ATL: COLIN - Recon Discussion

[supercane]

Confusing passes through the system with multiple possible centers indicate situation described in 5PM EDT advisory likely still holds:

THE WELL-DEFINED LOW
CLOUD SWIRL SEEN EARLIER HAS BECOME PART OF A LARGER ELONGATED
CIRCULATION WITH MULTIPLE SWIRLS ROTATING AROUND A MEAN CENTER.

[supercane]

BTW interesting that they initially descended to 850 mb but then later went down to 925 mb. Perhaps the convective burst earlier made them think they would find a stronger system than we actually have given the relatively low winds ?

[HURAKAN]

going to sleep, anyone can take over

[supercane]

I'll take over until the recon finishes its alpha pattern and issues a VDM. Pleasant dreams.

[supercane]

Off to get some shuteye. If anyone wants to take over, go ahead.

[supercane]

Looks like recon heading back to St. Croix

[supercane]

And no more flights into Colin expected. Hope it starts moving.


000
NOUS42 KNHC 071330
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT SAT 07 AUGUST 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z AUGUST 2010
TCPOD NUMBER.....10-069

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP

[KWT]

Ah well at least we got some decent action from recon with this system!