ATL: MATTHEW - Models

[Hurricaneman]

This run, that is definately Matthew and real bad for Tampa if it were to verify

[South Texas Storms]

hmm it looks like it actually strengthened while crossing florida. interesting.

[paintplaye]

H228 pulling away from fl and headed NE....

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal228.gif

Yea trof forms and picks it up

[artist]

according to that it would be a charlie path.

[paintplaye]

This run, that is definately Matthew and real bad for Tampa if it were to verify

No it isn't it is a Pacific storm:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/index_85v_lu_loop.shtml

[South Texas Storms]

so has the trend in the models been more west recently?

[artist]

hmm it looks like it actually strengthened while crossing florida. interesting.

if it crosses the everglades, it has happened before...

[South Texas Storms]

are any of you floridians starting to worry about this, or not yet?

[SFLcane]

h216..POWERFUL HURRICANE....crosses SFL...



http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal216.gif

Nasty...

[ROCK]

it comes from the Pac...NOGAPS running..shows almost the same scenario..

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

[Vortex]

are any of you floridians starting to worry about this, or not yet?

I think those that follow have a pretty good idea "something" is going to happen but the devils in the details...

[ROCK]

are any of you floridians starting to worry about this, or not yet?

I wouldnt just yet...need something to develop if it is true of Matt demise....I mean we are looking at the GFS that on the 18z spit out the worst run of this decade....

[Hurricaneman]

I was wrong, the thing they have hitting florida is the potential Nicole

[tina25]

are any of you floridians starting to worry about this, or not yet?

Not really worried yet. However, if this trend continues through the weekend then yes, I will begin to feel a bit concerned. All we can do now is pay close attention to the forecasters and ensure we are ready for worst case scenario. Better to be safe than sorry.

[Florida1118]

are any of you floridians starting to worry about this, or not yet?

Im going to check a few things like batteries, but im not breaking out the shutters yet. Im going to start worrying when the NHC track is staying on FL and not shifting...

[paintplaye]

are any of you floridians starting to worry about this, or not yet?

Im going to check a few things like batteries, but im not breaking out the shutters yet. Im going to start worrying when the NHC track is staying on FL and not shifting...

Yea we are looking at a storm 200h hours out that hasn't even formed yet. A lot will and can change.

[psyclone]

am i worried? nope. charley's track went right through my region literally hours before landfall and i got nothing from the storm...and i mean absolutely nothing. i'm not worrying unless a disaster is imminent. a big cane 8 days out is no conern imo. it is interesting considering the time of the year but we're used to lucking out.

[Vortex]

00Z Nogaps at H120...matthew washes out over gutemala and broad area of low pressure takes shape over NW carribean...**run still updating



https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

[Hurricaneman]

looking at the models, Matthew completely poofs at 90hrs and the pacific energy begins to form a new low, since the new low forms within 3 days, it may have some merit

[Florida1118]

am i worried? nope. charley's track went right through my region literally hours before landfall and i got nothing from the storm...and i mean absolutely nothing. i'm not worrying unless a disaster is imminent. a big cane 8 days out is no conern imo. it is interesting considering the time of the year but we're used to lucking out.

Thats not good though...If every Person in the world who could get affected by a storm waited until it was on their door step, no one is going to make it. Dont take luck for granted, just look at what happened with NO. Their "luck" didnt keep them from drowning.