ATL: IKE Discussion

[Sabanic]

What is going on in the BOC?

[fasterdisaster]

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=59&t=102847&start=5780

Convection trying to Deepen slightly around the center.

No big deal, but why did you link to this thread?

[BigA]

Cuba radar shows increased organization around center, stronger eyewall.

http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB ... AXw01a.gif

[HouTXmetro]

No big deal, but why did you link to this thread?

Sorry, I'm tired

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-avn.html

[mpic]

Well, truck is packed...leaving out tomorrow.

I work grocery and it was kind of weird that there wasn't a buzz going about Ike. I really expected shelves to be cleaned out, but maybe that will still come. People went crazy for Gustav, though, so many are already stocked up...but nobody was talking about the storm. It's a little disconcerting. Not as much hype on TV and maybe a lot of false alarms have made people numb. I don't know.

[baitism]

Folks I beg you to get on google earth and fly over the entire country of Cuba. There are no mountains anywhere but the extreme southeaster tip. The entire center and western part of the country has hills that are between 300 and 500 feet high. Try google earth and see for your self. I too had this misconception until Ike came along and I took the time to fly over Cuba via Google Earth

This is very wrong. I think you left out a 0, because the mountains in the central and western parts are around 3000-5000 feet.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geography_of_Cuba

[wxman57]

Can posters please stop quoting posts that have like 3 images to them? It's annoying to scroll through all of it.

I agree, if you reply to a post with an image, PLEASE remove the image tags and just leave the URL to the image.

[mpic]

No big deal, but why did you link to this thread?

Sorry, I'm tired

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-avn.html

Okay, I'm obviously tired and need to go to bed for one more shift in the morning, but are there 2 storms on that loop?

[hial2]

Folks I beg you to get on google earth and fly over the entire country of Cuba. There are no mountains anywhere but the extreme southeaster tip. The entire center and western part of the country has hills that are between 300 and 500 feet high. Try google earth and see for your self. I too had this misconception until Ike came along and I took the time to fly over Cuba via Google Earth

It actually amazes me how un-developed that whole southern coastline is. Wouldn't it be even more amazing to find a coastline ANYWHERE in the U.S. that is as equally un-developed!!

Sancti Spiritus (on the south side of Villa Clara) is a historic city..lots of very old buildings and a large population (by Cuban standards)..My dad told me I was "made" there ..Cuba's center has mountains higher than 500 feet regardless of what Google says..Cuba's center was a hotspot for for rebels..they hid in the mountains..I remember having to dive on a train's floor when they shot at us while returning from a trip to Havana..

[iiroberts]

Texas is about to have big time evacs. My brother works for the city of Houston and they just had a meeting and they are preparing to start Wed. He said The NHC has told them to expect a cat 3 or above,making landfall between Matorgorda bay and Port Bolivar. Its about to get crazy here.

I'm in SE Texas, too..but I think this statement is a bit excessive.

Hey don't kill the messenger, I was just passing along what I was told.

There is actually only a portion on houston that would be evacuated.

http://traffic.houstontranstar.org/weat ... _evac.html
yellow - cat 1
green - cat 2-3
orange cat 4-5
It would take a cat 4 or 5 to even get up to and inside beltway 8 on the east side of town. During Rita, there were people evacuating from all across and including towns like Sugar Land which is on the other side of Houston because no one knew they didn't need to back then. Hopefully everyone has learned from that.

[mpic]

Sancti Spiritus (on the south side of Villa Clara) is a historic city..lots of very old buildings and a large population (by Cuban standards)..My dad told me I was "made" there ..Cuba's center has mountains higher than 500 feet regardless of what Google says..Cuba's center was a hotspot for for rebels..they hid in the mountains..I remember having to dive on a train's floor when they shot at us while returning from a trip to Havana..

Hello, friend! Do you still have family there? Are they okay?

[wxman57]

I'd be concerned if I were you, too. But I am getting a bit relieved that the track is shifting farther away from Houston with each run.

Wxman what do you think about Ike heading towards Mexico instead of Texas...models keep trending south it seems and the latest GFS puts Ike on the Tx/Mx border. That's a dramatic shift if you ask me.

So far, just about every model run has been too far north. Ike wants to go west. It didn't turn in the Bahamas, it didn't turn just west of FL. It's not likely turning north to MS or LA. Mexico may be a bit far south, though. But lower TX coast is a good possibility.

[wxman57]

Another big model shift south at 00Z. Will post shortly.

[HurricaneRobert]

Wow, it looks really messy. I hope it takes its time getting itself back together.

Another big model shift south at 00Z. Will post an image shortly.

What direction?

[Brent]

[hial2]

Sancti Spiritus (on the south side of Villa Clara) is a historic city..lots of very old buildings and a large population (by Cuban standards)..My dad told me I was "made" there ..Cuba's center has mountains higher than 500 feet regardless of what Google says..Cuba's center was a hotspot for for rebels..they hid in the mountains..I remember having to dive on a train's floor when they shot at us while returning from a trip to Havana..

Hello, friend! Do you still have family there? Are they okay?

I have a couple of very very VERY old aunts and cousins several times removed..I help them all I can..they'll be ok..they're survivors..very nice of you for asking.

[Cyclenall]

It would be historic for sure if Ike keeps going west. Nothing like that has ever occurred under these circumstances.

[wxman57]

00Z models are ALL south of Matagorda Bay. Very encouraging for Houston:

[mpic]

Wxman, how does that play out in terms of storm surge for Houston coast?

[jinftl]

what are the unique circumstances?

It would be historic for sure if Ike keeps going west. Nothing like that has ever occurred under these circumstances.