ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

[HURAKAN]

OMG, it IS star shaped! The Lone Star for Texas huh?

Wow, it's true. It looks like the center is a five-pointed star. Interesting.

[KWT]

Yep that could be interesting and lead to some higher winds, probably a resukt of quick deepning I guess?

Also I still see a WNW motion but it has been pretty slow in the last 40 mins.

[JonathanBelles]

OMG, it IS star shaped! The Lone Star for Texas huh?

I said starfish in chat XD .

[KWT]

Ywah I see that star shape as well, its really interesting to look at I think!

Outer part of the CDO storms now starting to clip the coast, things are about to go rapidly downhill for S.Texas and N.Mexico.

[fasterdisaster]

Jim Cantore just said he thinks for sure it's going to be a Category 2 by landfall.

[ekal]

Brownsville / South Padre Island Intl Airport 04:53 Light Rain and Breezy 76 74 94 NW 25 G 40 29.56

Brownsville clocks a tropical storm force wind gust (mph).

[paintplaye]

Jim Cantore just said he thinks for sure it's going to be a Category 2 by landfall.

Same with the meteorologist in Houston. All three channels said that the NWC has it to weak during impact.

[KWT]

ekal, yep not really surprsiing given the strong band that went through Bro. in the last 40 minutes or so, the outer CDO should be over there soon and once it is we will see more gusts reaching TS force there.

[Chacor]

WTNT54 KNHC 230957
TCEAT4
HURRICANE DOLLY TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
500 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

AT 5 AM CDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS ESTIMATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.5 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...105
KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Note the position from 1 hour ago:
AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.5 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...
105 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

0.1 degree north movement in that hour.

Next intermediate adv is in an hour, since the centre is on radar there are now two intermediates.

[Normandy]

Very menacing eye now popping out on IR.

[paintplaye]

ekal, yep not really surprsiing given the strong band that went through Bro. in the last 40 minutes or so, the outer CDO should be over there soon and once it is we will see more gusts reaching TS force there.

This storm does not want to make a landfall! lol. If this thing goes north enough to hit Corpus then people are going to be surprised.

[americanrebel]

I wouldn't be suprised, in fact I wouldn't be surprised if it made it up to Galveston Bay.

[Diva]

By the looks of that radar, I hope Houston is ready for LOTS of rain! The reason I say Houston is that several friends that I've talked to in Houston didn't even know there was a hurricane in the Gulf until they saw the electronic signs on the interstate telling them "Hurricane in the Gulf....fill your gas tank".

[HarlequinBoy]

Either way you slice it, Cameron County will most likely get in the eyewall. Willacy County appears it will also get in it.

[KWT]

Interesting Chacor seem to suggest a due north movement or at least so little movement that its hard to gauge the direction.

I agree that this may well be a category-2 by landfall given the way its wrapping up right now, probably bombing right by the coast.

[HouTXmetro]

Time for bed! Hopefully a Thunderstorm from an outerband will roll through Houston and awaken me in the wee hours of the morning.

Yes!!!! Thunderstorm from outerband just woke me up like I predicted. It's RAININ in H-TOWN!!!!!!

[HarlequinBoy]

I wouldn't be suprised, in fact I wouldn't be surprised if it made it up to Galveston Bay.

It's already west of Galveston Bay.

[ekal]

ekal, yep not really surprsiing given the strong band that went through Bro. in the last 40 minutes or so, the outer CDO should be over there soon and once it is we will see more gusts reaching TS force there.

Definitely, KWT. I remember waiting for Katrina's South Florida landfall as she was intensifying, wondering where the hurricane was, because winds stayed under 10 knots until about 20 minutes before the eyewall came ashore. Then everything got nasty in a hurry. Once those winds come ashore, you know it!

[paintplaye]

Time for bed! Hopefully a Thunderstorm from an outerband will roll through Houston and awaken me in the wee hours of the morning.

Yes!!!! Thunderstorm from outerband just woke me up like I predicted. It's RAININ in H-TOWN!!!!!!

Haha yep yep

[Chacor]

Interesting Chacor seem to suggest a due north movement or at least so little movement that its hard to gauge the direction.

0.1 degree between 25.6 and 25.7 at that longitude is 6 nm, which still means a 1-hour estimated movement of 6 kt. One-hour movement is hardly representative though.