ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

looks like it will exit by Melbourne to me

[tailgater]

Am I seeing this correctly? Fay proceeds across the state, comes back in the GOM and proceeds to landfall in the same area a second time. What are the odds? A zillion to one.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

I just ran that animation and that's what it does . . . . my thoughts - - - "ARE YOU KIDDING ME???" Surely yes. . .

Ihat's an old run from Sunday

[HurricaneHunter914]

Her eye is so symmetrical! It's MIND BOGGLING!

[Meso]

Frank : The reason why some see it as stationary and others don't is no big mystery though. If the loops aren't automatically updated you can go back a few pages and see that there was a period when she was spinning in one spot for a while not moving at all. She may be moving again now but there was definitely a stationary period

[gatorcane]

Looking like a serious FLOODING Event for SE FL especially the northern counties. I would wager to say people living in Palm Beach County, Broward, Martin did not expect to see this much rain.

I can tell you I had to backwash my pool twice already. I estimate we have had about 7 inches of rain in about 8 hours. Driving down 441 (SR7) in Palm Beach County, there is free standing water on both sides of the road everywhere...

water levels rising rapidly across these areas.

[tolakram]

Okeechobee (KOBE)

[CalmBeforeStorm]

I'm going to guess 10pm to midnight or so and she's on the coast again. That's assuming she stays the same general speed as in the last 2 hours.

I don't see any way she misses Lake Okeechobee.

[Frank2]

It sure does look like an eye on radar, but, apparently it's an "low-cloud" eye, mostly made up of strato-cumulus clouds, versus a dynamic convective eyewall in a major hurricane - any of the professional folks here please correct me if I'm wrong...

We'll see what the 11 a.m. advisory package has to say...

[tgenius]

Looking like a serious FLOODING Event for SE FL especially the northern counties. I would wager to say people living in Palm Beach County, Broward, Martin did not expect to see this much rain.

I can tell you I had to backwash my pool twice already. I estimate we have had about 7 inches of rain in about 8 hours.

I thought my pool would overflow but it didnt... I am a bit glad I didn't drain the pool though I'm sure the chemicals are all out of whack now.

[ColdFusion]

Cone of error.

A few days ago, a pro-met was on here screaming his head off at everyone about speculating on the size of the error cone, and how it never changes in size, and that its ALWAYS 2/3's of something or other, I dont remember.

Does that really apply here? I mean that 5 day cone looks much larger than usual???

So IS the width of the 5 day forecast always the same, was that pro-met wrong, or did I misread something?

[HURAKAN]

[NativeFloridaGirl]

Looking like a serious FLOODING Event for SE FL especially the northern counties. I would wager to say people living in Palm Beach County, Broward, Martin did not expect to see this much rain.

I can tell you I had to backwash my pool twice already. I estimate we have had about 7 inches of rain in about 8 hours.

We didn't have alot of rain until this morning, but now the lakes in my neighborhood, the streets, and my yard are all under water. I just didn't expect that much rain so quickly when the storm is so far away.

~Beth~

[HurricaneHunter914]

It does look like a faint eye now does it? The 11 am discussion will be a very anticipated one.

[Just Joshing You]

I believe the error cone is 2/3rds of the average error rate or something/other.

[tolakram]

I'll use the wording...

an eye like structure is becoming evident on visible satellite images. I'll also add LandCane!



from this loop (you aren't a hurricane nut if you don't watch this loop!)

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... ive_0.html

[gatorcane]

I suspect NHC will mention how Fay has handled well over land so far but will insist on a weakening trend to commence shortly. I would be shocked if they mentioned any eye though, I guess you never know.

[CrazyC83]

Could this be an Erin redux?

[Chacor]

Cone of error.

A few days ago, a pro-met was on here screaming his head off at everyone about speculating on the size of the error cone, and how it never changes in size, and that its ALWAYS 2/3's of something or other, I dont remember.

Does that really apply here? I mean that 5 day cone looks much larger than usual???

So IS the width of the 5 day forecast always the same, was that pro-met wrong, or did I misread something?

It only looks "larger than normal" because of the hard left turn forecast. Similar cones occur with forecast points bunched up together.

[Bocadude85]

she looks the best she ever has.. to my surprise conditions continue to get worse here

[sfwx]

Are there any live streaming news channels?
I'm not seeing any..

All local stations are back to regular programming for now.....

Eric