ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX - DISCUSSION

[HouTXmetro]

Big burst of cold cloud tops directly over the center, perhaps the first stages of a CDO? Be interesting to see the change in pressure (if any) during the next center pass.

I am still not impressed with his overall look.. i think he is going to have to tighten up and pull in some moisture on the NW quadrant before he can really ramp up..

I am think'in the gry air situation is abot to be over? 6 miles N and 12 mies E
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir4.html

Whats 6 miles north and 12 miles East?

[cycloneye]

69 kt FL, 50 kt SFMR. Pressure 985mb and falling.

[Javlin]

I am think'in the dry air situation is abot to be over? 6 miles N and 12 mies E
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir4.html[/quote]


Whats 6 miles north and 12 miles East?[/quote]

Movement now 20.6N and 91.6W

[BigA]

Recon has found winds of 67kt at flight level and 985.4 estimated pressure, and they haven't quite reached the lowest pressure.

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

Recon has found winds of 67kt at flight level and 985.4 estimated pressure, and they haven't quite reached the lowest pressure.

Highest winds were 69kts

015900 2100N 09116W 9252 00598 9908 +211 +181 157066 069 050 008 00

[Nederlander]

Recon has found winds of 67kt at flight level and 985.4 estimated pressure, and they haven't quite reached the lowest pressure.

Highest winds were 69kts

015900 2100N 09116W 9252 00598 9908 +211 +181 157066 069 050 008 00

what does that translate to on the surface?

[Cainer]

Recon has found winds of 67kt at flight level and 985.4 estimated pressure, and they haven't quite reached the lowest pressure.

Highest winds were 69kts

015900 2100N 09116W 9252 00598 9908 +211 +181 157066 069 050 008 00

what does that translate to on the surface?

~52 knots, so about 60 MPH.

[Dean4Storms]

I think the center is on the NW edge of that convective ball.

[Andrew92]

Anyone notice the winds are dropping in the lower pressure? Could that be the beginning stage of an eye forming?

-Andrew92

[brunota2003]

Actually, looking at google earth, the recon plane is flying through the SW side of it.

[Andrew92]

And to elaborate from my previous post: 16 knots found at the area of 985.4 mb. Hmmmm......

-Andrew92

[Dean4Storms]

I think the center is on the NW edge of that convective ball.

Yes I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express last nite!

[lrak]

The last visible shots gave the appearance that the center is jogging back to the NW?

[Raider Power]

Actually, looking at google earth, the recon plane is flying through the SW side of it.

OT, where do you get the app for recon plane tracking for Google Earth?

[Andrew92]

And then down to 6 knots at a place of 985.3 mb! Then, when they start seeing higher pressures, the winds pick up. VERY interesting. I'll say it again, eye forming?

-Andrew92

[Nederlander]

And to elaborate from my previous post: 16 knots found at the area of 985.4 mb. Hmmmm......

-Andrew92

could be an eyewall trying to form.. based on IR imagery, looks to me like a CDO could possibly be forming.. this could be covering up a potential eye.. im not too keen on reading recon, but if what you are saying is true, then its hard to imagine just 16kts of wind at that pressure..

[thetruesms]

I'm starting to build some pretty solid evidence that this storm only does something interesting when I get away from it for a little while

[Nederlander]

I'm starting to build some pretty solid evidence that this storm only does something interesting when I get away from it for a little while

THEN STAY AWAY!

LOL jk.. join the fun..

[ozonepete]

Anyone notice the winds are dropping in the lower pressure? Could that be the beginning stage of an eye forming?

-Andrew92

Would still seem to be a little bit early, but it's definitely showing signs of cranking up. Sometimes a last bit of dry air gets pulled into the center of a TS and then the thunderstorms wrap around it. That could be happening.

[Cainer]

And then down to 6 knots at a place of 985.3 mb! Then, when they start seeing higher pressures, the winds pick up. VERY interesting. I'll say it again, eye forming?

-Andrew92

Not necessarily, cyclones of any strength have a calm region at there center, even tropical depressions. Only hurricanes develop a cloud-free area around their center, however. That being said, with a pressure fall of 2 mb between passes, and the deep convection forming over the center, it probably wont be long before we start seeing an eye-feature. Just my 2 cents!