KNHC 080304
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
1000 PM CDT WED JUL 07 2010
...SECOND TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE ATLANTIC SEASON FORMS OVER THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.9N 93.9W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM ESE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM E OF LA PESCA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE TEXAS COAST SOUTH
OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE...AND THE GOVERNMENT
OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FROM SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TEXAS TO RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.9 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION ACCOMPANIED BY A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE
TEXAS-MEXICO BORDER THURSDAY AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND THE DEPRESSION
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE LANDFALL OCCURS ON THURSDAY.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON NOAA AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE
DATA IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO AND COASTAL TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES.
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/CANGIALOSI
000
WTNT22 KNHC 080258
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
0300 UTC THU JUL 08 2010
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE TEXAS COAST SOUTH
OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE...AND THE GOVERNMENT
OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FROM SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TEXAS TO RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 93.9W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 93.9W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 93.6W
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 25.0N 95.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 26.0N 97.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 26.7N 100.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 93.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/CANGIALOSI
ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORIES
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139596
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORIES
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139596
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORIES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
1000 PM CDT WED JUL 07 2010
DATA FROM SATELLITES...NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAS ACQUIRED ENOUGH ORGANIZATION TO BE
CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. ALTHOUGH INNER-CORE CONVECTION
HAS WANED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...OUTER CONVECTIVE BANDING TO THE
EAST OF THE CENTER HAS BEEN INCREASING. DROPSONDE DATA FROM TWO
NOAA AIRCRAFT ON A RESEARCH MISSION IN AND AROUND THE DEPRESSION
INDICATE SURFACE WINDS NEAR 30 KT IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE...AND
THIS WAS USED AS THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS AN UNCERTAIN 310/10 DUE TO THE LOW-LEVEL
CENTER REFORMING WITHIN THE EARLIER CENTRAL CONVECTION. ALTHOUGH
THERE MAY BE SOME ERRATIC MOTION AS A RESULT OF POSSIBLE FURTHER
REFORMATION OF THE SYSTEM CENTER...THE GENERAL MOTION SHOULD BE
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. ALL OF THE AVAILABLE MODEL
GUIDANCE IS CONSISTENT ON A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
STEADILY SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THE EASTERN U.S. INTO THE EASTERN AND
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WHICH SHOULD ACT
TO STEER THE CYCLONE TOWARD THE TEXAS-MEXICO BORDER AREA. THE
FORECAST TRACK IS DOWN THE MIDDLE OF THE TIGHTLY PACKED MODEL
GUIDANCE SUITE.
WATER TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF THE DEPRESSION ARE ABOVE 28C AND THE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS RELATIVELY LOW...SO THE DEPRESSION HAS ABOUT
24 HOURS OR SO OF FAVORABLE CONDITIONS BEFORE LANDFALL OCCURS. AS A
RESULT...SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED UP UNTIL THAT TIME. THE
SHIPS MODEL BRINGS THE INTENSITY UP TO 46 KT BY LANDFALL...BUT DUE
TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THIS SYSTEM...A SLOWER INTENSIFICATION RATE
SIMILAR TO THE LGEM MODEL IS EXPECTED.
THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY RAINFALL
OCCURRING ON TOP OF ALREADY SATURATED GROUND AND RAIN-SWOLLEN
CREEKS AND RIVERS...WHICH WILL ONLY ADD TO FLOOD CONDITIONS ALREADY
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS AND
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO CAUSED BY FORMER HURRICANE ALEX.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 08/0300Z 23.9N 93.9W 30 KT
12HR VT 08/1200Z 25.0N 95.5W 35 KT
24HR VT 09/0000Z 26.0N 97.6W 40 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 09/1200Z 26.7N 100.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND
48HR VT 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/CANGIALOSI
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
1000 PM CDT WED JUL 07 2010
DATA FROM SATELLITES...NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAS ACQUIRED ENOUGH ORGANIZATION TO BE
CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. ALTHOUGH INNER-CORE CONVECTION
HAS WANED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...OUTER CONVECTIVE BANDING TO THE
EAST OF THE CENTER HAS BEEN INCREASING. DROPSONDE DATA FROM TWO
NOAA AIRCRAFT ON A RESEARCH MISSION IN AND AROUND THE DEPRESSION
INDICATE SURFACE WINDS NEAR 30 KT IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE...AND
THIS WAS USED AS THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS AN UNCERTAIN 310/10 DUE TO THE LOW-LEVEL
CENTER REFORMING WITHIN THE EARLIER CENTRAL CONVECTION. ALTHOUGH
THERE MAY BE SOME ERRATIC MOTION AS A RESULT OF POSSIBLE FURTHER
REFORMATION OF THE SYSTEM CENTER...THE GENERAL MOTION SHOULD BE
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. ALL OF THE AVAILABLE MODEL
GUIDANCE IS CONSISTENT ON A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
STEADILY SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THE EASTERN U.S. INTO THE EASTERN AND
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WHICH SHOULD ACT
TO STEER THE CYCLONE TOWARD THE TEXAS-MEXICO BORDER AREA. THE
FORECAST TRACK IS DOWN THE MIDDLE OF THE TIGHTLY PACKED MODEL
GUIDANCE SUITE.
