ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[KWT]

Yeah it really does not look like a hurricane at all hurakan not sure why he keeps saying that.

The NHC says it could become a hurricane in the enxt 24hrs but thats a little different to the next 1-2hrs!!!

[meteorologyman]

Now I know a lot of people have Charlie in there mind and are concern of rapid intensification which is slight chance. I'm also seieing that anxiety is on the increase. Just remember to keep your cool and remember that 1 of the forums about turning off the T.V., that should probably include computers.

Now is the time to do a review over preperations. I'm pretty sure a lot of people stayed here for the storm so remember you are not alone.

[JonathanBelles]

I think those in south and east Florida may have a surprise waking up this morning.

[HURAKAN]

[johngaltfla]

I believe this going to come up the West coast. I know I live here but I don't want it to come here because of my business. There are absolutely no birds around at all. Very unusual as I live in a bird sanctuary and they are always around this time of day.

That is an interesting thing to note. I've noticed fewer birds around Sarasota this morning also. Animal reactions are always interesting precursors to natural events.

[KWT]

jinftl, yep it could strengthen that much in 6hrs, it can also be a cat-4 in 24hrs...does it meaan it will happen, of course not but just making the comprasion

Still Fay does seem to be slowly strengthening, also will be interesting to see whether this jogs east again when it tries to develop an inner core like it did briefly last night.

[Sanibel]

I was telling people last night that this would be on NHC track but a slight shift right and that Cuba would seriously challenge it. Bingo.

Now the track is back over the top of us but with a storm that is having to start from scratch as far as structure. Watch out there's still energy in that convection. What is shearing it east I'll learn from the board.

I need coffee.

Oh, yeah. I assume a slight continuation east in track.

[tailgater]

PLease check out this Radar loop.
http://my.sfwmd.gov/portal/page?_pageid ... ema=PORTAL

[OuterBanker]

Hey everyone, resting easy this am. Local weather (Hampton Roads) stated they see no affect from Fay, not even rain. Beautiful week ahead here. By contrast the Today show stated that Fay could get to cat 2 before strike west central Fl.

Lesson. Great PR firm here. Suggestion to Tampa/St Pete, hire a PR firm from Hampton Roads.

[cycloneye]

12:00 UTC Best Track,50kts:

AL, 06, 2008081812, , BEST, 0, 232N, 812W, 50, 1002, TS, 50, NEQ, 70, 0, 0, 0,

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/

[MusicCityMan]

I dont hear as many birds around here either to be honest with ya..

[jinftl]

Even with a tropical storm warning in place...and bad weather closing in on sfl....might be a bit more than time to review preparations...we have the daytime today essentially to make any necessary preparations..unless of course someone has to go to work....and there are alot in that boat down here. Generally companies will close for a hurricane warning but not for a ts warning.

Now I know a lot of people have Charlie in there mind and are concern of rapid intensification which is slight chance. I'm also seieing that anxiety is on the increase. Just remember to keep your cool and remember that 1 of the forums about turning off the T.V., that should probably include computers.

Now is the time to do a review over preperations. I'm pretty sure a lot of people stayed here for the storm so remember you are not alone.

[Sirius LeWindy]

Has any one posted this disco from Miami dated today and this morning at 4:32AM?

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/fwd/productview ... &version=0

" . . .FAY REMAINS DISJOINTED THIS MORNING WITH THE MID
LEVEL CIRCULATION REMOVED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE ACTUAL SURFACE
CENTER . . ." and " . . . VERY WEAK ROTATION HAS ALREADY BEEN OBSERVED WITH SOME OF THE
SHOWERS TO THE SOUTHEAST OVER THE GULF STEAM."

[DESTRUCTION5]

I was telling people last night that this would be on NHC track but a slight shift right and that Cuba would seriously challenge it. Bingo.

Now the track is back over the top of us but with a storm that is having to start from scratch as far as structure. Watch out there's still energy in that convection. What is shearing it east I'll learn from the board.

I need coffee.

Oh, yeah. I assume a slight continuation east in track.

Lets just hope we don''t see RI Sanibel...

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

jinftl, yep it could strengthen that much in 6hrs, it can also be a cat-4 in 24hrs...does it meaan it will happen, of course not but just making the comprasion

Still Fay does seem to be slowly strengthening, also will be interesting to see whether this jogs east again when it tries to develop an inner core like it did briefly last night.

I believe Fay has the best organizion of its life right now. 1# You have a well developed centered area of convection, with banding, 2# You have good outflow in all quads but south and southwest. 3# You got super hot water. I expect if a burst of 80c convection can form over that LLC that it will quickly become a cdo and the storm will start strengthing.

[storms in NC]

Man, Fay is one of those women who need LOTS of time to look good in the morning

Really looks bad this morning, but with warm water, she should be able to slap on some make-up fairly quick.

UNOFFICAL FORCAST BY NOT A REAL WEATHERMAN... in my opinion she remains to the right, and will be going moreso today. Cat 1/STRONG TS max when crosses S Fla back into atlantic S of daytona. I have been preaching this for days now, why back-off now.

I to have said it. You can go back to page 89 or 90 I think and that is where I told my thoghts on where she would go. I still say east.

But if you think it will come up the coast into NC think again. Not going to happen. I know we need the rain very very bad. But I think on out to sea she goes to a happer life.LOL

As the day goes on I think we will know more.

[jlauderdal]

Ferro keeps giving us insides into the storm. "It could become a hurricane in an hour or two." We need to e-mail him and ask for the data or satellite images he is seeing to come up with hurricane status in the near term.

he has been terrible since yesterday..why isnt max mayfield on channel 10, we really dont need good morning america today

[jlauderdal]

[img=http://img397.imageshack.us/img397/1598/fayyy0.png]
By jfaul4820

[KWT]

Yeah its probably prudent in western Florida to still prepare for a cat-1 hurricane as the gusts possibly wil lget that high at least and who knows if it strengthens maybe sustained as well?

[Extremeweatherguy]

PLease check out this Radar loop.
http://my.sfwmd.gov/portal/page?_pageid ... ema=PORTAL

Looks like the center is just slightly east of the old forecast track, and if the storm's current NNW heading continues, then a good chunk of the state is going to be hit with Fay's nasty east side.