ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE - DISCUSSION

[Canelaw99]

I find it very hard to find (at least in the wall-to-wall media/internet era) another storm making landfall in Miami and progged to hit the New Orleans area that had as little attention paid to it as this one did...and that's a good thing.

I'm sure that's because this one is so minor. If the forecast had this one becoming a major 'cane or something in the Gulf there would be a lot more attention on it, I'm sure.

[dixiebreeze]

Wondering if Bonnie is picking up a bit of strength from Lake O.

[Category 5]

Its kind of freaky, I've been fishing in the exact spot this thing is over.

That Fowey Rocks ob could easily support a upgrade to 40kts but at this point its really pointless to do so.

[petit_bois]

Wondering if Bonnie is picking up a bit of strength from Lake O.

If Bonnie can't get anything going over the gulf stream... I wouldn't be too concerned about a lake...

[tolakram]

Looks to me like Bonnie will exit Florida all the way up by Fort Myers. I wonder if anything resembling a tropical storm will be left by then?

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[CrazyC83]

Wondering if Bonnie is picking up a bit of strength from Lake O.

If Bonnie can't get anything going over the gulf stream... I wouldn't be too concerned about a lake...

You might want to tell Fay that...

[Sanibel]

The ULL is probably stripping it as it tries to strengthen which probably explains the tight eye with low winds. The land-spent center should pass near or over us later this evening. No rain yet but blustery breezes.

[ROCK]

Looks to me like Bonnie will exit Florida all the way up by Fort Myers. I wonder if anything resembling a tropical storm will be left by then?

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

probably not....more time over land....it would be like tracking a t-storm....

[jasons2k]

What an interesting turn of events over the last 12 hours or so. Just goes to show you never know with the tropics....and I guess JB was right, at least about this part.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Looks to me like Bonnie will exit Florida all the way up by Fort Myers. I wonder if anything resembling a tropical storm will be left by then?

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

probably not....more time over land....it would be like tracking a t-storm....

About it.

[Category 5]

Wondering if Bonnie is picking up a bit of strength from Lake O.

If Bonnie can't get anything going over the gulf stream... I wouldn't be too concerned about a lake...

Not with the shear, interesting thought though Dixie.

[hurricaneCW]

The friction of the land may even help tighten the LLC up and the Florida landfall isn't going to do shut Bonnie off. That region is flat and swampy plus Bonnie is already weak enough as it is.

[Countrygirl911]

wow went to bed woke up and the cone has moved towards NOLA. When it gets into the gulf i believe it will have a chance to gain a little strength a nice TS to a minimal Cat 1 before landfall again. But i am praying that it just disappears becasue we do not need it to get over the oil at all just imagine how far inland the oil could go

[ROCK]

The friction of the land may even help tighten the LLC up and the Florida landfall isn't going to do shut Bonnie off. That region is flat and swampy plus Bonnie is already weak enough as it is.

the LLC is exposed and now is east of the convection.....I see bones in the future....

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Upper Low has killed the little ole thing.

[Vortmax1]

You might want to tell Fay that...

Right!
That's what I have been thinking.
Fay had a difficult time in the Straits in an area where it should have strengthened...then started to ramp up feeding off the Everglades and Lake O.
This will be interesting to see what happens today with Bonnie.

[jlauderdal]

One gust of wind and the power goes out... go figure

i said it last night in a post, only takes one squall, i remember a system about 5 years abgo, we were on the very northern edge, one squall from the whole strom knocked out power to 200k in dade and broward

[Vortmax1]

Maybe I'm thinking about a different storm?
Geesh...I can't keep some of these storms straight.

I think it was an A storm.

[hurricaneCW]

You might want to tell Fay that...

Right!
That's what I have been thinking.
Fay had a difficult time in the Straits in an area where it should have strengthened...then started to ramp up feeding off the Everglades and Lake O.
This will be interesting to see what happens today with Bonnie.

Fay also didn't have to deal with an ULL the size of Russia like Bonnie has to.

[HURAKAN]

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