WATER TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF THE DEPRESSION ARE ABOVE 28C AND THE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS RELATIVELY LOW...SO THE DEPRESSION HAS ABOUT
24 HOURS OR SO OF FAVORABLE CONDITIONS BEFORE LANDFALL OCCURS. AS A
RESULT...SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED UP UNTIL THAT TIME. THE
SHIPS MODEL BRINGS THE INTENSITY UP TO 46 KT BY LANDFALL...BUT DUE
TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THIS SYSTEM...A SLOWER INTENSIFICATION RATE
SIMILAR TO THE LGEM MODEL IS EXPECTED.
THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY RAINFALL
OCCURRING ON TOP OF ALREADY SATURATED GROUND AND RAIN-SWOLLEN
CREEKS AND RIVERS...WHICH WILL ONLY ADD TO FLOOD CONDITIONS ALREADY
BEING EXPERIENCED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS AND
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO CAUSED BY FORMER HURRICANE ALEX.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 08/0300Z 23.9N 93.9W 30 KT
12HR VT 08/1200Z 25.0N 95.5W 35 KT
24HR VT 09/0000Z 26.0N 97.6W 40 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 09/1200Z 26.7N 100.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND
48HR VT 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/CANGIALOSI
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
400 AM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
AFTER A PERIOD OF DEVELOPMENT DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...THE DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION HAS
PRACTICALLY VANISHED. ONLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY
OBSERVED ON THE SOUTH AND EAST SIDES OF THE CIRCULATION.
HOWEVER...IT IS NOT UNCOMMON TO HAVE FLUCTUATIONS IN CONVECTION
DURING FORMATIVE STAGE. A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE IN THE
AREA IN TWO OR THREE HOURS AND WILL HELP TO DETERMINE THE STATUS OF
THE SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME...IT IS ASSUMED THAT THE INTENSITY REMAINS
AT 30 KNOTS. SINCE THE GULF WATERS ARE WARM AND THE UPPER-LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT IS NOT HOSTILE...A RETURN OF THE CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED. IF SO...THE DEPRESSION COULD STILL HAVE A SMALL CHANCE TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING INLAND WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA LATER TODAY. THEREFORE...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
KEPT IN THIS ADVISORY. NONE OF THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE SHOW
IMPORTANT STRENGTHENING.
BOTH...INITIAL LOCATION AND MOTION ARE HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. THE BEST
ESTIMATE OF THE MOTION IS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12
KNOTS. THE DEPRESSION IS BEING STEERED BY THE FLOW AROUND A
PERSISTENT MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES. THIS
FLOW PATTERN WILL MAINTAIN THE CYCLONE ON THIS TRACK UNTIL
DISSIPATION OVER LAND IN ABOUT 36 HOURS.
THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM IS HEAVY RAINFALL. THESE RAINS
ARE FORECAST TO OCURR ON TOP OF ALREADY SATURATED GROUND AND
RAIN-SWOLLEN CREEKS AND RIVERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS
AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO CAUSED BY FORMER HURRICANE ALEX.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 08/0900Z 24.8N 95.2W 30 KT
12HR VT 08/1800Z 25.8N 96.7W 35 KT
24HR VT 09/0600Z 26.5N 99.0W 25 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
400 AM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BRING RAINS TO SOUTHERN TEXAS AND
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO....
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.8N 95.2W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM ESE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
ABOUT 180 MI...285 KM ENE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FROM SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TEXAS TO RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE INLAND NEAR THE TEXAS-MEXICO BORDER LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THE DEPRESSION BECOMES A
TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING INLAND.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO AND COASTAL TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES.
