ATL: Ex Tropical Storm EARL - Discussion

[RL3AO]

Probably a category 3 storm right now (110kts). Open eyewall.

[baygirl_1]

Suggestion from a (usually only lurking) Gulf Coaster- who's been through too many tropical events- for all of you East Coasters who are worriedor nervous: Check out the Hurricane Prep forum (http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewforum.php?f=30) for really good hurricane preparation info. Print a to-do list and keep that list nearby. If you're laying in bed trying to sleep and start thinking of things to add to the to-do list, add them then. Better to have them on paper and out of your head. Do try to get sleep the next night or two because IF this hurricane does visit your part of the coast, and I hope and pray it does not, you are going to need your strength and energy. We just called cousins who live on Long Island to make sure they're aware of the storm and give them some tips. Good luck and God bless all!

[Florida1118]

Just a note to all... if this does start to head toward the east coast of the US... make sure to pay attention to local sources of information for details on your specific area. The national news networks will sensationalize things. Make sure to always attend to the local agencies for your official info.

and TWC being a national show, Takes 2min for their full tropical update and 5min for some dolphins and sunsets. Local Networks will likely have more coverage.

[cpdaman]

I'm looking at my GR Level3 software from the Puerto Rico radar site and from 7:09 to 8:45 earl has moved 24nm @ 303 degrees which is a little bit west of NW if I am doing this right. From what I've read, movement can't be perfectly tracked by radar but it's the best I've got for now. Does this seem accurate? I placed a marker at the center of the eye at 7:09 p.m. and then put my mouse in the center at 8:45 and it showed 307 degrees. I'd like to know someones opinion who is more experienced. Thanks!

i def...believe that is at least 300 over the last 90 minutes.....please post again around 10 and let us know if it's a consistent movement

[Raebie]

Good think Mom is a S2K member. Dear daughter in Wilmington is oblivious...

[ConvergenceZone]

What's up with Comcast.net? Here's a copy and pasted headline about the hurricane Earl:

"Hurricane Earl has rapidly intensified into a major Category 4 storm on a path projected to strike the eastern U.S." ???

Way to go Comcast to panic everyone!!!!...Now I just got home from work, and I haven't looked at Earl for about 3 hours, so I'm assuming the path hasn't changed and it's still projected to be off the eastern coast , but the above headline is NOT an error, it's from the news headlines at comcast.net..

[Tstormwatcher]

Long time lurker, used to post alot here but anyway, I live on the southeast coast of NC so this one has me a bit nervous right now. Hopefully it does curve away but guess will have to wait and see. Thanks to those who keep posting the model updates and other reverant info.

[angelwing]

Well, you know us....we always talk about it first before it hits the airwaves...this is truly the best place to be for those on the East Coast that want to follow Earl like a hawk. But, please sleep tonight! You'll be sleepless later if this storm comes very close.....but, not tonight. Sleep tonight.

Oh I will be able to sleep tonight, working 2 full time jobs I can and I am working 20 hours today...don't know about the rest of the week though..am getting a tad worried..read the comcast article noted above too, sigh

[RL3AO]

UZNT13 KNHC 310058
XXAA 81017 99198 70653 04395 99945 25600 07608 00/// ///// /////
92194 24600 08149 85937 22200 11121 70617 130// 12095 88999 77999
31313 09608 80044
61616 AF306 0507A EARL OB 10
62626 EYEWALL 045 SPL 1985N06545W 0048 MBL WND 08635 AEV 20801 DL
M WND 10608 944698 WL150 07122 092 REL 1983N06533W 004451 SPG 198
5N06544W 004817 =
XXBB 81018 99198 70653 04395 00945 25600 11850 22200 22721 17403
33712 170// 44698 120//
21212 00945 07608 11932 07124 22927 07646 33925 08149 44916 09145
55905 09646 66898 09640 77883 10146 88875 10142 99866 11125 11850
11121 22841 12094 33801 10595 44698 12094
31313 09608 80044
61616 AF306 0507A EARL OB 10
62626 EYEWALL 045

Northeast eyewall dropsonde. 108kts at surface. 146kts around 925mb.

[OuterBanker]

Been on the OBX for 36 years, evac once. Cat 4 strike would flatten us. 90% of houses her stick built (including mine).

Just about every year this time of year I think of the three pigs.

[Florida1118]

What's up with Comcast.net? Here's a copy and pasted headline about the hurricane Earl:

"Hurricane Earl has rapidly intensified into a major Category 4 storm on a path projected to strike the eastern U.S." ???

Way to go Comcast to panic everyone!!!!...Now I just got home from work, and I haven't looked at Earl for about 3 hours, so I'm assuming the path hasn't changed and it's still projected to be off the eastern coast , but the above headline is NOT an error, it's from the news headlines at comcast.net..

Way to go comcast. Just got to love the media.

[Annie Oakley]

146kts around 925mb.


Please secure all perimeters and get out.

[ozonepete]

Just a note to all... if this does start to head toward the east coast of the US... make sure to pay attention to local sources of information for details on your specific area. The national news networks will sensationalize things. Make sure to always attend to the local agencies for your official info.

and TWC being a national show, Takes 2min for their full tropical update and 5min for some dolphins and sunsets. Local Networks will likely have more coverage.

LOL. You got that right.

[HURAKAN]

E34/20/15

3 eyewalls?

[Stephanie]

Just a note to all... if this does start to head toward the east coast of the US... make sure to pay attention to local sources of information for details on your specific area. The national news networks will sensationalize things. Make sure to always attend to the local agencies for your official info.

Great advice. Just looked at the NJ Office of Emergency Management. It has no mention of Earl but they do have info on hurricane preparedness.

[CrazyC83]

E34/20/15

3 eyewalls?

Elliptical with sections of 15 to 34 nautical miles across. Sign of perhaps slight weakening.

[UpTheCreek]

Long time lurker, used to post alot here but anyway, I live on the southeast coast of NC so this one has me a bit nervous right now. Hopefully it does curve away but guess will have to wait and see. Thanks to those who keep posting the model updates and other reverant info.

Howdy neighbor. Looking like a high water event for us, in my opinion. If it tracks further west of the NHC track....well, then it'll be a major event for us. I am hoping for the former!

[RL3AO]

E34/20/15

3 eyewalls?

No. It means elliptical eyewall with the major axis 34 miles long, the minor axis 20 miles long with the major axis along a 150 to 330 degree line (roughly SE to NW)

[CrazyC83]

146 kt at that level equates to 109 kt at the surface.

[ConvergenceZone]

What's up with Comcast.net? Here's a copy and pasted headline about the hurricane Earl:

"Hurricane Earl has rapidly intensified into a major Category 4 storm on a path projected to strike the eastern U.S." ???

Way to go Comcast to panic everyone!!!!...Now I just got home from work, and I haven't looked at Earl for about 3 hours, so I'm assuming the path hasn't changed and it's still projected to be off the eastern coast , but the above headline is NOT an error, it's from the news headlines at comcast.net..

Way to go comcast. Just got to love the media.

Okay, once I saw the headline, I clicked on it, and then the news article down plays it, it says
"Already dangerous with sustained winds of 135 mph (215 kph), Earl is expected to gain more strength before POTENTIALLY brushing the U.S. East Coast this week and bringing deadly rip currents"
So I guess the headline was just being dramatic to get people to click on the story....