ATL: EX-Tropical Depression FIVE - Discussion

[tropicwatch]

Latest radar loops gives the appearance that storms are trying to wrap around and it does look like there is a northern component to the radar.

[Aric Dunn]

I tell you what though if this northerly motion continues it wont be over water to much longer.. lol

[KWT]

Indeed Aric though the HWRF suggests this is just a short term motion and it gets back onto a westerly motion again.

[wxman57]

Center has really become detached from the convection now. It appears to be drifting northward and weakening.

[NOLA2010]

Center has really become detached from the convection now. It appears to be drifting northward and weakening.

Do you still think that it will be a TD or TS?

[wxman57]

Center has really become detached from the convection now. It appears to be drifting northward and weakening.

Do you still think that it will be a TD or TS?

Take a look at this shot. It may be finally dying. Its only "hope" now may be if the center could somehow reform near or under that convection to the southwest.

[KWT]

Yeah and I think the NHC noticed that was happening, actually if you looked back about 2hrs ago you could see the shear increasing back then so not surprising its suffering again.

[redfish1]

is it possible we could see a center relocate to the southwest?

[Aric Dunn]

yep its looking like it done for.. at least at the moment.. the shear just was too much ..

[lrak]

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 11&loop=no

It sure put out though.

[tailgater]

Can you believe it's (the little LLC) heading due North maybe even a tad east of due north. Seems I remember a couple models calling for that yesterday that most of us discounted.

[ColinDelia]

Every system is a learning experience and there were certainly some here. Even when not obvious I think every system/environment becomes part of one's pattern recognition. One needs to learn what kind of systems do not develop as well as which ones do. There's some interesting research on this topic in the world of chess - subconscious pattern recognition. Apology for going off topic a bit.

[MGC]

Chances of this developing into a TC are fading....shear and hitting land soon are gonna hold this one up...hope the trend continues the remainder of the season.......MGC

[CrazyC83]

It seems this is just looping all over the place with no sense of direction at all.

[lrak]

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... B&loop=yes

this radar loop sure does make it look like that spin wxman57 marked for us is moulted leftovers and a second low has started

[wxman57]

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=MOB&loop=yes

this radar loop sure does make it look like that spin wxman57 marked for us is moulted leftovers and a second low has started

Nothing in the surface obs farther offshore, Karl. Here's a new plot:

[lrak]

that is so weird wxman57 all the other radars I remember looking like that, thats where it was...LOL.

[mcallum177]

Why is the radar here showing all red and orange?

http://w1.spc.woc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoan ... 2000716748

[MGC]

SE Louisiana is getting hammered by a strong band....been pouring here for about 10 min...no wind.....MGC

[srainhoutx]

Why is the radar here showing all red and orange?

http://w1.spc.woc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoan ... 2000716748

Meso analysis is showing the stronger bands well W of the llc.