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO REACH THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATER TODAY. HOWEVER...RAINBANDS WITH
GUSTY WINDS ARE ALREADY APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN TEXAS AND
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COASTS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
400 AM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
AFTER A PERIOD OF DEVELOPMENT DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...THE DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION HAS
PRACTICALLY VANISHED. ONLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY
OBSERVED ON THE SOUTH AND EAST SIDES OF THE CIRCULATION.
HOWEVER...IT IS NOT UNCOMMON TO HAVE FLUCTUATIONS IN CONVECTION
DURING FORMATIVE STAGE. A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE IN THE
AREA IN TWO OR THREE HOURS AND WILL HELP TO DETERMINE THE STATUS OF
THE SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME...IT IS ASSUMED THAT THE INTENSITY REMAINS
AT 30 KNOTS. SINCE THE GULF WATERS ARE WARM AND THE UPPER-LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT IS NOT HOSTILE...A RETURN OF THE CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED. IF SO...THE DEPRESSION COULD STILL HAVE A SMALL CHANCE TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING INLAND WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA LATER TODAY. THEREFORE...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
KEPT IN THIS ADVISORY. NONE OF THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE SHOW
IMPORTANT STRENGTHENING.
BOTH...INITIAL LOCATION AND MOTION ARE HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. THE BEST
ESTIMATE OF THE MOTION IS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12
KNOTS. THE DEPRESSION IS BEING STEERED BY THE FLOW AROUND A
PERSISTENT MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES. THIS
FLOW PATTERN WILL MAINTAIN THE CYCLONE ON THIS TRACK UNTIL
DISSIPATION OVER LAND IN ABOUT 36 HOURS.
THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM IS HEAVY RAINFALL. THESE RAINS
ARE FORECAST TO OCURR ON TOP OF ALREADY SATURATED GROUND AND
RAIN-SWOLLEN CREEKS AND RIVERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS
AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO CAUSED BY FORMER HURRICANE ALEX.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 08/0900Z 24.8N 95.2W 30 KT
12HR VT 08/1800Z 25.8N 96.7W 35 KT
24HR VT 09/0600Z 26.5N 99.0W 25 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
400 AM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BRING RAINS TO SOUTHERN TEXAS AND
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO....
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.8N 95.2W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM ESE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
ABOUT 180 MI...285 KM ENE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FROM SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TEXAS TO RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE INLAND NEAR THE TEXAS-MEXICO BORDER LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THE DEPRESSION BECOMES A
TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING INLAND.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO AND COASTAL TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES.
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO REACH THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATER TODAY. HOWEVER...RAINBANDS WITH
GUSTY WINDS ARE ALREADY APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN TEXAS AND
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COASTS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORIES
Tropical Depression TWO Forecast Discussion
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000
WTNT42 KNHC 080833
TCDAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
400 AM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
AFTER A PERIOD OF DEVELOPMENT DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...THE DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION HAS
PRACTICALLY VANISHED. ONLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY
OBSERVED ON THE SOUTH AND EAST SIDES OF THE CIRCULATION.
HOWEVER...IT IS NOT UNCOMMON TO HAVE FLUCTUATIONS IN CONVECTION
DURING FORMATIVE STAGE. A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE IN THE
AREA IN TWO OR THREE HOURS AND WILL HELP TO DETERMINE THE STATUS OF
THE SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME...IT IS ASSUMED THAT THE INTENSITY REMAINS
AT 30 KNOTS. SINCE THE GULF WATERS ARE WARM AND THE UPPER-LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT IS NOT HOSTILE...A RETURN OF THE CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED. IF SO...THE DEPRESSION COULD STILL HAVE A SMALL CHANCE TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING INLAND WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA LATER TODAY. THEREFORE...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
KEPT IN THIS ADVISORY. NONE OF THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE SHOW
IMPORTANT STRENGTHENING.
BOTH...INITIAL LOCATION AND MOTION ARE HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. THE BEST
ESTIMATE OF THE MOTION IS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12
KNOTS. THE DEPRESSION IS BEING STEERED BY THE FLOW AROUND A
PERSISTENT MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES. THIS
FLOW PATTERN WILL MAINTAIN THE CYCLONE ON THIS TRACK UNTIL
DISSIPATION OVER LAND IN ABOUT 36 HOURS.
THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM IS HEAVY RAINFALL. THESE RAINS
ARE FORECAST TO OCURR ON TOP OF ALREADY SATURATED GROUND AND
RAIN-SWOLLEN CREEKS AND RIVERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS
AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO CAUSED BY FORMER HURRICANE ALEX.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 08/0900Z 24.8N 95.2W 30 KT
12HR VT 08/1800Z 25.8N 96.7W 35 KT
24HR VT 09/0600Z 26.5N 99.0W 25 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Home Public Adv Fcst/Adv Discussion Wind Probs Maps/Charts Archive
US Watch/Warning
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
000
WTNT42 KNHC 080833
TCDAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
400 AM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
AFTER A PERIOD OF DEVELOPMENT DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...THE DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION HAS
PRACTICALLY VANISHED. ONLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY
OBSERVED ON THE SOUTH AND EAST SIDES OF THE CIRCULATION.
HOWEVER...IT IS NOT UNCOMMON TO HAVE FLUCTUATIONS IN CONVECTION
DURING FORMATIVE STAGE. A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE IN THE
AREA IN TWO OR THREE HOURS AND WILL HELP TO DETERMINE THE STATUS OF
THE SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME...IT IS ASSUMED THAT THE INTENSITY REMAINS
AT 30 KNOTS. SINCE THE GULF WATERS ARE WARM AND THE UPPER-LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT IS NOT HOSTILE...A RETURN OF THE CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED. IF SO...THE DEPRESSION COULD STILL HAVE A SMALL CHANCE TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING INLAND WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA LATER TODAY. THEREFORE...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
KEPT IN THIS ADVISORY. NONE OF THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE SHOW
IMPORTANT STRENGTHENING.
BOTH...INITIAL LOCATION AND MOTION ARE HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. THE BEST
ESTIMATE OF THE MOTION IS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12
KNOTS. THE DEPRESSION IS BEING STEERED BY THE FLOW AROUND A
PERSISTENT MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES. THIS
FLOW PATTERN WILL MAINTAIN THE CYCLONE ON THIS TRACK UNTIL
DISSIPATION OVER LAND IN ABOUT 36 HOURS.
THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM IS HEAVY RAINFALL. THESE RAINS
ARE FORECAST TO OCURR ON TOP OF ALREADY SATURATED GROUND AND
RAIN-SWOLLEN CREEKS AND RIVERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS
AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO CAUSED BY FORMER HURRICANE ALEX.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 08/0900Z 24.8N 95.2W 30 KT
12HR VT 08/1800Z 25.8N 96.7W 35 KT
24HR VT 09/0600Z 26.5N 99.0W 25 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORIES
KNHC 081159
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
700 AM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
...POORLY-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BRING RAINS TO
SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO....
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.7N 96.2W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM E OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM NE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...25 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
GRANDE
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO RIO SAN
FERNANDO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE
96.2 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15
MPH...25 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND NEAR THE TEXAS-MEXICO BORDER
LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING
INLAND TODAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO AND COASTAL TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES.
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO REACH THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATER TODAY. HOWEVER...RAINBANDS WITH
GUSTY WINDS ARE ALREADY APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN TEXAS AND
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COASTS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
700 AM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
...POORLY-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BRING RAINS TO
SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO....
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.7N 96.2W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM E OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM NE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...25 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
GRANDE
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO RIO SAN
FERNANDO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE
96.2 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15
MPH...25 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND NEAR THE TEXAS-MEXICO BORDER
LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING
INLAND TODAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO AND COASTAL TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES.
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO REACH THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATER TODAY. HOWEVER...RAINBANDS WITH
GUSTY WINDS ARE ALREADY APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN TEXAS AND
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COASTS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139596
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORIES
WTNT32 KNHC 081432
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
1000 AM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
...POORLY-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DEPRESSION ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL...
BRINGING RAINS TO SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO....
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.0N 97.0W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM ENE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
GRANDE
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO RIO SAN
FERNANDO
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE
97.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15
MPH...24 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
WILL CROSS THE COAST OF EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR
OR TWO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL...AND
WEAKENING WILL BEGIN AFTER THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES INLAND.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO AND COASTAL TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES.
WIND...WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE MAY OCCUR IN SQUALLS OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COAST DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS
TODAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
1000 AM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
...POORLY-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DEPRESSION ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL...
BRINGING RAINS TO SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO....
