ATL: IKE Discussion

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txag2005
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#9941 Postby txag2005 » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:38 pm

Lowpressure wrote:
txag2005 wrote:What is the realistic chance this thing is a Cat 4 or 5 at landfall? Some of these comments are hoenstly scaring me.

I'm in the NE side of town hunkered down after leaving the storm surge zone earlier today. I figured I'd ride out the storm with family. Now that I read comments about Cat 4 or 5 at landfall, I'm concered about being up here even due to the fact that they project the storm to only have dropped one level by the side it hits the NE side of town (Kingwood/Humble area).

Therefore, can anyone, especially pro-mets, give me a realistic view on the chance of this happening? A cat 4 or 5 at landfall gives me some thoughts of trying to leave town all together over night.

Given the structure issues to this point, I would say 4/5 is a reach for Ike. It is possible but rather doubtful. I would think to stick to the NHC projection of a 3. Derek's estimate of 105kt at landfall seems very reasonable as well. I am not a pro. I just think the wind field is too large to constrict enough for a high 4 or 5.


I hope that remains the case. The thought of a Cat 4 or 5 ripping through Houston with most of us out of the surge zone staying in place makes me sick.
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Re:

#9942 Postby HurricaneQueen » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:39 pm

dwg71 wrote:it appears that this will be a storm surge problem. I think if it stays a 2, and can get in east of the bay Houston will be able to recover quickly. I actually think a direct hit on Galveston is better than on about 20 miles west.

Im in Pasadena, riding it out with my family. We are in well constructed home. Please keep us in your thoughts. I know I can be testy at times, but I have learned so much from all of you and value the time spent here. Its all in good fun.

Im scared, and Im a 36 year old man.


Darryl



Darryl:

We won't forget about you and your family. Just be safe and don't take any unnecessary risks. We'll be here for you when you get back online. Wishing you all the very best.

Lynn
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#9943 Postby AZRainman » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:39 pm

Image
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#9944 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:39 pm

peteywheatstraw wrote:It's pretty reasonable to believe that Galveston would get a storm surge of over 25 ft. Grand Isle Blocks, a WAVCIS BUOY just So of Grand Isle has registered 24 ft wave hts today. And that's pretty far from the center.

Well, the surge and waves are different. I would expect "waves" to possibly top 40 to 50 feet outside of Galveston if the storm is a Cat. 3, but, as for the surge, I would think between 18 to 23 feet (which is devastating and could alter Galveston for years).
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#9945 Postby Mike from Paris » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:40 pm

Sean in New Orleans wrote:Agree....we're in the drama of it all right now. New Orleans has only been "hit" twice in over 40 years. All of the rest of the days are just fine in this unique city. As for New Orleans--Katrina was a 400 year storm. Gustav was wonderful for me. It made me remember how hurricanes normally are----limbs go down, power goes out for a couple of days (only 6 hours at my house in Mid-City New Orleans for Gustav) and within a few days, life returns to normal. Hurricanes are very serious, but, if it was so bad that it was life altering (other than Katrina) cities like Mobile, Houston, Pensacola, New Orleans, Galveston, etc. would not exist. The fact that we are here, thriving, and living a great life is the most telling thing about living on the Gulf Coast.


Totally agree, New Orleans is a great city, a great place to live in ! I've been there 10 years ago...I've been to Houston and Galveston too.

Good luck to everybody in Ike's path.

Sorry for this useless post. :oops:
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#9946 Postby Pebbles » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:40 pm

txag2005 wrote:Therefore, can anyone, especially pro-mets, give me a realistic view on the chance of this happening? A cat 4 or 5 at landfall gives me some thoughts of trying to leave town all together over night.


Many here are describing the SURGE being equal to a cat 4 or 5 with this storm. You followed your local officials and moved out of the surge prone area into a stable building? Then you did what you were suppose to do. :)

You are going to find alot of very (often over) excitable novice weather hobbiest here. Please listen to your local news (which I have been watching all day and has seemed very good), the NHC, and your local officials and you should be fine.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#9947 Postby opera ghost » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:41 pm

Innotech wrote:having just been through Gustav, my thought and prayers go out to those of you west of me.
My uncle is in western Houston but he didnt evacuate so I hope hes going to be ok. Hel ives several miles west of the Galleria in a very nice neighborhood. do you think he will be alright there?


