ATL: IKE Discussion

[Senobia]

Okay, folks. I'm out.

When I awaken (you know, to take my kids to school because it isn't closed and there's a ball game tomorrow night and we don't yet have an evac order although cat 1-2 force winds are forecast), I fully expect there to be a thread about how Ike dissapated and how recon is searching for him to no avail.

/end -removed-

[Nexus]

There hasn't been any reds on this for a while, he's pretty much in the perfect OHC spot atm.

Ocean Heat Content & Forecast Track (00z):



Previous (18z):

[TSmith274]

Can someone give me a quick update on what the city of Houston has decided about evacs? They have an awefully huge number of people to move out of there. Starting to worry about that. Sorry if I missed it. Glad Louisiana could help with 300 busses and 100 ambulances because lord knows they helped us.

[Aristotle]

Can someone tell me how to interpret this set from recon?

052100 2540N 08809W 6967 03040 9911 +100 +060 044062 063 047 006 00

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

Recon is currently flying through the NorthWest quad headed to the center. So far I have yet to find an outer wind maxima in the recon data and they are quickly approaching the center. Where was the outer wind maxima being located last time the recon flight was in Ike?

[CronkPSU]

Can someone tell me how to interpret this set from recon?

052100 2540N 08809W 6967 03040 9911 +100 +060 044062 063 047 006 00

well it gives you the location and then the important numbers for most of us are

991.1 mb

63 FL winds

[Nexus]

The Colorado state RAMMB site listed low res IR G-13 images of Ike during the G-12 eclipse last night, which wasn't normal, but not tonight again. Guess it was just a one time thing that G-13 could image the location?

Regarldess, yes that Navy site has updated G-11 shots of Ike.

[bob rulz]

Was Opal maybe of similar size? I don't know where to find the wind radius for this one, but it looks huge in this picture. Since it had an amazingly low pressure for a category 4 hurricane, I think there's some comparison here.

I found this in the NHC archives (for previous hurricane advisories you can click the "season archives" link on the side of the main TPC page and go from there).

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/storm_w ... al1795.029
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260
MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO EXTEND WELL INLAND
ALONG THE TRACK OF OPAL. HIGH WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE BEING
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES IN THE AFFECTED AREAS.

I had no idea that Opal was that large!

[RL3AO]

Can someone tell me how to interpret this set from recon?

052100 2540N 08809W 6967 03040 9911 +100 +060 044062 063 047 006 00

Those are the important two.

9911 is the extrapolated surface pressure. Just add the decimal point and you get 991.1 mb.

063 is the 10 second flight level winds in knots. So 63 knots.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Can someone tell me how to interpret this set from recon?

052100 2540N 08809W 6967 03040 9911 +100 +060 044062 063 047 006 00

25.4 north/88.09 west at 6987 meters

991.1 millibars

63 knots flight level 47 SMRF

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

Can someone tell me how to interpret this set from recon?

052100 2540N 08809W 6967 03040 9911 +100 +060 044062 063 047 006 00

Current Location: 2540N 08809W
SL Pressure: 9911
10s wind average: 063
30s wind average and direction: 044062
SFMR Wind reading: 047

Thats the most important stuff that you need to know. The rest of the stuff I am really not sure about because I don't pay attention to it.

[HurricaneRobert]

Can someone give me a quick update on what the city of Houston has decided about evacs? They have an awefully huge number of people to move out of there. Starting to worry about that. Sorry if I missed it. Glad Louisiana could help with 300 busses and 100 ambulances because lord knows they helped us.

No mandatory evacuations even though those in SE Houston may be more vulnerable than those in Galveston. Ike is being taken pretty lightly by all, so most schools are going to be open tomorrow.

[HurricaneRobert]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/storm_w ... al1795.029
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260
MILES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO EXTEND WELL INLAND
ALONG THE TRACK OF OPAL. HIGH WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE BEING
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES IN THE AFFECTED AREAS.

I had no idea that Opal was that large!

Wow. She was bigger than Ike.

[Aristotle]

947 and falling kids! Latest recon

NW quad btw!

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

Ok looks like they have now encountered the double wind maxima. And it looks like the inner wind maxima is still the strongest.

000
URNT15 KNHC 110541
AF308 2309A IKE HDOB 12 20080911
053100 2519N 08740W 6971 02931 9761 +136 +060 043070 071 066 002 00
053130 2518N 08739W 6961 02935 9757 +132 +060 045068 069 064 002 00
053200 2518N 08737W 6967 02923 9739 +138 +060 045068 070 063 003 00
053230 2517N 08736W 6964 02918 9727 +139 +060 042064 067 063 003 00
053300 2516N 08734W 6967 02903 9716 +142 +060 037060 063 063 003 00
053330 2515N 08733W 6968 02899 9719 +135 +060 040056 059 062 003 00
053400 2514N 08731W 6963 02902 9712 +135 +060 045053 054 060 003 00
053430 2513N 08730W 6965 02886 9706 +135 +060 046053 053 058 004 00
053500 2512N 08728W 6966 02879 9703 +129 +060 045051 051 055 004 00
053530 2511N 08727W 6965 02873 9703 +120 +060 042051 053 053 005 00
053600 2510N 08725W 6969 02862 9693 +125 +060 045053 054 049 004 00
053630 2509N 08724W 6965 02862 9685 +125 +060 046051 052 048 004 00
053700 2508N 08722W 6965 02852 9674 +126 +060 046054 054 048 004 00
053730 2507N 08721W 6962 02845 9659 +130 +060 043055 055 049 004 00
053800 2506N 08719W 6967 02830 9649 +129 +060 043059 062 052 004 00
053830 2505N 08718W 6973 02809 9630 +130 +060 043066 068 055 005 00
053900 2504N 08716W 6961 02796 9586 +147 +060 040072 074 060 008 00
053930 2503N 08715W 6973 02740 9553 +135 +060 041073 082 070 019 00
054000 2502N 08714W 6965 02721 9503 +151 +060 049041 050 070 010 03
054030 2501N 08712W 6969 02704 9467 +173 +060 063024 026 019 004 03
$$

[CronkPSU]

[bob rulz]

If this thing's winds have not strengthened I will officially throw out all I know about hurricanes and just give up predicting anything based on that IR loop.

[HouTXmetro]

Never going to get really strong with this double wind thingamajingy... HOwever it makes it a more powerfull storm overall.

[Derek Ortt]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc0 ... atest.html

NRL updating during eclipse via GOES-11

[Nexus]

947 and falling kids! Latest recon

Not quite at center yet, wait for next set.