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.0N 97.0W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM ENE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
GRANDE
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO RIO SAN
FERNANDO
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE
97.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15
MPH...24 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
WILL CROSS THE COAST OF EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR
OR TWO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL...AND
WEAKENING WILL BEGIN AFTER THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES INLAND.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO AND COASTAL TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES.
WIND...WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE MAY OCCUR IN SQUALLS OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COAST DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS
TODAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139596
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORIES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
1000 AM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
REPORTS FROM A HURRICANE HUNTER RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS...WSR-88D RADAR DATA FROM BROWNSVILLE...AND VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF THE
SYSTEM IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED. OUR BEST ESTIMATE IS THAT THE CENTER
IS JUST OFFSHORE OF THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST AT THIS TIME.
OBSERVATIONS FROM THE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT WINDS
APPROACHING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH ARE OCCURRING IN SQUALLS.
HOWEVER GIVEN THE LACK OF ORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM AND THE SHORT
TIME REMAINING BEFORE LANDFALL...IT IS NOT LIKELY THAT THE CYCLONE
WILL BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. WEAKENING TO DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED
WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS.
INITIAL MOTION IS A RATHER UNCERTAIN 305/13...BUT LANDFALL WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA IS EXPECTED SHORTLY. A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO
THE NORTHEAST OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD MAINTAIN A NORTHWEST
TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY AND
TONIGHT.
THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM IS HEAVY RAINFALL. THESE RAINS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR ON TOP OF ALREADY SATURATED GROUND AND
RAIN-SWOLLEN CREEKS AND RIVERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS
AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO CAUSED BY FORMER HURRICANE ALEX.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 08/1500Z 26.0N 97.0W 30 KT
12HR VT 09/0000Z 27.0N 98.5W 25 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
1000 AM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
REPORTS FROM A HURRICANE HUNTER RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS...WSR-88D RADAR DATA FROM BROWNSVILLE...AND VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF THE
SYSTEM IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED. OUR BEST ESTIMATE IS THAT THE CENTER
IS JUST OFFSHORE OF THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST AT THIS TIME.
OBSERVATIONS FROM THE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT WINDS
APPROACHING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH ARE OCCURRING IN SQUALLS.
HOWEVER GIVEN THE LACK OF ORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM AND THE SHORT
TIME REMAINING BEFORE LANDFALL...IT IS NOT LIKELY THAT THE CYCLONE
WILL BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. WEAKENING TO DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED
WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS.
INITIAL MOTION IS A RATHER UNCERTAIN 305/13...BUT LANDFALL WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA IS EXPECTED SHORTLY. A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO
THE NORTHEAST OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD MAINTAIN A NORTHWEST
TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY AND
TONIGHT.
THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM IS HEAVY RAINFALL. THESE RAINS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR ON TOP OF ALREADY SATURATED GROUND AND
RAIN-SWOLLEN CREEKS AND RIVERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS
AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO CAUSED BY FORMER HURRICANE ALEX.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 08/1500Z 26.0N 97.0W 30 KT
12HR VT 09/0000Z 27.0N 98.5W 25 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORIES
000
WTNT62 KNHC 081512
TCUAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
1015 AM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
...DEPRESSION MAKES LANDFALL OVER EXTREME SOUTH TEXAS COAST...
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND WSR-88D RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT THE CENTER
OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR THE SOUTHERN END
OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND TEXAS.
SUMMARY OF 1015 AM CDT...1515 UTC...INFORMATION
--------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.2N 97.2W
ABOUT 25 MI...45 KM NE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
WTNT62 KNHC 081512
TCUAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
1015 AM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
...DEPRESSION MAKES LANDFALL OVER EXTREME SOUTH TEXAS COAST...
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND WSR-88D RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT THE CENTER
OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR THE SOUTHERN END
OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND TEXAS.
SUMMARY OF 1015 AM CDT...1515 UTC...INFORMATION
--------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.2N 97.2W
ABOUT 25 MI...45 KM NE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
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cycloneye
- Admin
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- Age: 67
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORIES
WTNT32 KNHC 081741
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
100 PM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
...DEPRESSION INLAND NEAR TEXAS-MEXICO BORDER...CONTINUES
BRINGING RAINS TO SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO....
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.0N 97.7W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM ESE OF MCALLEN TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE
97.7 WEST...NEAR THE RIO GRANDE RIVER ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MCALLEN TEXAS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE DEPRESSION MOVES OVER
LAND...AND THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE IN 12 TO 24
HOURS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO AND COASTAL TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES.
