ATL JOSEPHINE: Remnants - Discussion

#41 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 8:24 am

bob rulz wrote:Is that a LLC I'm seeing already?

Difficult to say. It could be at mid-levels.

#42 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 8:27 am

SHIP S 0900 9.10 -15.80 13 63 280 4.1 - 1.6 6.0

This ship reported a west wind a few hours ago.

#43 Postby **StJoe** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 8:31 am

Can you say "Choo-choo, Chugga-Chugga, Choo-Choo"... :eek:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

KWT · #44 Postby **KWT** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 8:41 am

Well the loop is really suggestive of this becoming a TD pretty soon, there is clear mid level circulation and with the strong convection around that icrculation won't take long to dig down to the surface...

what a nutty 24hrs we are having!!!

bob rulz · #45 Postby **bob rulz** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 8:45 am

I would be surprised if it wasn't upgraded to red at the next TWO update. We could have a TD on our hands sooner than expected.

Either way it looks likely that we'll have 3 storms churning out there pretty soon, even as the remnants of Gustav terrorize the south.

punkyg · #46 Postby **punkyg** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 9:39 am

this looks better, then it did earlier this morning.

it does look like could possibly become a TD maybe tomorrow or later today. i'll lean more on tomorrow. just to be safe :lol:

#47 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 9:39 am

Code: Select all

Synoptic Time     Latitude     Longitude     Intensity
200809011200    12.5    -19.5    30
200809010600    12.5    -18.5    25
200809010000    12.5    -16.8    20

Due west and winds up, up, up!

#48 Postby **Tstormwatcher** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 10:18 am

Wow, this is amazing, we could have 3 storms lined up in a row very soon. What a year. :eek:

El Nino · #49 Postby **El Nino** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 10:23 am

And now that's 4 ...

masaji79 · #50 Postby **masaji79** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 10:24 am

It seems like this wave is coming off the coast at a lower latitude than TD9 did. Looks like it has a good shot at developing. Looks impressive to me already :eek:

apocalypt-flyer · #51 Postby **apocalypt-flyer** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 10:45 am

What an insane day. Ok, it is September but still, having 3 and maybe sooner than later a fourth tropical system is not very ordinary.

And yes, this looks like it could be our next Depression and Jo later on.

Just Joshing You · #52 Postby **Just Joshing You** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 11:06 am

What is the chance we have I and J by this time tomorrow? hmm

#53 Postby **fci** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 12:28 pm

apocalypt-flyer wrote:What an insane day. Ok, it is September but still, having 3 and maybe sooner than later a fourth tropical system is not very ordinary.

And yes, this looks like it could be our next Depression and Jo later on.

And September 10 is the official "peak" of the season.

I think I will vote for September 2, 3 or 4 being the peak in 2008.

Cryomaniac · #54 Postby **Cryomaniac** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 12:36 pm

Just Joshing You wrote:What is the chance we have I and J by this time tomorrow? hmm

Looks fairly possible.

Just for a comparison, at this time in 2005 we were at L.

Chacor · #55 Postby **Chacor** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 12:56 pm

Code red.

ABNT20 KNHC 011753
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
GUSTAV...LOCATED ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE
LOUISIANA...ON RECENTLY UPGRADED HURRICANE STORM HANNA...LOCATED
VERY NEAR MAYAGUANA ISLAND IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND ON
RECENTLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE LOCATED HALFWAY BETWEEN
AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES.

A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...A
COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...HAS
BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 15
TO 20 MPH.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
ALTHOUGH SURFACE PRESSURES ARE LOW...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT
FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. LITTLE MOTION
IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW
TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA

El Nino · #56 Postby **El Nino** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 12:57 pm

Later today or tonight ? :eek:

OMG, this is 2005 bis

Weatherfreak000 · #57 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 1:04 pm

Almost definitely going to see the "J" storm as well.

If that happens, we will be at this point when Maria formed in 2005. Basically that is 3 storms behind....absolutely incredible storms this year. At this rate we very well may see the greek alphabet again.

#58 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 1:06 pm

OH MY... the train has left the station.

El Nino · #59 Postby **El Nino** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 1:07 pm

LAwxrgal wrote:OH MY... the train has left the station.

Just at time for once :roll:

Website · #60 Postby **Brent** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 1:12 pm

Crazy.

ATL JOSEPHINE: Remnants - Discussion

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