storm to track for this early and amazon how far east it develope. Could it be a warning of what is to come?!


Welcome to S2K.

Usually one storm doesn't define a season. If you took Andrew or Allen, for example, you would have expected much more active seasons, but 1992 and 1980 were not record-breaking season in general. Still, the formation of Bertha indicates that the train of tropical waves is healthy and SST in front of the African coast are warm enough to support the formation of a TC. Usually what delays the beginning of the Cape Verde Season are the cool SST.
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Derek Ortt

#2997 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Jul 08, 2008 12:23 pm

July Cape Verde TCs usually mean an active CV season

Just look at 1989 and 1996 as examples
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#2998 Postby Blown Away » Tue Jul 08, 2008 12:32 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:July Cape Verde TCs usually mean an active CV season
Just look at 1989 and 1996 as examples


Didn't those years have a persistent East Coast trough?
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#2999 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Tue Jul 08, 2008 12:37 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:July Cape Verde TCs usually mean an active CV season

Just look at 1989 and 1996 as examples



Dr. Gene Norman, the MIT educated replacement for Dr. Neil Frank on KHOU-TV 11, said last night that his analysis of years with July hurricanes since 1995 indicate an average of almost 16 named storms in a season, and considering what a dud 1997 turned out to be after a busy June and July, the rest of those seasons must have been impressive.
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Derek Ortt

#3000 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Jul 08, 2008 12:48 pm

but 1997's 2 July hurricanes did not come from tropical waves
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