It sounds like he could be within a couple miles of me. We plan on riding it out. We're scared by sure that we don't have to worry about surge- only wind- and we're in a well built structure so we'll be fine.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#9948 Postby lost cause » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:41 pm

artist wrote:I don't have time to find an official report, but around noon, the local news had film of Apfel park (east end) with water beginning to cover the road. Same thing on the far west end of Galveston. The west end goes under if you sneeze, so I'm not surprised it's already flooding.

thanks. I have a cousin who has a house on Galveston near the Strand.[/quote]

Galveston Daily News: http://www.galvnews.com/story.lasso?ewc ... 83be10bebe

Everything west of the seawall goes under at the drop of a hat. In a press conference yesterday, Steve LeBlanc, one of the council members, said that after heights of 3.5 feet roadways start becoming innundated.
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Re: Re:

#9949 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:42 pm

Rod Hagen wrote:
Weatherfreak000 wrote:Sorry? .5S? That's a very vast exaggeration.


Don't really get it...the storm wobbles NW and nobody cares...it's just a wobble...but it wobbles WbyWNW and people are freaking? Frankly if you bring up the Tropical Forecast Points in your loop...it's hardly even .1S of the forecast.

With the approaching trough setting up..I highly doubt this is going to affect official landfall from the NHC.


I don't agree, weatherfreak. Take a look at the track of the centre of the core step by step from the initial position a few hours back now with lat and long turned on and you will see that the trend has been pretty much directly along 26ºN (very, very slightly N of this perhaps). The next forecast position is around 26.7ºN. If you drop a perpendicular from the line between the forecast points to the line of best fit for the current track it is pretty close to .5º S of the forecast.

Cheers

Rod


The past intermediate advisory initialized the storm at 26.2N. Right now the center appears to be near 26.3N.
Last edited by Weatherfreak000 on Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#9950 Postby peteywheatstraw » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:42 pm

Point taken. I guess I should have said wave hts. might be 25 ft. not the storm surge.
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Re:

#9951 Postby JenBayles » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:42 pm

fasterdisaster wrote:Where did this complete conjecture come from on TWC that the storm had 'a good chance of moving east of Galveston so that would be good news for you'? Not saying it's not possible but frankly that's just misleading.


Same thing Channel 11 has been saying for 30 minutes. Driving me crazy! My sister-in-law in Katy is convinced it's going to Beaumont or even NO and has done NOTHING. My brother is out of the country and she has 3 kids at home. Two in diapers and one with serious epilepsy. These conjecture news reports aren't helping me convince her to even make extra ice!
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#9952 Postby txag2005 » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:43 pm

Pebbles wrote:
txag2005 wrote:Therefore, can anyone, especially pro-mets, give me a realistic view on the chance of this happening? A cat 4 or 5 at landfall gives me some thoughts of trying to leave town all together over night.


Many here are describing the SURGE being equal to a cat 4 or 5 with this storm. You followed your local officials and moved out of the surge prone area into a stable building? Then you did what you were suppose to do. :)

You are going to find alot of very (often over) excitable novice weather hobbiest here. Please listen to your local news (which I have been watching all day and has seemed very good), the NHC, and your local officials and you should be fine.


Yup I'm hunkered down in the Humble/Kingwood area is an all brick house built around 20 years ago. My big concern is some of the 100+ year old oak trees, but there are no pines around here, so I guess that is good.

I've never been through a storm before so I guess I'm not sure what to expect. I've had to turn off the news outside of just getting updates because of the sensationalism (esp on CNN/TWC etc..).
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Re: ATL IKE: Recon Discussion

#9953 Postby pojo » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:43 pm

Aristotle wrote:can someone help me make sense of this?

