ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[Dave C]

Another thought.... daytime heating over Florida may be helping the convection.

[carversteve]

If I didn't know any better I would think I was looking
at a hurricane over Florida.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... uration=12

Wow!! on that loop the eye looks really good...and she seems to be tightly wrapped

[Jevo]

I'm starting to think the GFDL forecast is what might happen...second landfall near Savannah...

What are you basing this on considering the models are starting to trend it back into the GOM?

I think he qualified his statment when he quoted the GFDL model run taking the storm into Savannah

[Air Force Met]

Not sure if you all have seen this...but HPC going for HUGE rainfall totals over the SE US...

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p120i12.gif

[Scorpion]

55 kts sustained on Lake O

[hazmat]

stormcenter...it feels like a hurricane over Fl...we've been getting soaked for hours & the winds are steadily increasing along with the gusts..I'm starting to wonder if maybe I sholuld've boarded up. Faye is certainly making her presence felt here in inland central Fl...having big bands continue to ge over us.
Anyone not impressed with this measly tropical storm should not be allowed to post anymore.

[Just Joshing You]

I know it is the BAMM.. but I'm thinking something along that line, maybe a bit further out to sea first.

[SoupBone]

I'm starting to think the GFDL forecast is what might happen...second landfall near Savannah...

What are you basing this on considering the models are starting to trend it back into the GOM?

I think he qualified his statment when he quoted the GFDL model run taking the storm into Savannah

Thanks for posting that. So what do the rest of you guys feel she will do? Seems like a whole lot of uncertainty right now.

[HURAKAN]

Lake Okeechobee water level as of Aug 19, 2008

11.34 ft.


About 3 ft. below historical average for this time of year.

[jinftl]

Very chaotic and changeable sky where i am (west broward near sawgrass expy). It only lasted about 3 minutes, but just had worst squall i have seen yet with fay....strongest winds by far. Power went out for a minute but is thankfully back on. Sky is brightening, but overall, it is windier now than it was last night

[Hurricanevideo]

Crazy morning!

Fay now reaching the southwest Lake Okeechobee region.

A WIND GUST OF 69 MPH WAS RECENTLY MEASURED JUST SOUTHEAST OF
MOORE HAVEN AT 1225 PM EDT.
http://www.weather.gov/view/prodsByStat ... ial#SPSMFL

[RL3AO]

Not sure if you all have seen this...but HPC going for HUGE rainfall totals over the SE US...

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p120i12.gif

I've never seen anything like that on a QPF map.

[Scorpion]

78 mph gust reported at Moore Haven

[Noles2006]

78 mph gust reported at Moore Haven

Wow, she really is ramping up.

Amazing system she has been.... and she might not be done, yet!

ROLLER COASTER!

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

Could Fay actually be STRENGTHENING over the warm, swampy land?

[RL3AO]

Looks like the western eyewall might be starting to weaken from the Miami and Tampa radars.

[gatorcane]

looks like an ENE wobble towards Lake O:

http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/s ... latest.gif

[Dean4Storms]

It is apparent she is going to be forced back westward, the million dollar question is just how far north is she when she stalls and how long is that stall and does she turn so much she moves WSW for a period. Any turn westward south of St. Augustine could put her back in the Gulf if she has any WSW component to her movement. If she gets back over to the Gulf far enough south she could spend an appreciable amount of time over the Gulf before she makes another landfall.

[gtsmith]

looks like we're getting some dry air wrapping around the center...that should inhibit further strengthening should it not? most of east coast south florida should be in dry air for the next few hours easily...occasional pops that fly through...not much on radar tot he south and south west...

[DESTRUCTION5]

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... b&loop=yes

Welcome to your drinking hole Fay...