WPAC : TROPICAL DEPRESSION NIDA (26W)
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Re: WPAC : TYPHOON NIDA (26W)
Just got back in from filming the SE part of Guam. Big waves hitting the coast. There was one stop at Inarajan where I was filming and it went from dry to knee deep in seconds with one wave. Cam was on a tripod so it's ok. Looks like Nida is enroute to Supertyphoon status. It looked pretty sweet when I left this morning to film.
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P.K.
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Re: WPAC : TYPHOON NIDA (26W)
Up to 100kts.
WTPQ20 RJTD 250600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0922 NIDA (0922)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250600UTC 11.6N 143.0E GOOD
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 200NM
FORECAST
24HF 260600UTC 15.0N 140.5E 70NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 910HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
48HF 270600UTC 17.2N 139.3E 110NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 910HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
72HF 280600UTC 18.5N 138.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT =
WTPQ20 RJTD 250600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0922 NIDA (0922)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250600UTC 11.6N 143.0E GOOD
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 200NM
FORECAST
24HF 260600UTC 15.0N 140.5E 70NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 910HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
48HF 270600UTC 17.2N 139.3E 110NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 910HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
72HF 280600UTC 18.5N 138.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT =
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oaba09
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Re: WPAC : TYPHOON NIDA (26W)
P.K. wrote:Up to 100kts.
WTPQ20 RJTD 250600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0922 NIDA (0922)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250600UTC 11.6N 143.0E GOOD
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 200NM
FORECAST
24HF 260600UTC 15.0N 140.5E 70NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 910HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
48HF 270600UTC 17.2N 139.3E 110NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 910HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
72HF 280600UTC 18.5N 138.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT =
Weird...It looks more than 100 kts to me....
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P.K.
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Re: WPAC : TYPHOON NIDA (26W)
Looks ok to me at a quick glance with various Dvorak bulletins showing T6.0/6.5. The CIMSS ADT is a little higher than this though at T7.1 with a raw T value up to T7.8.
Other 06Z values: KMA also up to 97kts, CMA up to 87kts, CWB 93kts.
Other 06Z values: KMA also up to 97kts, CMA up to 87kts, CWB 93kts.
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weathergaines
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NIDA INTENSIFIED INTENSELY INTO SUPER TYPHOON BY 12HRS
Super typhoon Nida (26w) intensely intensified into a category 4 system only by 12hrs as dvorak imagery shows a 898mb MSLP. Very deep and intense thunderstorms remains over its inner circulation mainly due to sufficient moisture available based on tropical precipitable water (TPW), high sea surface temperature (SST) at 29-30C, good radial outflow associated with an anticyclone located directly to LLCC, which is further enhance by an upper level low, 5kt weak shear over the area might caused this intense intensification.
It is more likely to reach a category 5 (140kt) within 12hrs as conditions remain supportive to Nida.
It is more likely to reach a category 5 (140kt) within 12hrs as conditions remain supportive to Nida.
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oaba09
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JTWC 0900Z Update(125 knots 1 minute average). They're expecting this to reach 145 kts...wow...
WTPN31 PGTW 250900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 26W (NIDA) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250600Z --- NEAR 11.6N 143.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N 143.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 13.2N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 14.8N 140.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 16.0N 139.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 17.1N 139.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 18.6N 138.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 19.6N 137.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 21.1N 137.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
250900Z POSITION NEAR 12.0N 142.7E.
TYPHOON (TY) 26W (NIDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM SOUTHWEST OF
GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS TY 26W HAS UNDERGONE A PERIOD OF RAPID
INTENSIFICATION WITH RECENT DVORAK FIXES FROM PGTW AT 6.5 INDICATING
A 125 KNOT SYSTEM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
DEEP CONVECTION AROUND THE EYEWALL HAS CONTINUED TO EXPAND RADIALLY
OUTWARD, WITH INCREASED SYMMETRY IN THE CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE. THE
EYE HAS SEEN AN INCREASE IN DEFINITION, AND REMAINS APPROXIMATELY 20
NM IN DIAMETER. THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE REMAINED VERY
FAVORABLE IN THE PAST 12 HOURS, WITH INDICATIONS THAT A WARM POOL
NEAR 14N 142E WILL CAUSE FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS AN EXPANSION IN THE RADIAL
OUTFLOW ALOFT, WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH (CURRENTLY OVER EAST CHINA
SEA) MOVING EASTWARD WITH AN EXPECTATION IT WILL INCREASE THE
POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE COMBINATION OF INCREASED SURFACE HEATING AND
ENHANCED UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS CAUSED A CHANGE IN FORECAST
REASONING FOR THE INTENSITY THROUGH TAU 24, WITH A SIGNIFICANT
INCREASE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. LATER TAUS WILL STILL SEE AN
INCREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-
LATITUDE WESTERLIES, CAUSING A SLOW WEAKENING BEYOND TAU 72. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
251500Z, 252100Z, 260300Z AND 260900Z.//
NNNN
WTPN31 PGTW 250900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 26W (NIDA) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250600Z --- NEAR 11.6N 143.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N 143.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 13.2N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 14.8N 140.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 16.0N 139.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 17.1N 139.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 18.6N 138.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 19.6N 137.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 21.1N 137.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
250900Z POSITION NEAR 12.0N 142.7E.