UZNT13 KNHC 110553
XXAA 61067 99250 70872 08157 99950 27000 34574 00955 ///// /////
92240 26000 02061 85987 23200 02556 70674 16409 05052 88999 77999
31313 09608 80539
61616 AF308 2309A IKE OB 06
62626 EYEWALL 315 SPL 2499N08727W 0543 MBL WND 01562 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 02555 949705 WL150 36071 083 =
XXBB 61068 99250 70872 08157 00950 27000 11850 23200 22735 18203
33703 18210 44695 13808
21212 00950 34574 11940 00572 22928 01566 33923 02059 44915 02060
55908 02054 66850 02556 77695 05050
31313 09608 80539
61616 AF308 2309A IKE OB 06
62626 EYEWALL 315 SPL 2499N08727W 0543 MBL WND 01562 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 02555 949705 WL150 36071 083 =


here you go... this is the decoder that we use at work.



UZNT13 KNHC 061851
XXAA 56185 99251 70786 08158 99016 26444 18501 00140 26247 07004 92827
22856 10509 85560 17834 07510 70200 09045 07012 50591 05532 07016 88999
77999
61616 AF968 0204A BONNIE OB 04
62626 RAINBAND SPL 2635N08996W LST WND 001 MBL WND 04010
XXBB 56188 99251 70786 08158 00016 26444 11005 25841 2291 26657 33860
18233 44719 10657 55679 07023 66624 03656 77555 01917 88541 02556 99523
11497 05927
21212 00016 18501 11983 07510 22959 10010 33865 09511
44787 06510 55719 08011 66695 06512 77646 08512 88597 07011 99570 03511
11538 08014 22523 08516 33497 07016
31313 09608 81828
51515 10166 02050
61616 AF968 0204A BONNIE OB 04
62626 RAINBAND SPL 2635N08996W LST WND 001 MBL WND 04010

