ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[Dean4Storms]

If that is the LLC it is right at the edge of the deeper convection to its SE.

[cycloneye]

If the center reformation is true then that would be great news.

Why it would be great news?

[HURAKAN]

Getting there.

[Ed Mahmoud]

If the center reformation is true then that would be great news.

Not if one lives further North in Florida ...

[JonathanBelles]

Thanks! One comment...can you bring the legends above the streamlines?

[mf_dolphin]

Well we should know for sure pretty soon since the plane is getting close now.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Getting there.

Radar from Pilon seems close to the marked center in that image.

[Dean4Storms]

Wow, you zoom in far enough and you can make out the vortex with the animation sped way up.

[vbhoutex]

Zoom in here and speed up the animation, you'll see what Delta and I have been getting at.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html


It is lower level clouds, note the light gray colors.

Looking at that loop I see the LLCC right where NHC says it is. As Marshall says we will know shortly. I looked at some earlier(a few pages back)posted loops by Dean, etc. and what I think some are alluding to may have been an outflow boundary, which I note has now disappeared.

[Dean4Storms]

I can't think of any other possibilities with what you see there moving WSW. You would think that any swirl rotating around the LLC in that position would be moving ESE or East from that location as it rotated around the true LLC to its north.

I believe that to be our true LLC, Recon shall prove us right or wrong.

[Dean4Storms]

Zoom in here and speed up the animation, you'll see what Delta and I have been getting at.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html


It is lower level clouds, note the light gray colors.

Looking at that loop I see the LLCC right where NHC says it is. As Marshall says we will know shortly. I looked at some earlier(a few pages back)posted loops by Dean, etc. and what I think some are alluding to may have been an outflow boundary, which I note has now disappeared.

That doesn't look like an outflow boundary to me at roughly 18.8n 76.6w

[HURAKAN]

BOOM! Just south of Cuba.

[lbvbl]

The CMC seems to have changed a bit too, with a landfall further south in FL, then bringing it up the W Coast for a short time, and then it cuts across the state back into the Atlantic and looks as if it will track into SC

[Extremeweatherguy]

I see the center up near where the NHC placed it too.

[senorpepr]

Thanks! One comment...can you bring the legends above the streamlines?

The only problem with that is, since the legend and the radar image are tied together, if I place the legend above the streamlines, the radar will block out the streamlines.


The legend really doesn't provide any additive information anyway, beyond what radar sites are used (BYX and AMX), what product (248nm 0.5° BREF), and what time (most current).

[cpdaman]

BOOM! Just south of Cuba.

coincides exactly with the radar link ed posted on 292 (which shows explosive t-storms on NE side of likely LLC)

Dean you gotta admit this looks like it makes sense. the IR2 no longer shows much turning in the area i pointed out before

[RL3AO]

Lets see what that boom looks like in two hours cause its eclipse time.

[Dean4Storms]

BOOM! Just south of Cuba.

coincides exactly with the radar link ed posted on 292 (which shows explosive t-storms on NE side of likely LLC)

Dean you gotta admit this looks like it makes sense. the IR2 no longer shows much turning in the area i pointed out before

I just know I see a LLC down there near where Delta pointed out in the IR2 and it is also just at the NW edge of that deep convection just east of Jamaica. I guess we will have to wait on Recon to know for sure. If we are wrong, we are wrong, but it looks suspicious nonetheless.

[Dean4Storms]

cpdaman.....

Zoom in just north of eastern Jamaica and speed up the animation and tell me what you see there........


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

[Dean4Storms]

I see an outflow coming out of the convection to the north where they say the LLC should be even on Visible here......

Once again zoom in and speed it up........

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html