#2 Postby wyq614 » Wed Sep 23, 2009 11:29 am
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 16.2N 109.6E,
APPROXIMATELY 120 NM EAST OF HUE, VIETNAM. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED
IMAGERY SHOWS SOME MID-LEVEL TURNING ABOUT AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
AXIS WITH DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
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