XXAA – Identifier for a temp drop code
Date/Time Group: YYGGId
•Identifier: YY – Date Group, Identifier: GG – Time Group, Identifier: Id - The highest mandatory level for which wind is available
LATTITUDE: 99LaLaLa
•Identifier: 99 – Indicator for data on position, Identifier: LaLaLa – Latitude in tenths of degrees
LONGITUDE: QcLoLoLoLo
•Identifier: Qc – The octant of the globe, Identifier: LoLoLoLo – Longitude in tenths of degrees
MARSDEN SQUARE: MMMUlaUlo
•Identifier and explain: MMM – Marsden square, Identifier and explain: UlaUlo – Units
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE: 99PoPoPo ToToToDoDo dodofofofo
•Identifier: 99 – Indicator for data at the surface level follows
•Identifier: PoPoPo –Pressure of specified levels in whole millibar (thousands digit omitted)
•Identifier: ToToTo – Tens and digits of air temperature (not rounded off) in degrees Celsius, at specified levels beginning with surface
•Identifier: DoDo – Dewpoint depression at standard isobaric surfaces beginning with surface level
NOTE
When the depression is 4.9C or less encode the units and tenths digits of the depression. Encode depressions of 5.0 through 5.4C as 50. Encode depressions of 5.5C through 5.9C as 56. Dew point
repressions of 6.0 and above are encoded in tens and units with 50 added. Dew point depressions for relative humidities less then 20% are encoded as 80. When air temperature is below –40C report DaDa as // Identifier: dodo – True direction from which the wind is blowing rounded to nearest 5 degrees. Report hundreds and tens digits. The unit (0 and 5) is added to the hundreds digit of wind.
•Identifier: fofofo – Wind speed in knots. Hundreds digit is sum of hundreds digit of speed and unit digit of direction. Example: 295 degrees at 125 knots is encoded as 29625
STANDARD ISOBARIC SURFACES: P1P1h1h1h1 T1T1T1D1D1 d1d1f1f1f1
•Identifier: P1P1 – Pressure of standard isobaric surfaces in units of tens of millibars. (1000mbs = 00, 925mbs = 92, 850mbs = 85, 700mbs = 70, 500mbs = 50, 400mbs = 40, 300mbs = 30, 250mbs = 25)
•Identifier: h1h1h1 – Heights of the standard pressure level in geopotential meters or decameters above the surface. Encoded in decameters at and above 500mbs omitting, if necessary, the thousands or tens of thousands digits. Add 500 to hhh for negative 1000mb or 925mb heights. Report 1000mb group as 00/// ///// ///// when pressure is less than 950mbs.
•Identifier: T1T1T1D1D1 – Same temperature/dew point encoding procedures apply to all levels
•Identifier: d1d1f1f1f1 – Same wind encoding procedures apply to all levels
DATA FOR TROPOPAUSE LEVELS: 88PnPnPn TnTnTnDnDn dndnfnfnfn
•Identifier: 88 – Indicator for Tropopause level follows
•Identifier: PnPnPn – Pressure at the tropopause level reported in whole millibars. Report 88PnPnPn as 88999 when tropopause is not observed
•Identifier: TnTnTnDnDn – Same temperature/dew point encoding procedures apply
•Identifier: dndnfnfnfn - Same wind encoding procedures apply
MAXIMUM WIND DATA: 77PnPnPn dndnfnfnfn 4vbvbvava
•Identifier: 77 – Indicator that data for maximum wind level and for vertical wind shear follow when max wind does not coincide at flight. If maximum wind level coincides with flight level encode 66
•Identifier: PnPnPn – Pressure at maximum wind level in whole millibars
•Identifier: dndnfnfnfn – Same wind encoding procedures apply
•Identifier: 4 – Data for vertical wind shear follow
•Identifier: vbvb – Absolute value of vector difference between max wind and wind 3000 feet BELOW the level of max wind, reported to the nearest knot. Use "//" if missing and a 4 is reported. A vector difference of 99 knots or more is reported with the code figure "99".
•Identifier: vava – Absolute value of vector difference between max wind and wind 3000 feet ABOVE the level of max wind, reported to the nearest knot. Use "//" if missing and a 4 is reported. A vector difference of 99 knots or more is reported with the code figure "99".
AIRCRAFT AND MISSION IDENTIFICATION: 61616 AFXXX XXXXX XXXXX OB XX
•Identifier: 61616 – Aircraft and mission identification data follows
•Identifier: AFXXX XXXX XXXXX: Mission ID
•Identifier: OB 04 – The observation number as transmitted from the aircraft.
NATIONALLY DEVELOPED CODES: 62626
•Identifier: 62626 – This is the remarks section. Only the remarks: EYE EYEWALL XXX (eyewall will be followed by the radian to the eye center procured from the ARWO), or RAINBAND, if release was made in a feeder band. The splash location will be recorded automatically by computer. Followed by last wind height in meters and the mean boundary layer wind with degrees to the nearest five-degree and knots.
PART BRAVO (B)
•XXBB – Identifier for a temp drop code
•The following 4 groups same as in PART ALPHA: Date/Time and location and SLP
SIGNIFICANT ISOBARIC LEVELS: nonoPoPoPo ToToToDoDo
•Identifier: nono – Number of level starting with surface level. Only surface will be numbered as "00". When a standard level is also selected as significant, repeat the level.
•Identifier: PoPoPo – Pressure at specified levels in whole millibars.
•Identifier: ToToToDoDo – Same temperature/dew point encoding applies.
SIGNIFICANT WIND LEVELS: 21212 nnPPP ddfff
•Identifier: nono – Number of level starting with surface level. Only surface will be numbered as "00". When a standard level is also selected as significant, repeat the level.
•Identifier: d1d1f1f1f1 – Same wind encoding procedures apply to all levels
SOUNDING SYSTEM INDICATION, RADIOSONDE/SYSTEM STATUS, LAUNCH TIME:
•31313 srrarasasa 8GGgg
ADDITIONAL DATA GROUPS: 51515 101XX 0PnPnPnPn
•Identifier: 51515 – Additional data in regional code follow
•Identifier: 10166 – Geopotential data are doubtful between the following levels 0PnPnPnPn.
•Identifier: 10167 – Temperature data are doubtful between the following levels 0PnPnPnPn.
•Identifier: 10190 – Extrapolated altitude data follows:
a.When the sounding begins within 25mbs below a standard surface, the height of the surface is reported in the format 10190 PnPnhnhnhn. The temperature group is not reported
b.When the sounding does not reach surface, but terminates within 25mbs of a standard surface, the height of the standard surface is reported in Part A of the code in standard format and also at the end of Part A and Part B of the code in the format as 10190 PnPnhnhnhn.
•Identifier: 10191 – Extrapolated surface pressure preceds. Extrapolated surface pressure is only reported when the termination occurs between 850mbs and the surface. Surface pressure is reported in Part A as 99PoPoPo ///// and in Part B as 00PoPoPo /////. When surface pressure is extrapolated the 10191 group is the last additional data group reported in Part B.
61616, 62626 – Same procedures as Part A
Last edited by pojo on Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#9954 Postby Txdivermom » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:43 pm