WIND...WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COAST
SHOULD DIMINISH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TODAY.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS
TODAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
100 PM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
...DEPRESSION INLAND NEAR TEXAS-MEXICO BORDER...CONTINUES
BRINGING RAINS TO SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO....
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.0N 97.7W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM ESE OF MCALLEN TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE
97.7 WEST...NEAR THE RIO GRANDE RIVER ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MCALLEN TEXAS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE DEPRESSION MOVES OVER
LAND...AND THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE IN 12 TO 24
HOURS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO AND COASTAL TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES.
WIND...WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COAST
SHOULD DIMINISH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TODAY.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS
TODAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139596
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORIES
The last advisory by NHC.
000
WTNT32 KNHC 082031
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
400 PM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
...DEPRESSION INLAND NEAR TEXAS-MEXICO BORDER...CONTINUES
BRINGING RAINS TO SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO....
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.2N 98.4W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM W OF MCALLEN TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE
98.4 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR
13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WESTWARD MOTION IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO
DISSIPATE TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO AND COASTAL TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES.
WIND...WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COAST
SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TODAY.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS
TODAY AND TONIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT32
KWNH...BEGINNING AT 1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
000
WTNT32 KNHC 082031
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
400 PM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
...DEPRESSION INLAND NEAR TEXAS-MEXICO BORDER...CONTINUES
BRINGING RAINS TO SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO....
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.2N 98.4W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM W OF MCALLEN TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE
98.4 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR
13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WESTWARD MOTION IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO
DISSIPATE TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO AND COASTAL TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES.
WIND...WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COAST
SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TODAY.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS
TODAY AND TONIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT32
KWNH...BEGINNING AT 1000 PM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BERG
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139596
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORIES
HPC is releasing advisories.
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 05 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL022010
1000 PM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
...TROPICAL RAINS CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS TEXAS...
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED ACROSS MUCH OF
TEXAS. COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE WESTERN GULF COAST.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 99.2
WEST...OR 240 MILES...385 KM...SOUTH OF SAN ANTONIO TEXAS AND 100
MILES...160 KM...SOUTH OF LAREDO TEXAS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER NORTHERN MEXICO THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 10 PM CDT
...TEXAS...
GUADALUPE HADS VICTORIA 5.16
BLOOMINGTON 0.5 N 3.60
VICTORIA RGNL ARPT 2.86
FORT HOOD/GRAY AAF 2.47
THE TROPICAL RAINS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE LONE STAR STATE FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF UP TO 10 INCHES FOR
LOCALIZED AREAS ALONG THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER.
...SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...26.1N 99.2W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER
TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.
GERHARDT
FORECAST POSITIONS
INITIAL 09/0300Z 26.1N 99.2W
12HR VT 09/1200Z 27.2N 101.0W......POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24HR VT 10/0000Z......DISSIPATED
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 05 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL022010
1000 PM CDT THU JUL 08 2010
...TROPICAL RAINS CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS TEXAS...
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED ACROSS MUCH OF
TEXAS. COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE WESTERN GULF COAST.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 99.2
WEST...OR 240 MILES...385 KM...SOUTH OF SAN ANTONIO TEXAS AND 100
MILES...160 KM...SOUTH OF LAREDO TEXAS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER NORTHERN MEXICO THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 10 PM CDT
...TEXAS...
GUADALUPE HADS VICTORIA 5.16
BLOOMINGTON 0.5 N 3.60
VICTORIA RGNL ARPT 2.86
FORT HOOD/GRAY AAF 2.47
THE TROPICAL RAINS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE LONE STAR STATE FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF UP TO 10 INCHES FOR
LOCALIZED AREAS ALONG THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER.
...SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...26.1N 99.2W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 400 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER
TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.
GERHARDT
FORECAST POSITIONS
INITIAL 09/0300Z 26.1N 99.2W
12HR VT 09/1200Z 27.2N 101.0W......POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24HR VT 10/0000Z......DISSIPATED
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HurricaneBelle
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 980
- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 6:12 pm
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Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORIES
WTNT32 KWNH 090903
TCPAT2
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 06 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL022010
400 AM CDT FRI JUL 09 2010
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY...
