ATL: PALOMA - Tropical Depression - Discussion

[Chacor]

Remember CIMSS ADT is automated and is not reviewed by an expert. The NHC certainly hasn't been giving the ADT numbers too much credence on this storm.

[HURAKAN]

[cycloneye]

08/1145 UTC 19.7N 79.7W T6.5/6.5 PALOMA -- Atlantic

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/tdpositions.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/CI-chart.html

[O Town]

Paloma really surprised me over night, I expected some strengthening but she really turned on the juice.

[HURAKAN]

[wzrgirl1]

Once it becomes a remnant low in about 5 days, will it have a chance to restrengthen again? How warm are the waters down there? I know the forecast doesn't go past 5 days, but just curious as to your opinions?

[HURAKAN]

Once it becomes a remnant low in about 5 days, will it have a chance to restrengthen again? How warm are the waters down there? I know the forecast doesn't go past 5 days, but just curious as to your opinions?

In about five days it will likely dissipate as it will face a lot of shear.

[Chacor]

Shear will probably inhibit any restrengthening. Remnant low suggests a total loss of convection.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Shear will probably inhibit any restrengthening. Remnant low suggests a total loss of convection.

Latest reliable modeling is showing reintensification...Not saying its going to happen....but.....

[cycloneye]

A message from Cayman Brac was posted at the thread in the top of forum.I am praying that nothing tragic occured in the Caymans.

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=103838&p=1847433#p1847433

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

[Blown Away]

Paloma get's knocked down to a TD or remnant low in 5 days, but some some of the models begin to strengthen Paloma back to TS status before returning her over Cuba again. I beginning to think if Paloma keeps her LLC intact after 5 days and can remain over water there may be some restrengthening. The next few model runs should start giving us a better idea. Seems Paloma will be meandering over the SE Bahamas/Cuba area.

[DESTRUCTION5]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html

Looks like we may be seeing our 1st signs of shear on her West side....Hopefully.....

[HURAKAN]

440
WTNT42 KNHC 081456
TCDAT2
HURRICANE PALOMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
1000 AM EST SAT NOV 08 2008

PALOMA IS TIED FOR THE SECOND STRONGEST ATLANTIC HURRICANE EVER
NOTED IN NOVEMBER...THE STRONGEST BEING LENNY IN 1999.

FORECASTER BLAKE

[HURAKAN]

[AdamFirst]

Proof that we should never let our guard down.

[wxman57]

Once it becomes a remnant low in about 5 days, will it have a chance to restrengthen again? How warm are the waters down there? I know the forecast doesn't go past 5 days, but just curious as to your opinions?

Actually, it becomes a remnant low in about 72 hours (or less) in a very high-shear environment. There will be NO chance of restrengthening that far north.

[wxman57]

Proof that we should never let our guard down.

Those two outer cone circles can be removed, as Paloma will have dissipated by then as a TC. It's not going to hit Florida.

[cycloneye]

Those in Florida,dont freak out when you see the below graphic as by then it will be a remnant low.