JenBayles wrote:
artist wrote:
Hurricanewatcher2007 wrote:Galveston is already flooding in places.

can you point me to that report? Thanks!


I don't have time to find an official report, but around noon, the local news had film of Apfel park (east end) with water beginning to cover the road. Same thing on the far west end of Galveston. The west end goes under if you sneeze, so I'm not surprised it's already flooding.


Exactly. You can't judge from West Beach or Sea Isle. That road floods with just normal high tides sometimes.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#9955 Postby Innotech » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:43 pm

txag2005 wrote:What is the realistic chance this thing is a Cat 4 or 5 at landfall? Some of these comments are hoenstly scaring me.

I'm in the NE side of town hunkered down after leaving the storm surge zone earlier today. I figured I'd ride out the storm with family. Now that I read comments about Cat 4 or 5 at landfall, I'm concered about being up here even due to the fact that they project the storm to only have dropped one level by the side it hits the NE side of town (Kingwood/Humble area).

Therefore, can anyone, especially pro-mets, give me a realistic view on the chance of this happening? A cat 4 or 5 at landfall gives me some thoughts of trying to leave town all together over night.

cat 5, not very good. cat 4, possibly if conditions quickly improve. Im going to say a mid cat 3 personally.
the storm, like gustav, was severely disrupted by cuba and I think overall the gulf this year just isnt very conducive to monster hurricanes like it was in 2005.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#9956 Postby masaji79 » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:43 pm

It seems like the bright reds and even oranges for that matter have increased on the Infrared shots over the past few hours.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#9957 Postby superdeluxe » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:43 pm

Hurricanewatcher2007 wrote:Galveston is already flooding in places.


source?
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Re: ATL IKE: Recon Discussion

#9958 Postby pojo » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:44 pm

Pebbles wrote:Kind of curious why they just flew around in circles a few times way NW of the storm... *ponders* They aren't having equipment problems are they? (that's if Pojo is around to answer and not on the plane :P )

I was on the plane... it was for timing
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#9959 Postby Wx_Warrior » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:44 pm

000
WTNT34 KNHC 120241
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1000 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...IKE REMAINS A LARGE CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE AND POSES A
SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE HAZARD...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY
TO PORT MANSFIELD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...BUT A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THAT AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY
TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW
ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.4 WEST OR ABOUT 445 MILES...
715 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 340 MILES
...545 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS...WITH A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE FRIDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE
UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY
LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE
COASTLINE EARLY ON FRIDAY...LONG BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE
COAST.

DATA FROM BOTH NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO...AND IKE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE
REACHING THE COAST.

THE AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE THAT IKE REMAINS A LARGE CYCLONE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185
KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 265 MILES...425 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON AIRCRAFT DATA IS 956
MB...28.23 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES
LANDFALL...EXTENDING A GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER
DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE CYCLONE. SURGE FLOODING OF UP
TO 25 FEET COULD OCCUR AT THE HEADS OF BAYS. COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE
AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN
THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ALONG
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...26.3 N...90.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB/BERG
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#9960 Postby Hurricanewatcher2007 » Thu Sep 11, 2008 9:45 pm

superdeluxe wrote:
Hurricanewatcher2007 wrote:Galveston is already flooding in places.


source?


The source is Hurricanetrack.com but its from their live feed which is subscription based. They are streaming live as they hunt around for places to setup their equipment.
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