ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[KWT]

Ah ok fair enough then Miami, I can see what your seeing with that location now, however pressure is still falling at Key west as well which is sort of suggesting to me that the southern rotation is still the dominant one for now.

Recon not far from the center, should get a good indication whats going on soon....this sort of reminds me of the big debates that went on with Frances when it was making landfall, is it wobbling, shift, moving, stalled, etc!

[Bgator]

Wind is a bit higher here in Miami, but nothing special.

[chris_fit]

new GFDL also jumps on the stop and turn west bandwagon...

[D3m3NT3DVoRT3X]

Bay News 9 still saying going NNE

[Sanibel]

There's an awesome sunset peeking out from under the Tropical Storm bands to the west right now!

[cpdaman]

the center jumped right under the deep convection we saw bursting about 6pm.

my bet is that's a meso cyclone that got sucked up watch it race NW, then W , then SW/S and then out to the east

fay wouldn't know what to do with a tight LLC, i hope

[Evil Jeremy]

TWC right now showing an arrow pointing to Everglades City as a "current path" point.

[Sanibel]

If the center jumped under that burst we got suckered by decoy vortices left behind. - Nevermind! -

[Extremeweatherguy]

Recon pressure = 996.8mb

[Sanibel]

I wish you all could see the tropical bands swirling in the sunset light.

[Evil Jeremy]

TWC saying that it is a good thing that the shear is dieing down because it will lessen the chance of tornadoes. Mabey they forgot that less shear means a possibly stronger storm lol!

[NEXRAD]

Whoops... based on the latest radar frames my previous center estimate was too far east. Fay's closer to Key West, likely just north of the island.

- Jay

[RL3AO]

Nice job MiamiensisWx. It was an illusion. Fay is still moving due north and there was never a NNE drift.

[KWT]

Also the 'center' is currently slightly east of Key west, so far no evidence at al of a center relocation, if anything the center has barely moved at all it seems!

[edbri871]

I wish you all could see the tropical bands swirling in the sunset light.

Here you guys go, Fort Myers Beach Looking North Towards Sanibel Island
http://www.diamondheadfl.com/beachcam.htm

[Bgator]

Jay is see what you see.
That band south of the storm looks like it is gaining strength, will this effect Metro Dade/Broward?

[johngaltfla]

TWC saying that it is a good thing that the shear is dieing down because it will lessen the chance of tornadoes. Mabey they forgot that less shear means a possibly stronger storm lol!

Yes, but for those of us north of the cyclone the convergence with the trough enhances tornadoes. The TWC is.....never mind.

[NEXRAD]

This whole transition with Fay was really bizarre, though. I have two hypotheses for what may have taken place: 1) trough interaction somehow jolted the storm. 2) One of the mesocyclones near the storm's center developed a substantial and deep enough rotation to cause some sort of a smaller-scale, transient, Fujiwara Effect.

- Jay

[Evil Jeremy]

Steve Lyons confirmed a NNE motion, although he said it is moving North again.

[KWT]

Nice job MiamiensisWx. It was an illusion. Fay is still moving due north and there was never a NNE drift.

Hard to say we've not had recon for the last few hours, no reason to say this hasn't jogged eastwards, lowest pressure found actually a tiny bit ESE of Key West, that surprised me a little bit...long term motion of NNW but the NW jogs may mask the NNE jogs.