ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[fasterdisaster]

You know even after it makes landfall it won't weaken too quickly since it'll be over the Everglades for a while.

[Wx_Warrior]

New EURO posted on model thread...Basically the same as GFS but most is over land while moving west parallel to GOM then trough picks up on Monday.

[fasterdisaster]

I'm finding it harder and harder to believe this storm is only 60 mph...

[StJoe]

I'm finding it harder and harder to believe this storm is only 60 mph...

She seems to be a light cat 1 at my house. channel 12 is saying that Fay will pass about 60 miles west of lake O around 8am...wow, she amazes me yet again...

[Chris_in_Tampa]

991mb NOAA dropsonde.

[fasterdisaster]

Dropsonde says 991 mb, dunno if they got the lowest though.

[StJoe]

I'll bet anyone that we're getting as much, if not more, rain from Fay then we did Frances. It has been pouring...I mean pouring for about 2 hours now...I figure at least 6"-7" today so far.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

What do you think the chances for Fay to be retired is?

[fasterdisaster]

I'll bet anyone that we're getting as much, if not more, rain from Fay then we did Frances. It has been pouring...I mean pouring for about 2 hours now...I figure at least 6"-7" today so far.

You guys are getting the majority of the outflow up there. I'm much closer to the storm and yet I'm getting almost nothin'.

[StJoe]

What do you think the chances for Fay to be retired is?

Not likely...but I can tell you that she will be used as a great model for all young weathercasters out there. I have never seen a storm do what she has...close, but no Fay.

[fasterdisaster]

What do you think the chances for Fay to be retired is?

Way too early to say. IF we see Allison like damage from this stationary setup then okay but right now I have to say no. But she still has another chance (or maybe TWO more) it seems with the way these models are panning out.

[StJoe]

when you look at the eye spinning around, it looks like its gonna pull a Wilma..I won't be surprised if we get the eye here in Welligton.

[AnthraX151]

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BAY...LAKE WORTH...DELRAY BEACH... BOYNTON BEACH...BOCA RATON...BELLE GLADE...

* UNTIL 600 AM EDT

* AT 259 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS INDICATING A RAIN BAND THAT WAS CONTINUING TO TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREA FROM THE ATLANTIC WATERS NORTHWEST TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM THIS RAIN BAND HAS PRODUCE 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL DURING THE LAST HOUR. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. IF THE RAINFALL RATES INCREASE MORE THAN FORECAST...THAN A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MAYBE NEEDED FOR THIS AREA.

Basicly right on top of my house.......My yard is def gonna be under water by tomorrow.

[wxmann_91]

What do you think the chances for Fay to be retired is?

Slim to none, at this point... subject to change later.

[StJoe]

my strret is inderwater already.y pool has overflowed and the drain is not letting it out cuz my yard is underwater. Couple more hours of this and I bet it starts coming in through the sliders.

sorry about the spelling, no power, generator kicked on and I'm sweatin big time.

[Cyclenall]

What do you think the chances for Fay to be retired is?

Slim to none, at this point... subject to change later.

Subject to change if it makes landfall in Georgia or South Carloina as a cateogory 3 hurricane .

Again, not an offical prediction or forecast by any means, lol.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

my strret is inderwater already.y pool has overflowed and the drain is not letting it out cuz my yard is underwater. Couple more hours of this and I bet it starts coming in through the sliders.

sorry about the spelling, no power, generator kicked on and I'm sweatin big time.

Have you ever gotten this much rain before?

[StJoe]

Anthrax...do you see that band coming at us on the radar? another tornado touched down 2 blocks from me...

[wxmann_91]

What do you think the chances for Fay to be retired is?

Slim to none, at this point... subject to change later.

Subject to change if it makes landfall in Georgia or South Carloina as a cateogory 3 hurricane .

Again, not an offical prediction or forecast by any means, lol.

lol, no doubt. There's still a lot of uncertainty though and it can change back to an inland track. The history of Fay would argue for that.

[StJoe]

my strret is inderwater already.y pool has overflowed and the drain is not letting it out cuz my yard is underwater. Couple more hours of this and I bet it starts coming in through the sliders.

sorry about the spelling, no power, generator kicked on and I'm sweatin big time.

Have you ever gotten this much rain before?

Yes, we did in Frances, but Frances started at 10Am and finished about 2 the next day..like 26 hours of pure hell...

Fay seems to have dumped at least 1/2 that amount in about 6 hours

typing really bad...sorry