TYPHOON (TY) 26W (NIDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM SOUTHWEST OF
GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS TY 26W HAS UNDERGONE A PERIOD OF RAPID
INTENSIFICATION WITH RECENT DVORAK FIXES FROM PGTW AT 6.5 INDICATING
A 125 KNOT SYSTEM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
DEEP CONVECTION AROUND THE EYEWALL HAS CONTINUED TO EXPAND RADIALLY
OUTWARD, WITH INCREASED SYMMETRY IN THE CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE. THE
EYE HAS SEEN AN INCREASE IN DEFINITION, AND REMAINS APPROXIMATELY 20
NM IN DIAMETER. THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE REMAINED VERY
FAVORABLE IN THE PAST 12 HOURS, WITH INDICATIONS THAT A WARM POOL
NEAR 14N 142E WILL CAUSE FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS AN EXPANSION IN THE RADIAL
OUTFLOW ALOFT, WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH (CURRENTLY OVER EAST CHINA
SEA) MOVING EASTWARD WITH AN EXPECTATION IT WILL INCREASE THE
POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE COMBINATION OF INCREASED SURFACE HEATING AND
ENHANCED UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS CAUSED A CHANGE IN FORECAST
REASONING FOR THE INTENSITY THROUGH TAU 24, WITH A SIGNIFICANT
INCREASE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. LATER TAUS WILL STILL SEE AN
INCREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-
LATITUDE WESTERLIES, CAUSING A SLOW WEAKENING BEYOND TAU 72. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
251500Z, 252100Z, 260300Z AND 260900Z.//
NNNN
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Re: WPAC : TYPHOON NIDA (26W)
Last edited by RattleMan on Wed Nov 25, 2009 3:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
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wxmann_91
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Wow. Solid, symmetrical, perfectly round ring of -85C cloud tops and eye still continues to warm. It's also dried out substantially in the mid-upper levels, as evidenced by WV imagery. Surely if there was a T8.0 cyclone, this is it. Probably the most intense storm I've seen in my years tracking.
EDIT: Holy crap this is amazing
The only storms I can recall seeing such a round, dark shade of gray were Yuri in 1991 and Gay in 1992. I don't think even Tip was this impressive on the Dvorak BW.
EDIT: Holy crap this is amazing
The only storms I can recall seeing such a round, dark shade of gray were Yuri in 1991 and Gay in 1992. I don't think even Tip was this impressive on the Dvorak BW.
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oaba09
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Re:
wxmann_91 wrote:Wow. Solid, symmetrical, perfectly round ring of -85C cloud tops and eye still continues to warm. It's also dried out substantially in the mid-upper levels, as evidenced by WV imagery. Surely if there was a T8.0 cyclone, this is it. Probably the most intense storm I've seen in my years tracking.
EDIT: Holy crap this is amazing
The only storms I can recall seeing such a round, dark shade of gray were Yuri in 1991 and Gay in 1992. I don't think even Tip was this impressive on the Dvorak BW.
Yeah...very impressive storm...I just hope that it won't hit land....
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Seriously, that is absolutely incredible. I just checked it on the NRL and found those near -90 tops fully surrounding the perfect eye like with the legends (Tip, Angela, Joan, Ivan, Keith, etc.). It's probably over 155 knots 1-minute winds by now at least 
. Just when I thought Rick was going to be the winner, Nida rises to the occasion.
It's also one of the fastest intensifying systems I believe I have ever seen and what is completely absurd is every month or less one storm tops another in the same fashion. Starting to get a better sense of what tracking the Pacific in 1997 must have been like.
. Just when I thought Rick was going to be the winner, Nida rises to the occasion.It's also one of the fastest intensifying systems I believe I have ever seen and what is completely absurd is every month or less one storm tops another in the same fashion. Starting to get a better sense of what tracking the Pacific in 1997 must have been like.
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dhoeze
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Re: WPAC : TYPHOON NIDA (26W)
I dont like what I am seeing with the other models...
Hopefully JMA and JTWC is still correct and Nida will recurve moving polewards.
I am still seeing a ridge from China moving South East hopefully gonna effect Nida to recurve.
What a system....
Hopefully JMA and JTWC is still correct and Nida will recurve moving polewards.
I am still seeing a ridge from China moving South East hopefully gonna effect Nida to recurve.
What a system....
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dexterlabio
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Re: WPAC : TYPHOON NIDA (26W)
dhoeze wrote:I dont like what I am seeing with the other models...
Hopefully JMA and JTWC is still correct and Nida will recurve moving polewards.
I am still seeing a ridge from China moving South East hopefully gonna effect Nida to recurve.
What a system....
scary. but i'll still go for JMA, JTWC and ECMWF's solution. yeah, i agree, this is one impressive storm. yesterday, the same time as now, nida was just upgraded into a typhoon. at this moment, nida already became a cat5 supertyphoon, and still intensifying o_O i wonder what effect it could bring if this kind of system hits the land. feels like 2012 >,<
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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