WPAC : TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRINAE (23W)

[oaba09]

I'm starting to see a west, maybe even west southwest movement from this storm. If you look at the last 3 frames, I think you will see a very strong ridge to the north.

Yup...I'm seeing the same thing............Definitely a W movement...
I think I'm ready for this typhoon(just came from the grocery to get some supplies)........

[oaba09]

LATEST LOCATION(IT'S DEFINITELY GETTING AFFECTED BY THE STR NOW:

[drdavisjr]

I'm a bit worried that when they analyze this ridge, they will bring the forecast position down some. note: ecmwf still shows a Polillo Island landfall. I hope and pray that doesn't happen, but they have been very good on short-medium term forecasts (3 days) this year.

[oaba09]

I'm a bit worried that when they analyze this ridge, they will bring the forecast position down some. note: ecmwf still shows a Polillo Island landfall. I hope and pray that doesn't happen, but they have been very good on short-medium term forecasts (3 days) this year.

I'm actually expecting JTWC and JMA to bring down the track a little bit...........I'm kinda expecting the worst.....

[drdavisjr]

http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

[oaba09]

http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

They still have no warnings for MIRINAE

[metenthusiast]

The inflow/outflow channels for this typhoon are absolutely amazing, aren't they?

Just read the article about the volcano, too. That is nuts! Did someone put a curse on the Philippines? Seriously.

Metenthusiast - Any luck getting your appt rescheduled? We'll be thinking about you...

Thanks! Just got a slot for Friday...

[metenthusiast]

http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

This advisory was for Ramil (Lupit). This is for Mirinae (Santi)

http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/advi.html

Talk about the worst understatement and nonchalance you could get from your local weather bureau...

[Ad Novoxium]

http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

They still have no warnings for MIRINAE

It'll only be a matter of time, though, because some sites are starting to report on Typhoon Santi (Mirinae's name in the PAGASA region when it crosses). Also, Mirinae is Sudal's replacement in case someone was wondering.

[dhoeze]

same sentiments here.

I have completed my preparedness meeting for our company last night.
If not for your posts guys I wouldnt know that there is a reason for concern.

Hopefully there is something that would weaken and reroute this Typhoon.

[oaba09]

same sentiments here.

I have completed my preparedness meeting for our company last night.
If not for your posts guys I wouldnt know that there is a reason for concern.

Hopefully there is something that would weaken and reroute this Typhoon.

All I can say is, prepare for the worst

[dexterlabio]

TPPN10 PGTW 280615

A. TYPHOON 23W (MIRINAE)

B. 28/0530Z

C. 16.4N

D. 136.8E

E. FOUR/MTSAT

F. T4.5/4.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/06HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 15A/PBO TIGHTLY CURVED BAND/BANDING EYE/ANMTN.
CENTER IS EMBEDDED IN WHITE YIELDS A DT OF 5.0. MET AND PT
YIELD A 4.5. DBO PT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE


SMITH



about to enter PAR this evening. winds estimated to be 75-90 kts.

[metenthusiast]

http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

They still have no warnings for MIRINAE

It'll only be a matter of time, though, because some sites are starting to report on Typhoon Santi (Mirinae's name in the PAGASA region when it crosses).

Here's a news article from GMA News about Typhoon Santi (Mirinae)

http://www.gmanews.tv/story/175750/storm-santi-may-enter-rp-thursday-govt-readies-relief-goods

I guess PAGASA got used to storms lingering within the Philippines that they seem to assuredly declare Santi's passing would be brief. I'm sorry but Ketsana (Ondoy) passed just one day in the Metro area and it left such devastation.

[drdavisjr]

Thanks! Just got a slot for Friday...

Awesome news!!

[metenthusiast]

Thanks! Just got a slot for Friday...

Awesome news!!

Thanks! Awesome indeed.

[metenthusiast]

I'm a bit concerned about the STR on Mirinae's northwest. It seems to be digging deeper on sat loops. Do they have forecasts for the STR's as to how much they could strengthen? I believe the typhoon's landfall will depend on how much the STR would push it down.

[oaba09]

[oaba09]

I'm a bit concerned about the STR on Mirinae's northwest. It seems to be digging deeper on sat loops. Do they have forecasts for the STR's as to how much they could strengthen? I believe the typhoon's landfall will depend on how much the STR would push it down.

Again, I'm expecting the worst(lower landfall) because of the STR.....

[metenthusiast]

And speak of bad luck whenever you could get one, I've read the article about Mayon Volcano and it's threatening to erupt at any moment.

[StormingB81]

So I guess a recurve is now definately out of the question then huh