ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA (02L)

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO (Models)

#1241 Postby HouTXmetro » Sat Aug 15, 2009 1:10 am

jasons wrote::uarrow: Ouch, and that's for TD#2, which I still think will be 2nd to 90L in terms of affects.


I wouldn't sell TD2 short. It has plenty of time to develop into a MONSTER storm. I know there is not a lot of model support but we all know how quick these things can take off. I.E. rapid intensification. Secondly 90L is so broad it may take a while for it to really wind up.
0 likes   

User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

Re:

#1242 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Aug 15, 2009 1:16 am

fact789 wrote:Ive got the eclipse schedule, but I dont know how to read it lol

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/SATS/GOES/EA ... -Rout.html


I highly doubt I read it right, but I think the eclipses don't actually start until August 30.
0 likes   

JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

Re: Re:

#1243 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat Aug 15, 2009 1:18 am

Evil Jeremy wrote:
fact789 wrote:Ive got the eclipse schedule, but I dont know how to read it lol

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/SATS/GOES/EA ... -Rout.html


I highly doubt I read it right, but I think the eclipses don't actually start until August 30.


We havent had an image in two hours...I was thinking it started tonight.
0 likes   

User avatar
george_r_1961
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3171
Age: 64
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 9:14 pm
Location: Carbondale, Pennsylvania

Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO

#1244 Postby george_r_1961 » Sat Aug 15, 2009 1:27 am

If I were to have to guess where it will come, I would say Myrtle Beach up to Hatteras. Skirting the coast or just inland. Then out to sea.
0 likes   

jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7183
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

Re:

#1245 Postby jlauderdal » Sat Aug 15, 2009 1:29 am

Evil Jeremy wrote:I tried to go to sleep, I really did, but I was mentally awake, I could not get this system off my mind. Looks like the NHC came to their senses lol.


they just wanted me to go bust on my 30 min prediction i made at 1030
0 likes   

bob rulz
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1704
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 7:30 pm
Location: Salt Lake City, Utah

Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO

#1246 Postby bob rulz » Sat Aug 15, 2009 1:34 am

Ivanhater wrote:Image


Is TD2 small or is 90L just that big?
0 likes   

User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO

#1247 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Aug 15, 2009 1:47 am

bob rulz wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:Image


Is TD2 small or is 90L just that big?


A little bit of both actually.
0 likes   

User avatar
Andrew92
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3247
Age: 41
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 12:35 am
Location: Phoenix, Arizona

#1248 Postby Andrew92 » Sat Aug 15, 2009 1:49 am

Per the FTP:

AL, 02, 2009081506, , BEST, 0, 145N, 461W, 35, 1005, TS, 34, NEQ, 60, 0, 0, 60, 1010, 150, 40, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ANA, M,

Upgrade?
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#1249 Postby KWT » Sat Aug 15, 2009 1:49 am

Yep unless they decide to hold back again we have Ana!!

This is going to be a very busy week for Florida it seems.
0 likes   

User avatar
HurricaneMaster_PR
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 795
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 6:23 pm
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO (Models)

#1250 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Sat Aug 15, 2009 1:55 am

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0646 UTC SAT AUG 15 2009

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL CYCLONE ANA (AL022009) 20090815 0600 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
090815 0600 090815 1800 090816 0600 090816 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 14.5N 46.1W 15.2N 49.1W 16.3N 52.9W 17.8N 57.4W
BAMD 14.5N 46.1W 15.4N 48.6W 16.3N 51.7W 17.2N 55.2W
BAMM 14.5N 46.1W 15.1N 48.8W 15.7N 52.1W 16.4N 56.0W
LBAR 14.5N 46.1W 14.9N 48.7W 15.7N 51.6W 16.6N 55.1W
SHIP 35KTS 41KTS 45KTS 48KTS
DSHP 35KTS 41KTS 45KTS 48KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
090817 0600 090818 0600 090819 0600 090820 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 19.2N 62.0W 22.2N 70.3W 25.0N 76.6W 26.8N 80.9W
BAMD 17.9N 58.9W 19.4N 66.6W 21.2N 73.5W 22.6N 78.4W
BAMM 17.0N 60.1W 18.5N 68.5W 20.0N 76.4W 21.3N 82.6W
LBAR 17.5N 58.9W 19.4N 66.8W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 51KTS 55KTS 57KTS 58KTS
DSHP 51KTS 55KTS 57KTS 58KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 14.5N LONCUR = 46.1W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 13KT
LATM12 = 14.6N LONM12 = 43.2W DIRM12 = 268DEG SPDM12 = 15KT
LATM24 = 14.5N LONM24 = 40.5W
WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 60NM
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38091
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO

#1251 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 15, 2009 2:07 am

TROPICAL CYCLONE ANA (AL022009) 20090815 0600 UTC
0 likes   

User avatar
fci
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3324
Joined: Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:29 am
Location: Lake Worth, FL

#1252 Postby fci » Sat Aug 15, 2009 2:12 am

Looks like we will follow little Ana and then, not too far after; her big brother Bill to track and wobble watch
Wow, what a busy week with little sleep ahead we have to look forward to......
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#1253 Postby KWT » Sat Aug 15, 2009 2:12 am

Yep thats a stage further then we got last time.

Looking quite probable we have Tropical storm Ana, and in late seasons the A storm usually has a big impact :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
george_r_1961
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3171
Age: 64
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 9:14 pm
Location: Carbondale, Pennsylvania

Re:

#1254 Postby george_r_1961 » Sat Aug 15, 2009 2:15 am

KWT wrote:Yep thats a stage further then we got last time.

Looking quite probable we have Tropical storm Ana, and in late seasons the A storm usually has a big impact :eek:



Im sure its a done deal. A special advisory should be issued shortly.
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#1255 Postby KWT » Sat Aug 15, 2009 2:16 am

Yeah I'd imagine its probably a done deal as well, esp given how good it looks right now. Going to be a very busy week here, perhaps one of the busiest ever...
0 likes   

User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

Re: Re:

#1256 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Aug 15, 2009 2:19 am

george_r_1961 wrote:
KWT wrote:Yep thats a stage further then we got last time.

Looking quite probable we have Tropical storm Ana, and in late seasons the A storm usually has a big impact :eek:



Im sure its a done deal. A special advisory should be issued shortly.


I am sure they will wait till 5AM. They issued a special advisory 3 hours ago, no need to hurry.
0 likes   

User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO

#1257 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Aug 15, 2009 2:22 am

0 likes   

User avatar
fci
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3324
Joined: Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:29 am
Location: Lake Worth, FL

Re: Re:

#1258 Postby fci » Sat Aug 15, 2009 2:22 am

Evil Jeremy wrote:
george_r_1961 wrote:
KWT wrote:Yep thats a stage further then we got last time.

Looking quite probable we have Tropical storm Ana, and in late seasons the A storm usually has a big impact :eek:



Im sure its a done deal. A special advisory should be issued shortly.


I am sure they will wait till 5AM. They issued a special advisory 3 hours ago, no need to hurry.

I started reading about 1 hour ago and, like you; vowed to go to bed.
But look at us, posting after 3 AM.
BOY, is this going to be a long, long week or more.......
NOW, I am going to bed.
I think..........
0 likes   

User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

Re: Re:

#1259 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Aug 15, 2009 2:24 am

fci wrote:I started reading about 1 hour ago and, like you; vowed to go to bed.
But look at us, posting after 3 AM.
BOY, is this going to be a long, long week or more.......
NOW, I am going to bed.
I think..........


I am pulling an all nighter lol. I am relying on Coffee to keep me up tomorrow lol.
0 likes   

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4218
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO

#1260 Postby Macrocane » Sat Aug 15, 2009 2:26 am

I wouldn't call her name yet, last time we were sure it was named until the advisory came without naming it.
0 likes   


Return to “2009”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 7 guests