WPAC : TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRINAE (23W)

[cycloneye]

They moved floater more west.Impressive storm that is moving mainly west.See loop below.

Floater loop

[oaba09]

They moved floater more west.Impressive storm that is moving mainly west.See loop below.

Floater loop

Interesting...This might result in a lower forecast track am I right?

[Cookie]

sorry if this has already been posted

[JTE50]

Just finished filming some rainy weather/traffic here on Guam. Wind is not bad at all but driving in the heavy rain is real tricky. Tropical Storm 23 looks to be heading to the Philippines as the ridge to the north is strong. I see this as all bad for the Philippines unlike Lupit. The track is low and steady all the way in. Got an interview with The Weather Channel in 50 minutes.

[ozonepete]

Just finished filming some rainy weather/traffic here on Guam. Wind is not bad at all but driving in the heavy rain is real tricky. Tropical Storm 23 looks to be heading to the Philippines as the ridge to the north is strong. I see this as all bad for the Philippines unlike Lupit. The track is low and steady all the way in. Got an interview with The Weather Channel in 50 minutes.

I'll be watching, Jim. I'll record it.

[StormingB81]

You feeling better Jim? Over that sickness yet?

[ozonepete]

They moved floater more west.Impressive storm that is moving mainly west.See loop below.

Interesting...This might result in a lower forecast track am I right?

I have to admit it, I don't like what I see. This doesn't look good.

[breeze]

It doesn't look good at all. Let's hope that track doesn't pan out as forecast.

[metenthusiast]

They moved floater more west.Impressive storm that is moving mainly west.See loop below.

Floater loop

Is that the eye? The little white gap in the middle?

Good morning guys!

[StormingB81]

No that is Guam and Saipan, I believe.

[ozonepete]

It doesn't look good at all. Let's hope that track doesn't pan out as forecast.

Yeah. I was always skeptical about Lupit, and at first I thought this one would recurve as well. But that shortwave passing to the north will not get it, and then there's clearly a slightly southward push from the high passing to the north and the redevelopment of the STR. That makes the track pretty clear within a few hundred miles of error, and the Ocean Heat Content this will be traveling over is just incredible.

[cycloneye]

They moved floater more west.Impressive storm that is moving mainly west.See loop below.

Floater loop

Is that the eye? The little white gap in the middle?

Good morning guys!

That is the island of Rota,place where the center moved close or over that island.

[ozonepete]

No that is Guam and Saipan, I believe.

You are quite correct, StormingB81. Just the white marking on the map for the island.

[drdavisjr]

Good morning everyone. Has everyone had their coffee and bad news for breakfast?

[metenthusiast]

No that is Guam and Saipan, I believe.

Oh... Thanks.

[ozonepete]

Good morning everyone. Has everyone had their coffee and bad news for breakfast?

Good morning! Over here in New York we are getting ready for bed. So you're waking up to bad news, and we're going to bed with it (I feel bad that this situation doesn't look very good.)

[cycloneye]

metenthusiast, Saipan is at the 15N line.That is Rota,second island from south to north of the Marianas chain.

[metenthusiast]

It doesn't look good at all. Let's hope that track doesn't pan out as forecast.

Yeah. I was always skeptical about Lupit, and at first I thought this one would recurve as well. But that shortwave passing to the north will not get it, and then there's clearly a slightly southward push from the high passing to the north and the redevelopment of the STR. That makes the track pretty clear within a few hundred miles of error, and the Ocean Heat Content this will be traveling over is just incredible.

This is not good. PAGASA, our local weather bureau already took notice of this storm, along with its potential powers. This is what the director said through an interview with GMA news, and I quote:

"But he admitted there is little chance the cyclone will go the way of "Ramil" (Lupit) that skipped the country."

Scary enough, that coming from the experts here in the country.

[cycloneye]

JMA 00 UTC Warning

TD
Issued at 01:30 UTC, 27 October 2009
<Analyses at 27/00 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity -
TD
Center position N14°00'(14.0°)
E145°05'(145.1°)
Direction and speed of movement W 30km/h(15kt)
Central pressure 1002hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 15m/s(30kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 23m/s(45kt)

<Forecast for 28/00 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N15°35'(15.6°)
E139°05'(139.1°)
Direction and speed of movement W 30km/h(15kt)
Central pressure 998hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Radius of probability circle 220km(120NM)

[metenthusiast]

metenthusiast, Saipan is at the 15N line.That is Rota,second island from south to north of the Marianas chain.

Yes, I just noticed that when I focused more. Sorry and thanks guys, just woke up and went straight here... still have cobwebs in my mind...