ATL: JULIA - Ex-TC - Discussion

[cycloneye]

00z Best Track

AL, 12, 2010091600, , BEST, 0, 197N, 338W, 100, 962, HU

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest

[O Town]

One thing Igor has that Julia can't maintain????
An eye, seems like soon as you think shes clearing it out she can't keep it
that way even though she was cat4 and now a 3. I just would expect to
see a better put together storm than she is looking now. Looks can be
deceiving tho.

[KWT]

Looking alot more ragged now to be honest, it seems to have gone down to the sort of strength that was orginally expected funnily enough, amazing to see how far east and how strong it ended up getting, not at all expeced!

[Buck]

Julia has been a pleasant surprise for this season.

[masaji79]

Julia seems to be racing to the northwest today.

[warmer]

anyone notice Julia is getting better
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/avn-l.jpg

and racing with 22m/h and also has a much west track according to:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 2040.shtml?

She might actually surprise us twice and might even start to interact with Igor.

[Steve H.]

Yes she is booking west right now. If Igor was progressing NW and getting caught up in the westerlies like ocean storms from the past, I'd be concerned about her building under the ridge lest behind. Fortunately Igor will stay long enuf to take her away. There well may be dome funky interaction though

[mattpetre]

Looks to me like Fujiwara is in effect! or maybe in 'da house... This could be really fun to watch

[KWT]

Interesting presentation now, looks like those shallow hurricanes you get in the Azores region towards the backend of a season, certainly is interesting!

[Macrocane]

I would say that Julia looks like one of those hurricanes that have the shape of a ring, with little banding and a big eye, do you know what I'm talking about?

[hurricaneCW]

Julia looks like one of those Epsilon type hurricanes with the big eye and warmer cloud tops.

[artist]

does anyone know how many miles apart Julia and Igor are now? I think they have to be within 900 miles of each other for the fujiwara affect to be possible.

[masaji79]

Seems Julia is moving more westerly now. I wonder if it is feeling the pull of Igor since he's much larger?

[cycloneye]

She looks good right now.

[cycloneye]

00z Best Track

AL, 12, 2010091700, , BEST, 0, 231N, 420W, 70, 983, HU

[CrazyC83]

70 kt seems pretty conservative right now. I would go about 85 kt looking at it.

[Epsilon_Fan]

(In best monster voice) Igor want eat Julia.... mmmm

[hurricaneCW]

Julia looks like she's about to commit suicide. What a painful way to go lol.

[abajan]

does anyone know how many miles apart Julia and Igor are now? I think they have to be within 900 miles of each other for the fujiwara affect to be possible.

According to the calculator at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gccalc.shtml?text their are 946 nautical miles (1089 statute miles) apart as of the 5 p.m. AST advisories.

[canes101]

does anyone know how many miles apart Julia and Igor are now? I think they have to be within 900 miles of each other for the fujiwara affect to be possible.

Yes typically for Fujiwhara interaction they need to be within about 1,450 km or 900 miles of each other..
I don't know how far apart they actually are myself either but I was also curious if anyone has that info.

Seems Julia is moving more westerly now. I wonder if it is feeling the pull of Igor since he's much larger

Officially the NHC still has her on a heading of 295 degrees (WNW).. However From looking at the AVN loop here It looks to me she is on more of a West heading of 265 degrees.. And she is booking along at a 22 Knots (just over 25 Miles Per Hour) Looks like she is making a B-Line for her distant cousin Igor

*Edit- It seems our good friend abajan has answered our question on the distance between the two storms for us.. Thanks abajan.. It would seem however that if Julia stays on her course at the speed she is going they would get even closer.