Nimbus wrote:gatorcane wrote:it does seem that the ULL is heading west at a faster speed than 97L is moving. So there is likely going to be a window where conditions improve for development prior to reaching Florida.
We don't know what the surface pressure gradient is near the center axis of the wave. Typically if a system like this undergoes shear long enough the pressure gradient flattens out so it can't spin back up with a CDO. I agree that unfortunately our friend the ULL will not be able to match pace with 97L all the way to the gulf coast. As you stated the convection is already on the increase and the ULL has jogged west in the last few frames.
yeah the upper low has begun to move wnw at a faster pace this afternoon and the flow around 97L has begun to switch from a SW to more of S