ATL : INVEST 95L

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HURAKAN
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#21 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 04, 2009 1:38 pm

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Re: ATL : INVEST 95L

#22 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Sep 04, 2009 1:42 pm

StormClouds63 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:It seems the consensus is for this to go poof.


This may drop dead before it ever has a chance to become Fred.


of course, it's 2009 and everything seems to go poof, so I guess there's no reason for that to change with this system. Bring on 2010
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Re: ATL : INVEST 95L

#23 Postby otowntiger » Fri Sep 04, 2009 1:46 pm

wxman57 wrote:Surprising. Looked a lot better 36 hours ago when it had convection all around the center. Satellite imagery indicates it's on a weakening trend now. Lots of dry dusty air around, and its trajectory will take it over cooler water soon. Development chances don't appear to be very good. GFS is recurving a weak low close to 40W. EC doesn't develop it. No development from Canadian. Maybe NHC is bored?


Maybe they are bored, like the rest of us! It's hard to accept this being Labor Day weekend and absolutely nothing of interest going on in the tropics. They couldn't let that happen! Well actually they can't do much about it because as you say wxman57 this thing does not seem to have any potential.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 95L

#24 Postby otowntiger » Fri Sep 04, 2009 1:48 pm

StormClouds63 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:It seems the consensus is for this to go poof.


This may drop dead before it ever has a chance to become Fred.


I like the poetry!
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#25 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 04, 2009 1:49 pm

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Re: ATL : INVEST 95L

#26 Postby otowntiger » Fri Sep 04, 2009 1:49 pm

HURAKAN wrote:ImageImage

I think the NHC likes the cyclonic curvature.


That's about all its got and that aint even too good. 8-)
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Re: ATL : INVEST 95L

#27 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 04, 2009 1:50 pm

wxman57 wrote:Models initialized at 20 kts and don't forecast much development. This shouldn't be an orange, more like a low-end yellow. Not sure what NHC is doing, but I can't believe anyone there really thinks this has a good shot at developing.


12Z GFS thinks otherwise.

Of course chances look very high it will recurve anyway far away from any landmass, so nothing to worry about.

Is it winter yet? I'm bored with the tropics. :D
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Re: ATL : INVEST 95L

#28 Postby Bocadude85 » Fri Sep 04, 2009 1:52 pm

HURAKAN wrote:ImageImage

I think the NHC likes the cyclonic curvature.



Its got good curvature its just lacking any deep convection.
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Derek Ortt

#29 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Sep 04, 2009 1:53 pm

bored with the tropics and wanting winter storms?

Winter storms are merely a nuisance. Over hyped beyond belief. So what they close down the roads. Big deal! Where I grew up a foot of snow was just another day and nothing to be excited about
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#30 Postby 'CaneFreak » Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:05 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:bored with the tropics and wanting winter storms?

Winter storms are merely a nuisance. Over hyped beyond belief. So what they close down the roads. Big deal! Where I grew up a foot of snow was just another day and nothing to be excited about


and you know...some people would say that tropical cyclones are merely a nuisance...just a little wind and rain...but we all know that this is not the case....so it all depends on your frame of reference...winter storms in NC paralyze EVERYTHING here...grocery stores shut down...schools shut down...normal life is temporarily altered and it is great!! That is why winter storms are so interesting to me...I love when my busy life is temporarily altered...even if it is just for one day...life is not supposed to be as stressful as it is...God did not intend for it to be this way...
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#31 Postby Annie Oakley » Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:07 pm

I say-let Derek Ortt decide lol-he was spot on last Invest........
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Re: Re:

#32 Postby 'CaneFreak » Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:11 pm

floridasun78 wrote:
gatorcane wrote::uarrow: for your information wxman57 is a met and has a consulting business with many clients across the tropics who need hurricane forecasting information. He is one of the best posters we have here on this board. Wouldn't surprise me if he is right about 95L not doing much, he's usually right about 95% of the time.

but nhc know more he do he putting them down saying invest was not needed hello nhc are real pro he work for company like accweather who pro nhc or wx

You know, I am having a hard time trying to make sense of your posts...if there is any way you can make them sound a little better I think we would all appreciate it...thanks...we appreciate your input but when it does not make sense...it does not make sense...
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Re: Re:

#33 Postby floridasun78 » Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:17 pm

'CaneFreak wrote:
floridasun78 wrote:
gatorcane wrote::uarrow: for your information wxman57 is a met and has a consulting business with many clients across the tropics who need hurricane forecasting information. He is one of the best posters we have here on this board. Wouldn't surprise me if he is right about 95L not doing much, he's usually right about 95% of the time.

but nhc know more he do he putting them down saying invest was not needed hello nhc are real pro he work for company like accweather who pro nhc or wx

You know, I am having a hard time trying to make sense of your posts...if there is any way you can make them sound a little better I think we would all appreciate it...thanks...we appreciate your input but when it does not make sense...it does not make sense...

you all donot want undrestand because you go by what wx say he alway right he when he blast nhc you all say yes let blast nhc that ok
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Re: Re:

#34 Postby HurricaneBelle » Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:19 pm

'CaneFreak wrote:
floridasun78 wrote:
gatorcane wrote::uarrow: for your information wxman57 is a met and has a consulting business with many clients across the tropics who need hurricane forecasting information. He is one of the best posters we have here on this board. Wouldn't surprise me if he is right about 95L not doing much, he's usually right about 95% of the time.

but nhc know more he do he putting them down saying invest was not needed hello nhc are real pro he work for company like accweather who pro nhc or wx

You know, I am having a hard time trying to make sense of your posts...if there is any way you can make them sound a little better I think we would all appreciate it...thanks...we appreciate your input but when it does not make sense...it does not make sense...


It's like decoding a METAR or Recon report. :)
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Re: Re:

#35 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:20 pm

floridasun78 wrote:
gatorcane wrote::uarrow: for your information wxman57 is a met and has a consulting business with many clients across the tropics who need hurricane forecasting information. He is one of the best posters we have here on this board. Wouldn't surprise me if he is right about 95L not doing much, he's usually right about 95% of the time.


but nhc know more he do he putting them down saying invest was not needed hello nhc are real pro he work for company like accweather who pro nhc or wx


What :uarrow: :uarrow: :double: :double: :double:
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Re: ATL : INVEST 95L

#36 Postby StormClouds63 » Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:23 pm

This is what happens when you have a really slow season ... Back to 95L
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Re: Re:

#37 Postby expat2carib » Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:27 pm

floridasun78 wrote:you all donot want undrestand because you go by what wx say he alway right he when he blast nhc you all say yes let blast nhc that ok


You bunch of anarchists! How can you think yourself when we have the NHC authority. Never, never doubt their analysis.
:ggreen: :ggreen:
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Re: Re:

#38 Postby floridasun78 » Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:31 pm

expat2carib wrote:
floridasun78 wrote:you all donot want undrestand because you go by what wx say he alway right he when he blast nhc you all say yes let blast nhc that ok


You bunch of anarchists! How can you think yourself when we have the NHC authority. Never, never doubt their analysis.
:ggreen: :ggreen:

yes join nhc side their real mets we all need look up to not person saying nhc are bore need some action
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Re: ATL : INVEST 95L

#39 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:32 pm

Ok,ok,ok,lets have the discussioins returned to 95L please.,or I will lock it (jk on that last part)
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Re: ATL : INVEST 95L

#40 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 04, 2009 2:33 pm

Ok,ok,ok,lets have the discussioins returned to 95L please.,or I will lock it (jk on that last part)
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