ATL : INVEST 98L - MODELS

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cperez1594
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ATL : INVEST 98L - MODELS

#1 Postby cperez1594 » Wed Jul 21, 2010 5:26 pm

Models will soon to come.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL : INVEST 98L - MODELS

#2 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 21, 2010 5:56 pm

No tropical models yet. They may be waiting for the 00z that come out just after 8 PM.
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#3 Postby KWT » Wed Jul 21, 2010 6:00 pm

FWIW the GFS holds this over water for the next 36hrs with fairly slack steering currents.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 98L - MODELS

#4 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 21, 2010 8:09 pm

Here are the first model tracks for 98L. Not much time over water.

Code: Select all

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0051 UTC THU JUL 22 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL982010) 20100722 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        100722  0000   100722  1200   100723  0000   100723  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    20.2N  93.5W   20.8N  95.4W   21.5N  97.0W   22.4N  98.8W
BAMD    20.2N  93.5W   20.7N  95.5W   21.2N  97.4W   21.5N  99.2W
BAMM    20.2N  93.5W   20.9N  95.6W   21.4N  97.6W   21.9N  99.5W
LBAR    20.2N  93.5W   20.7N  95.8W   21.5N  98.5W   22.3N 101.3W
SHIP        20KTS          26KTS          33KTS          41KTS
DSHP        20KTS          26KTS          28KTS          27KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        100724  0000   100725  0000   100726  0000   100727  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    23.2N 100.7W   25.0N 104.3W   26.7N 106.7W   27.6N 109.2W
BAMD    21.7N 100.8W   22.4N 103.5W   23.3N 105.8W   24.1N 108.3W
BAMM    22.2N 101.4W   23.0N 104.7W   24.2N 107.2W   25.0N 109.7W
LBAR    23.4N 104.3W   25.0N 109.6W   25.8N 113.1W   23.5N 116.1W
SHIP        51KTS          63KTS          64KTS          62KTS
DSHP        27KTS          27KTS          27KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  20.2N LONCUR =  93.5W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  19.8N LONM12 =  92.0W DIRM12 = 284DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
LATM24 =  19.6N LONM24 =  90.6W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   40NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
 


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