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT ACROSS MUCH OF
TEXAS. COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE WESTERN GULF COAST.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 100.9
WEST...OR 115 MILES...185 KM...SOUTHWEST OF LAREDO TEXAS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND ACROSS
THE HIGH TERRAIN OF NORTHERN MEXICO AND DISSIPATE BY LATER TODAY
OR TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 4 AM CDT
...TEXAS...
GUADALUPE HADS VICTORIA 5.16
BLOOMINGTON 0.5 N 3.60
VICTORIA RGNL ARPT 2.86
FORT HOOD/GRAY AAF 2.47
LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE LONE STAR STATE FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF UP TO 8
INCHES FOR LOCALIZED AREAS ALONG THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER.
...SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...26.5N 100.9W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER
TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.
ORRISON/KONG
FORECAST POSITIONS
INITIAL 09/0900Z 26.5N 100.9W
12HR VT 09/1800Z 27.5N 102.1W......POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24HR VT 10/0600Z......DISSIPATED
TCPAT2
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 06 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL022010
400 AM CDT FRI JUL 09 2010
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY...
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT ACROSS MUCH OF
TEXAS. COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE WESTERN GULF COAST.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 100.9
WEST...OR 115 MILES...185 KM...SOUTHWEST OF LAREDO TEXAS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND ACROSS
THE HIGH TERRAIN OF NORTHERN MEXICO AND DISSIPATE BY LATER TODAY
OR TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 4 AM CDT
...TEXAS...
GUADALUPE HADS VICTORIA 5.16
BLOOMINGTON 0.5 N 3.60
VICTORIA RGNL ARPT 2.86
FORT HOOD/GRAY AAF 2.47
LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE LONE STAR STATE FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF UP TO 8
INCHES FOR LOCALIZED AREAS ALONG THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER.
...SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...26.5N 100.9W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER
TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.
ORRISON/KONG
FORECAST POSITIONS
INITIAL 09/0900Z 26.5N 100.9W
12HR VT 09/1800Z 27.5N 102.1W......POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24HR VT 10/0600Z......DISSIPATED
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139596
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORIES
4 PM CDT HPC Advisory
796
WTNT32 KWNH 092054
TCPAT2
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 08 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL022010
400 PM CDT FRI JUL 09 2010
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT ACROSS MUCH OF TEXAS.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 101.7
WEST...OR 90 MILES...150 KM...WEST OF LAREDO TEXAS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN MEXICO AND IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 4 PM CDT
...TEXAS...
GUADALUPE HADS VICTORIA 5.16
VICTORIA 5.2 NNW 4.25
HOUSTON 3.94
WHARTON 0.3 E 3.75
BLOOMINGTON 0.5 N 3.74
INEZ 2.2 S 3.72
ODEM 0.3 W 3.69
TEXAS CITY 1.5 E 3.62
EL CAMPO 2.5 WSW 3.42
HALLETTSVILLE 17.1 SE 3.27
BROWNSVILLE 3.27
LEAGUE CITY 2.4 W 3.26
FRIENDSWOOD 2.5 NNE 3.18
WOODSBORO 3.6 S 3.05
VICTORIA RGNL ARPT 3.03
SARGENT 1 ENE 3.01
WEST COLUMBIA 4.6 WNW 3.00
CORPUS CHRISTI 3.2 SSW 2.27
LAREDO 1.8 SSE 2.05
THE BANDS OF LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS TEXAS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTALS OF UP TO 8
INCHES POSSIBLE IN ISOLATED AREAS ALONG THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER.
...SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...27.6N 101.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER
TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.
GERHARDT
FORECAST POSITIONS
INITIAL 09/2100Z 27.6N 101.7W
12HR VT 10/0600Z 27.1N 103.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24HR VT 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
796
WTNT32 KWNH 092054
TCPAT2
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 08 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL022010
400 PM CDT FRI JUL 09 2010
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT ACROSS MUCH OF TEXAS.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 101.7
WEST...OR 90 MILES...150 KM...WEST OF LAREDO TEXAS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN MEXICO AND IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 4 PM CDT
...TEXAS...
