GOM: INVEST 90L

[HURAKAN]

thanx for locking/deleting the other post... i did nto see this thread... thanx

Actually, I merged both threads!

[nashrobertsx]

AL, 90, 2009052212, , BEST, 0, 266N, 873W, 25, 1006, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 300, 125, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,

JESSE, can you decode this please?

[Bailey1777]

Jesse on the sat. shot posted above it say's movement is to the north at 4mph. I just knew if I said "next" they would classify it.

[HURAKAN]

[Bailey1777]

This is probably just precautionary to cover all the bases, just in case. Looks like a due north movement to me, may not even make it West of the Florida panhandle.

[Ed Mahmoud]

I don't see them upgrading something this marginal looking to a TD or STD without recon, and I don't see them tasking recon for this when it is a little over a day from likely landfall.



This would have a better chance being upgraded to STD #1 if it were beyond aircraft range.

[HURAKAN]

It looks better than 24 hrs but still not there.

[HURAKAN]

[jpwxman]

Actually, it looks less-organized today as far as low level clouds. More storms closer to the center but the upper low is well north of the surface feature. NHC initialized on a low level swirl embedded within the larger, broad circulation. Wouldn't be surprised if they issue advisories since it's so close to land; I've seen them issue for weaker systems many times before.

[TropicalWXMA]

AL, 90, 2009052212, , BEST, 0, 266N, 873W, 25, 1006, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 300, 125, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,

Coordinates: 26.N/87.3W

Pressure: 1006

Winds: 34 mph.


That's the best I could do!

AL, 90, 2009052212, , BEST, 0, 266N, 873W, 25, 1006, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 300, 125, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,

JESSE, can you decode this please?

[Stormcenter]

90L is still not doing much so I'm not sure why the invest now.
It actually looked "better" yesterday. Oh well hopefully
it will bring some beneficial rains to the areas that need it.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-vis.html

[vacanechaser]

AL, 90, 2009052212, , BEST, 0, 266N, 873W, 25, 1006, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 300, 125, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,

Coordinates: 26.N/87.3W

Pressure: 1006

Winds: 34 mph.


That's the best I could do!

AL, 90, 2009052212, , BEST, 0, 266N, 873W, 25, 1006, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 300, 125, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M,

JESSE, can you decode this please?

lol... thanx for jumping in on the question.. thats about all i could decode too.. the rest of it, not so sure.. have not really looked it over either..



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Strongest squalls just West of Tampa

[tolakram]

Up close it doesn't look as good but take a step back and it looks pretty vigorous. Can someone post any temperature analysis? Is the core warming at all (is that even the correct terminology)?

Flash loop:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.html

[Bailey1777]

On WV imagery it looks like dry air is starting to really kick it's butt.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Much improved banding on the NE Side, it is moving into
low shear.
IMO we may get a short lived Tropical Storm Ana later today
and early tomorrow...should make landfall with a North motion
at the MS/FL border...perhaps as far west as LA
depending on steering. Maximum winds are 35 mph,
surfs up in the Panhandle!

[gatorcane]

On WV imagery it looks like dry air is starting to really kick it's butt.

Actually looks like alot less dry air surrounding it today, probably why it is now an invest as conditions have improved for it albeit SSTs are only marginal running in the upper 70s.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

This won't become Anna or even a depression but will stay as an invest.

[TropicalWXMA]

Models are beginning to lean towards an eventual warm-core'd storm.

[Category 5]

This won't become Anna or even a depression but will stay as an invest.

Have to agree with this. Theres still enough dry air to keep it down.

[Stormcenter]

I'm sorry but 90L still looks like crap. Yes I know looks can be deceiving but in this case I think they are not.