ATL: Tropical Storm Cristobal in North Atlantic

[brunota2003]

Spotter activation is not necessary. There is a very limited tornado and flooding threat.

Everything is called in per procedures, and activation is not needed at this point.

[CrazyC83]

Spotter activation is not necessary. There is a very limited tornado and flooding threat.

Everything is called in per procedures, and activation is not needed at this point.

It's no different than a weak cold front with isolated severe storms. It just has a name on it.

[brunota2003]

If you look, the SPC doesn't even have us in a 2% for tornadoes.

[Chacor]

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS
IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF LITTLE RIVER INLET TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

[Rainband]

Like I said before. I hope ya'll get some rain but this storm is really not much. Hopefully this is the case for the rest of the season. More weak storms but I fear that is not the case.

[brunota2003]

It hasn't even brought much rain here. I've recorded 0.21" all day, and further up north has been lucky to see less than that.

[Chacor]

"CURRENTLY THE STORM IS CONVECTIVELY CHALLENGED"

[brunota2003]

That's an understatement if I've ever seen one.

It needs Hooked On Convection!

[JonathanBelles]

viewtopic.php?p=1743284#p1743284

**notice this forecast is now old concerning the TS Warning on Cristobal**

[OuterBanker]

I'm surprised a little. Looking mighty poorly, thought they would drop warnings. Don't see much happedd is visible with a full moon (sepia toned due to high humidity). It has showed no signs of deepening all day, yet they say there is a some strengthening is forecast in the next 24. Go figure.

[OuterBanker]

My last post makes no sense, it dropped half what I said (I'm sure I did it). But it's too late to figure out what it was I said

[capepoint]

IMO- too close to beach to drop warnings. not enough time to re-issue if it regained strenth, (however unlikely). Hurricane Charley in 1986 was weak storm at 2300, rapidly gained to cat 1 by 0500 and was affecting land by 1000 with little to no warning. Evacuating tourist sat in traffic jam on beach highways as storm made landfall over them. NWS and local governmemts got a lot of bad press over that one, and I'd wager that they will not get caught short like that anymore.

[OuterBanker]

Oh yea, and I did forget about Alex too. Really blew up right before Hatteras. Dare County EOC can do little here for a close develop. Have to have 36 hrs for Ocracoke and 24 at minimum for rest of beaches. Just have to hope people are aware.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Looks like a depression to me. The recon will confirm what ever it is.

[Bane]

luckily we were in the right spot today. we've had close to 4 inches of rain.

[CrazyC83]

It looked poorly this afternoon and Recon found 58 kt FL winds.

[cpdaman]

those winds were debatable

[cpdaman]

my guess is 40 mph trop. storm , it's all about "the cap" break the cap and strengthen a bit, or die the slow death

[Rainband]

000
FXUS62 KTBW 200205
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1005 PM EDT SAT JUL 19 2008

.DISCUSSION...ADDED PATCHY FOG WORDING INTO ZONES TOWARD DAYBREAK
SUNDAY...GIVEN LOCAL SMART TOOLS INDICATING SUCH AND PERSISTENCE
WITH OBSERVATIONS YESTERDAY.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION ISSUED 906 PM EDT SAT JUL 19 2008

DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE TRYING TO RIDGE IN UNDER TROPICAL
CYCLONE CRISTOBAL OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. DRY AIR WRAPPING AROUND
THE CIRCULATION OF CRISTOBAL LIMITED STORMS THIS AFTERNOON TO THE
INLAND NATURE COAST AND PARTS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. 00Z SOUNDING
INDICATES HOW DRY OUR AIR IS...WITH 1.49 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER.
FORECASTS CONTINUE THIS DRYING OVERNIGHT...SO HAVE REMOVED 20 POPS
FROM ALL AREAS. FORECAST PRETTY MUCH ON TRACK AND HAVE ISSUED AN
UPDATE FOR SLIGHT TWEAKS IN TEMPERATURES AND TO REMOVE POPS AS
MENTIONED ABOVE.

AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINAL SITES THE
REST OF TONIGHT WITH JUST SOME MID AND HIGH CLOUDS AOA 12KFT
EXPECTED. SOME BRIEF MVFR CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES MAY IMPACT FORT
MYERS AND REGIONAL SOUTHWEST TERMINALS DURING THE MID AND LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS ON SUNDAY AS SOME SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP IN THESE AREAS...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS
WILL BE THE RULE AT ALL TERMINAL SITES.

MARINE...WILL SEE WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS START TO PICK UP
FROM THE EAST AS A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES WELL SOUTH OF THE WATERS.
ONLY CHANGE IN THE 1030 PACKAGE WILL BE TO REMOVE STORMS OVERNIGHT.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&


Nuff said lol

[RL3AO]

Never thought I would see the day were there was a tropical storm off the coast of the US with recon en route and no other storms threatening land and no one on S2K seems to give a damn.