GUADALUPE HADS VICTORIA 5.16
VICTORIA 5.2 NNW 4.25
HOUSTON 3.94
WHARTON 0.3 E 3.75
BLOOMINGTON 0.5 N 3.74
INEZ 2.2 S 3.72
ODEM 0.3 W 3.69
TEXAS CITY 1.5 E 3.62
EL CAMPO 2.5 WSW 3.42
HALLETTSVILLE 17.1 SE 3.27
BROWNSVILLE 3.27
LEAGUE CITY 2.4 W 3.26
FRIENDSWOOD 2.5 NNE 3.18
WOODSBORO 3.6 S 3.05
VICTORIA RGNL ARPT 3.03
SARGENT 1 ENE 3.01
WEST COLUMBIA 4.6 WNW 3.00
CORPUS CHRISTI 3.2 SSW 2.27
LAREDO 1.8 SSE 2.05
THE BANDS OF LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS TEXAS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTALS OF UP TO 8
INCHES POSSIBLE IN ISOLATED AREAS ALONG THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER.
...SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...27.6N 101.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER
TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.
GERHARDT
FORECAST POSITIONS
INITIAL 09/2100Z 27.6N 101.7W
12HR VT 10/0600Z 27.1N 103.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24HR VT 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139596
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO HPC ADVISORIES
Final HPC Advisory
WTNT32 KWNH 100252
TCPAT2
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 09 FOR REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL022010
1000 PM CDT FRI JUL 09 2010
...BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN DIMINISHING ACROSS TEXAS...
ALL FLASH FLOOD WATCHES IN DIRECT ASSOCIATION WITH TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO HAVE EXPIRED.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...AND
LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST...OR 310 MILES...500 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
EL PASO TEXAS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN MEXICO AND IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 10 PM CDT
...TEXAS...
GUADALUPE HADS VICTORIA 5.16
VICTORIA 5.2 NNW 4.25
HOUSTON 3.94
WHARTON 0.3 E 3.75
BLOOMINGTON 0.5 N 3.74
INEZ 2.2 S 3.72
ODEM 0.3 W 3.69
TEXAS CITY 1.5 E 3.62
EL CAMPO 2.5 WSW 3.42
HALLETTSVILLE 17.1 SE 3.27
BROWNSVILLE 3.27
LEAGUE CITY 2.4 W 3.26
FRIENDSWOOD 2.5 NNE 3.18
WOODSBORO 3.6 S 3.05
VICTORIA RGNL ARPT 3.03
SARGENT 1 ENE 3.01
WEST COLUMBIA 4.6 WNW 3.00
CORPUS CHRISTI 3.2 SSW 2.27
LAREDO 1.8 SSE 2.05
THE BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH FRIDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF UP TO AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE FOR LOCALIZED AREAS ACROSS
THE BIG BEND REGION OF TEXAS.
...SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...27.6N 104.5W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 175 DEGREES AT 17 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB
THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ISSUED ON REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER.
PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.
GERHARDT
FORECAST POSITIONS
INITIAL 09/0300Z 27.6N 104.5W
12HR VT 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
WTNT32 KWNH 100252
TCPAT2
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 09 FOR REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL022010
1000 PM CDT FRI JUL 09 2010
...BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN DIMINISHING ACROSS TEXAS...
ALL FLASH FLOOD WATCHES IN DIRECT ASSOCIATION WITH TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO HAVE EXPIRED.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV.
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...AND
LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST...OR 310 MILES...500 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
EL PASO TEXAS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN MEXICO AND IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 10 PM CDT
...TEXAS...
GUADALUPE HADS VICTORIA 5.16
VICTORIA 5.2 NNW 4.25
HOUSTON 3.94
WHARTON 0.3 E 3.75
BLOOMINGTON 0.5 N 3.74
INEZ 2.2 S 3.72
ODEM 0.3 W 3.69
TEXAS CITY 1.5 E 3.62
EL CAMPO 2.5 WSW 3.42
HALLETTSVILLE 17.1 SE 3.27
BROWNSVILLE 3.27
LEAGUE CITY 2.4 W 3.26
FRIENDSWOOD 2.5 NNE 3.18
WOODSBORO 3.6 S 3.05
VICTORIA RGNL ARPT 3.03
SARGENT 1 ENE 3.01
WEST COLUMBIA 4.6 WNW 3.00
CORPUS CHRISTI 3.2 SSW 2.27
LAREDO 1.8 SSE 2.05
THE BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH FRIDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF UP TO AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE FOR LOCALIZED AREAS ACROSS
THE BIG BEND REGION OF TEXAS.
...SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...27.6N 104.5W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 175 DEGREES AT 17 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB
THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ISSUED ON REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER.
PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.
GERHARDT
FORECAST POSITIONS
INITIAL 09/0300Z 27.6N 104.5W
12HR VT 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
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